Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Nov 1 2025 · 15:30 Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Ajax
1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.97 – 0.87
Heerenveen
  • M. Godts 39’
  • 68’ V. Sejk
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Ajax and Heerenveen share the points

Ajax entered as clear favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Godts goal. But Sejk scored to rescue a draw for Heerenveen. The chances were even, with xG of 0.97 and 0.87.

Ajax65%
Draw ✓21%
Heerenveen15%

Model vs reality

Ajax goals
1
Model 2.13 · xG 0.97
Heerenveen goals
1
Model 0.92 · xG 0.87
Total goals
2
Model 3.05 · xG 1.84
Score 1–1
10%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. GodtsAjax · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeJannick van der Laan
  • VenueJohan Cruijff Arena
  • Table before kick-offAjax 4th · Heerenveen 11th

Timeline

  1. M. Godts 1–0Assist O. Gloukh
    39’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. ⇄ Eser GürbüzFor J. Trenskow
    68’
  4. V. Sejk 1–1
    68’
  5. ⇄ A. GaaeiFor Lucas Rosa
    73’
  6. ⇄ J. MokioFor Y. Regeer
    73’
  7. ⇄ D. KlaassenFor Raúl Moro
    80’
  8. ⇄ M. LindayFor D. Vente
    82’
  9. J. van OvereemYellow card · Holding
    83’
  10. ⇄ N. HoplandFor J. van Overeem
    88’
  11. M. RiveraYellow card · Delay of game
    90+2’
  12. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Ajax8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
Heerenveen15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
AjaxHeerenveen
57% Possession 43%
0.97 Expected goals (xG) 0.87
1.42 Expected points (xPts) 1.26
8 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 7
3 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
6 Shots inside the box 10
2 Shots outside the box 5
525 Passes 399
84% Pass accuracy 80%
5 Corners 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.96 Team rating 6.69

Line-ups

Ajax 4-2-3-1

227.2 R. Pasveer(G)
57.2 O. Wijndal 157.2 Y. Baas 47.0 K. Itakura 26.6 Lucas Rosa ↓73’
86.6 K. Taylor 66.9 Y. Regeer ↓73’
118.2★ M. Godts 106.6 O. Gloukh A 76.2 Raúl Moro ↓80’
256.9 W. Weghorst
  • 22R. Pasveer (G)7.2
  • 5O. Wijndal7.2
  • 15Y. Baas7.2
  • 4K. Itakura7.0
  • 2Lucas Rosa↓73’6.6
  • 8K. Taylor6.6
  • 6Y. Regeer↓73’6.9
  • 11M. Godts ★8.2
  • 10O. GloukhA6.6
  • 7Raúl Moro↓80’6.2
  • 25W. Weghorst6.9

Substitutes used

  • 3A. Gaaei↑73’6.7
  • 24J. Mokio↑73’6.3
  • 18D. Klaassen↑80’6.5

Unused: V. Jaroš, P. Reverson, J. Šutalo, Rayane Bounida, J. McConnell, K. Fitz-Jim, O. Edvardsen, Emre Ünüvar

Heerenveen 4-2-3-1

226.2 B. Klaverboer(G)
196.9 V. Zagaritis 36.3 M. Willemsen 46.9 S. Kersten 457.3 O. Braude
87.0 L. Brouwers 66.9 J. van Overeem ↓88’
76.3 M. Rivera 96.3 D. Vente ↓82’ 206.2 J. Trenskow ↓68’
277.2 V. Sejk
  • 22B. Klaverboer (G)6.2
  • 19V. Zagaritis6.9
  • 3M. Willemsen6.3
  • 4S. Kersten6.9
  • 45O. Braude7.3
  • 8L. Brouwers7.0
  • 6J. van Overeem↓88’6.9
  • 7M. Rivera6.3
  • 9D. Vente↓82’6.3
  • 20J. Trenskow↓68’6.2
  • 27V. Sejk7.2

Substitutes used

  • 50Eser Gürbüz↑68’6.6
  • 17N. Hopland↑88’
  • 16M. Linday↑82’6.7

Unused: A. Noppert, N. Bakker, H. Petrov, M. Egbring, I. Ahmed, N. Courtens, J. Rijssel

Player stats

Top rated
M. GodtsAjax8.2
2nd
O. BraudeHeerenveen7.3
3rd
R. PasveerAjax7.2

Ajax

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
R. Pasveer G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 80% 54 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
O. Wijndal D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 33 2 1 1/2 0/1 7.2
Y. Baas D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 74 2 0 0/0 0/3 7.2
K. Itakura D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 71 1 2 0/0 0/1 7.0
Lucas Rosa D 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 61 2 1 0/1 2/1 6.6
K. Taylor M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 38 2 2 0/0 1/0 6.6
Y. Regeer M 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 38 3 1 1/2 0/1 6.9
M. Godts F 90 1 0 1 (1) 2 68% 34 1 0 1/5 1/2 8.2
O. Gloukh M 90 0 1 2 (1) 1 70% 44 1 0 0/3 0/2 6.6
Raúl Moro F 80 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 20 0 2 0/1 0/0 6.2
W. Weghorst F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 64% 28 0 1 0/0 2/3 6.9
A. Gaaei D 17 0 0 1 (0) 0 93% 14 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
J. Mokio D 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 12 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
D. Klaassen M 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Heerenveen

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
B. Klaverboer G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 60% 30 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
V. Zagaritis D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 34 1 2 0/1 0/0 6.9
M. Willemsen D 90 0 0 2 (2) 0 85% 68 1 3 0/0 3/1 6.3
S. Kersten D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 95% 59 1 3 0/0 2/0 6.9
O. Braude D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 52 4 1 0/0 2/1 7.3
L. Brouwers M 90 0 0 2 (2) 2 83% 40 5 1 0/1 1/1 7.0
J. van Overeem M 88 0 0 1 (0) 0 79% 33 3 3 2/3 1/1 6.9
M. Rivera F 90 0 0 3 (1) 0 61% 28 1 2 2/4 0/2 6.3
D. Vente F 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 65% 17 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Trenskow F 68 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 15 0 2 0/0 1/0 6.2
V. Sejk F 90 1 0 2 (2) 3 53% 17 3 1 2/3 5/0 7.2
Eser Gürbüz F 22 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 3 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.6
N. Hopland D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 1 0 0/0 0/0 —
M. Linday M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.