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UEFA Europa League · 6 signals · 1 clubs in this view
CelticGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score65/100
Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.0
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.12
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 74.7
- Recency
- 48.4
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 56.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.44; xG against 1.32. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
All signals6 signals · 1 clubs
Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →
Celtic
xG difference per match
+1.12
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG42
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.44; xG against 1.32. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 74.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.44
- xG against
- 1.32
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Celtic
Goals conceded away per match
1.8
Last 6 recorded away matches
Scores45
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.9
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 54.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Celtic’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | KilmarnockA | 5–1W |
| 2026-08-25 | Lask LinzA | 1–5L |
| 2026-09-05 | ST MirrenA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-09 | ST JohnstoneA | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | MotherwellA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-15 | BenficaA | 1–4L |
Celtic
Goals scored per match
2.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 22.3
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Celtic’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Lask LinzA | 1–5L |
| 2026-08-29 | FalkirkH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-02 | AberdeenH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | ST MirrenA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-09 | ST JohnstoneA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-17 | Ferencvarosi TCH | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-20 | RangersH | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-11 | MotherwellA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-15 | BenficaA | 1–4L |
| 2026-10-18 | Heart Of MidlothianH | 7–1W |
Celtic
Clean sheets
3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.2
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Celtic’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Lask LinzA | 1–5L | No |
| 2026-08-29 | FalkirkH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-02 | AberdeenH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | ST MirrenA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-09 | ST JohnstoneA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | Ferencvarosi TCH | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-09-20 | RangersH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-11 | MotherwellA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | BenficaA | 1–4L | No |
| 2026-10-18 | Heart Of MidlothianH | 7–1W | No |
Celtic
Both teams scored
60%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Celtic’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Lask LinzA | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | FalkirkH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | AberdeenH | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | ST MirrenA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | ST JohnstoneA | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-17 | Ferencvarosi TCH | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | RangersH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-11 | MotherwellA | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-10-15 | BenficaA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Heart Of MidlothianH | 7–1W | Yes |
Celtic
Goals conceded per match
1.6
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 6.6
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Celtic’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Lask LinzA | 1–5L |
| 2026-08-29 | FalkirkH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-02 | AberdeenH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | ST MirrenA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-09 | ST JohnstoneA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-17 | Ferencvarosi TCH | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-20 | RangersH | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-11 | MotherwellA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-15 | BenficaA | 1–4L |
| 2026-10-18 | Heart Of MidlothianH | 7–1W |
About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
Check the window
Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
Read the chart
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
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