Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

League insights

Eredivisie · 3 signals · 1 clubs in this view

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No supported compound story in this view yet. Individual signals remain available below.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals3 signals · 1 clubs

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Heerenveen Clean sheets 4 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores69

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 69/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
57.1
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Heerenveen’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09TwenteH1–0WYes
2026-08-16AjaxA2–2DNo
2026-08-22PEC ZwolleH0–2LNo
2026-08-30Willem IIA2–2DNo
2026-09-06AZ AlkmaarH2–3LNo
2026-09-13TelstarH0–0DYes
2026-09-19Sparta RotterdamA4–0WYes
2026-10-09PSV EindhovenA0–2LNo
2026-10-16ExcelsiorH4–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Heerenveen xG difference per match −0.31 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG23

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.27; xG against 1.58. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 23/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.27
xG against
1.58

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Heerenveen Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.6
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Heerenveen’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09TwenteH1–0W
2026-08-16AjaxA2–2D
2026-08-22PEC ZwolleH0–2L
2026-08-30Willem IIA2–2D
2026-09-06AZ AlkmaarH2–3L
2026-09-13TelstarH0–0D
2026-09-19Sparta RotterdamA4–0W
2026-10-09PSV EindhovenA0–2L
2026-10-16ExcelsiorH4–0W
Full club analysis →

Showing 1–3 of 3 signals

About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

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