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Serie A · 4 signals · 1 clubs in this view
MonzaGoals at both endsInsight Score57/100
Scoring and conceding are both above the current league reference, with both teams scoring regularly. The result window spans all competitions; this comparison is not adjusted for opposition.
- Goals scored / matchLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.9
- Goals conceded / matchLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.1
- Both teams scoredLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 86%
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.19
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 50.0
- Recency
- 50.0
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Goals conceded / match — Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Both teams scored — Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 1.37. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
All signals4 signals · 1 clubs
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Monza
Both teams scored
86%
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores65
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 50.0
- Recency
- 100.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Monza’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | InterA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | UdineseH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | ParmaA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | LecceA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | SassuoloH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | LazioA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-19 | CagliariH | 4–0W | No |
Monza
Scoring in a row
7
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak68
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 61.3
- Recency
- 100.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Monza’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | InterA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | UdineseH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | ParmaA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | LecceA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | SassuoloH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | LazioA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-19 | CagliariH | 4–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Monza
Goals conceded per match
2.1
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 25.2
- Recency
- 100.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Monza
Goals scored per match
1.9
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.3
- Recency
- 100.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
Check the window
Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
Read the chart
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
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