Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

League insights

Bundesliga · 5 signals · 1 clubs in this view

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No supported compound story in this view yet. Individual signals remain available below.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals5 signals · 1 clubs

Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →

FC Augsburg Goals scored per match 2.7 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.4
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FC Augsburg’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-30FC Schalke 04H3–0W
2026-09-06Eintracht FrankfurtA4–1W
2026-09-12Bayer LeverkusenH2–2D
2026-09-19Werder BremenA2–3L
2026-10-10Bayern MünchenH2–2D
2026-10-17SV ElversbergA3–4L
Full club analysis →
FC Augsburg Both teams scored 83% Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
39.4
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FC Augsburg’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-30FC Schalke 04H3–0WNo
2026-09-06Eintracht FrankfurtA4–1WYes
2026-09-12Bayer LeverkusenH2–2DYes
2026-09-19Werder BremenA2–3LYes
2026-10-10Bayern MünchenH2–2DYes
2026-10-17SV ElversbergA3–4LYes
Full club analysis →
FC Augsburg Scoring in a row 6 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Streak61

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
49.1
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FC Augsburg’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-30FC Schalke 04H3–0WYes
2026-09-06Eintracht FrankfurtA4–1WYes
2026-09-12Bayer LeverkusenH2–2DYes
2026-09-19Werder BremenA2–3LYes
2026-10-10Bayern MünchenH2–2DYes
2026-10-17SV ElversbergA3–4LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
FC Augsburg Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.1
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FC Augsburg’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-30FC Schalke 04H3–0W
2026-09-06Eintracht FrankfurtA4–1W
2026-09-12Bayer LeverkusenH2–2D
2026-09-19Werder BremenA2–3L
2026-10-10Bayern MünchenH2–2D
2026-10-17SV ElversbergA3–4L
Full club analysis →
FC Augsburg xG difference per match −0.23 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG21

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.02; xG against 2.25. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 21/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.02
xG against
2.25

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →

Showing 1–5 of 5 signals

About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

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