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Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

League insights

UEFA Europa League · 4 signals · 1 clubs in this view

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No supported compound story in this view yet. Individual signals remain available below.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals4 signals · 1 clubs

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Celje xG difference per match −1.12 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG42

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.82; xG against 1.94. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 42/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
74.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.82
xG against
1.94

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Celje Losses in a row 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak56

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-22 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.7
Recency
87.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Celje’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-22Egnatia RrogozhinëA3–3DNo
2026-07-28Egnatia RrogozhinëH1–1DNo
2026-08-04Ararat-ArmeniaA1–2LYes
2026-08-11Ararat-ArmeniaH2–0WNo
2026-08-19Slovan BratislavaA1–1DNo
2026-08-26Slovan BratislavaH1–2LYes
2026-09-16Bayer LeverkusenA0–2LYes
2026-10-15Omonia NicosiaH0–3LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Celje Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-22 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
11.5
Recency
87.6
Context
40.0
Quality
57.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Celje’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-07-22Egnatia RrogozhinëA3–3D
2026-07-28Egnatia RrogozhinëH1–1D
2026-08-04Ararat-ArmeniaA1–2L
2026-08-11Ararat-ArmeniaH2–0W
2026-08-19Slovan BratislavaA1–1D
2026-08-26Slovan BratislavaH1–2L
2026-09-16Bayer LeverkusenA0–2L
2026-10-15Omonia NicosiaH0–3L
Full club analysis →
Celje Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-22 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.9
Recency
87.6
Context
40.0
Quality
57.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Celje’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-22Egnatia RrogozhinëA3–3DYes
2026-07-28Egnatia RrogozhinëH1–1DYes
2026-08-04Ararat-ArmeniaA1–2LYes
2026-08-11Ararat-ArmeniaH2–0WNo
2026-08-19Slovan BratislavaA1–1DYes
2026-08-26Slovan BratislavaH1–2LYes
2026-09-16Bayer LeverkusenA0–2LNo
2026-10-15Omonia NicosiaH0–3LNo
Full club analysis →

Showing 1–4 of 4 signals

About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

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