Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

League insights

La Liga · 7 signals · 1 clubs in this view

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Automatically selected connections · one story per club · experimental Insight Score orders stories, not teams.

Real SociedadGoals at both endsInsight Score57/100

Scoring and conceding are both above the current league reference, with both teams scoring regularly. The result window spans all competitions; this comparison is not adjusted for opposition.

Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.9
Goals conceded / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.9
Both teams scoredLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
80%
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.44
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.8
Recency
48.4
Context
80.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Both teams scored — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.28; xG against 1.72. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals7 signals · 1 clubs

Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →

Real Sociedad Goals conceded away per match 2.0 Last 6 recorded away matches Scores52

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.6
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
75.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21Real BetisA0–1L
2026-08-26Real MadridA1–4L
2026-09-07ElcheA3–2W
2026-09-20ValenciaA3–2W
2026-10-15Union St. GilloiseA1–1D
2026-10-18MalagaA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad Both teams scored 80% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores67

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-26Real MadridA1–4LYes
2026-08-29EspanyolH2–1WYes
2026-09-03Celta VigoH0–0DNo
2026-09-07ElcheA3–2WYes
2026-09-13Atletico MadridH0–3LNo
2026-09-17BournemouthH1–2LYes
2026-09-20ValenciaA3–2WYes
2026-10-11Deportivo La CorunaH3–2WYes
2026-10-15Union St. GilloiseA1–1DYes
2026-10-18MalagaA5–2WYes
Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad Points above expected +3.5 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Forecast56

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 17; xPts 13.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
31.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
63.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

11/11 covered matches · current leagues

Points
17.0
xPts
13.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad Scoring in a row 5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak70

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 70/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
50.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-26Real MadridA1–4LYes
2026-08-29EspanyolH2–1WYes
2026-09-03Celta VigoH0–0DNo
2026-09-07ElcheA3–2WYes
2026-09-13Atletico MadridH0–3LNo
2026-09-17BournemouthH1–2LYes
2026-09-20ValenciaA3–2WYes
2026-10-11Deportivo La CorunaH3–2WYes
2026-10-15Union St. GilloiseA1–1DYes
2026-10-18MalagaA5–2WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-26Real MadridA1–4L
2026-08-29EspanyolH2–1W
2026-09-03Celta VigoH0–0D
2026-09-07ElcheA3–2W
2026-09-13Atletico MadridH0–3L
2026-09-17BournemouthH1–2L
2026-09-20ValenciaA3–2W
2026-10-11Deportivo La CorunaH3–2W
2026-10-15Union St. GilloiseA1–1D
2026-10-18MalagaA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-26Real MadridA1–4L
2026-08-29EspanyolH2–1W
2026-09-03Celta VigoH0–0D
2026-09-07ElcheA3–2W
2026-09-13Atletico MadridH0–3L
2026-09-17BournemouthH1–2L
2026-09-20ValenciaA3–2W
2026-10-11Deportivo La CorunaH3–2W
2026-10-15Union St. GilloiseA1–1D
2026-10-18MalagaA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad xG difference per match −0.44 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.28; xG against 1.72. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
29.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.28
xG against
1.72

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →

Showing 1–7 of 7 signals

About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

Explore methodology →