Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

How to read the signals →

Explore insights

Explore competitions →

Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

League insights

Belgian Pro League · 7 signals · 1 clubs in this view

Explore all signals ↓

No supported compound story in this view yet. Individual signals remain available below.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals7 signals · 1 clubs

Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →

Gent Points above expected +9.8 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast70

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 22; xPts 12.2. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 70/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
22.0
xPts
12.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Gent Goals conceded per match 0.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
34.1
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Gent’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09KV MechelenH2–0W
2026-08-16RAAL La LouvièreA2–1W
2026-08-30Club Brugge KVH2–1W
2026-09-03OH LeuvenH1–0W
2026-09-06Cercle BruggeA3–0W
2026-09-13GenkA1–1D
2026-09-18Standard LiegeH2–1W
2026-10-10Zulte WaregemA2–0W
Full club analysis →
Gent Unbeaten in a row 8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak68

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
73.8
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Gent’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09KV MechelenH2–0WYes
2026-08-16RAAL La LouvièreA2–1WYes
2026-08-30Club Brugge KVH2–1WYes
2026-09-03OH LeuvenH1–0WYes
2026-09-06Cercle BruggeA3–0WYes
2026-09-13GenkA1–1DYes
2026-09-18Standard LiegeH2–1WYes
2026-10-10Zulte WaregemA2–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Gent Scoring in a row 8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak68

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
73.8
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Gent’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09KV MechelenH2–0WYes
2026-08-16RAAL La LouvièreA2–1WYes
2026-08-30Club Brugge KVH2–1WYes
2026-09-03OH LeuvenH1–0WYes
2026-09-06Cercle BruggeA3–0WYes
2026-09-13GenkA1–1DYes
2026-09-18Standard LiegeH2–1WYes
2026-10-10Zulte WaregemA2–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Gent Clean sheets 4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
35.9
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Gent’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09KV MechelenH2–0WYes
2026-08-16RAAL La LouvièreA2–1WNo
2026-08-30Club Brugge KVH2–1WNo
2026-09-03OH LeuvenH1–0WYes
2026-09-06Cercle BruggeA3–0WYes
2026-09-13GenkA1–1DNo
2026-09-18Standard LiegeH2–1WNo
2026-10-10Zulte WaregemA2–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Gent xG difference per match +0.35 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.42; xG against 1.07. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.42
xG against
1.07

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Gent Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.1
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Gent’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09KV MechelenH2–0W
2026-08-16RAAL La LouvièreA2–1W
2026-08-30Club Brugge KVH2–1W
2026-09-03OH LeuvenH1–0W
2026-09-06Cercle BruggeA3–0W
2026-09-13GenkA1–1D
2026-09-18Standard LiegeH2–1W
2026-10-10Zulte WaregemA2–0W
Full club analysis →

Showing 1–7 of 7 signals

About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

Explore methodology →