Alanyaspor vs Besiktas – 23 Aug 2026

Süper Lig Gameweek 2 Sun, Aug 23 · 19:30 GAIN Park Stadium, Alanya

Alanyaspor 13th · 1 pts · 1 played D

1–0Full time

Besiktas 10th · 3 pts · 1 played W

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Besiktas were slight favourites.

Besiktas were the stronger side on L90 Strength (49 vs 21). Besiktas usually keep the ball (61% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. Alanyaspor had 8 days of rest, Besiktas 3.1 and had to travel 563 km.

Away travel563 kmRest days8 · 3.1Matches / 14d1 · 3

Alanyaspor26%

Draw25%

Besiktas49%

Expected goals 1.10 – 1.62

Alanyaspor27%

Draw25%

Besiktas48%

Expected goals 1.12 – 1.59

Alanyaspor26%

Draw25%

Besiktas49%

Expected goals 1.10 – 1.62

Alanyaspor20%

Draw23%

Besiktas57%

Expected goals 0.98 – 1.81

Alanyaspor27%

Draw25%

Besiktas48%

Expected goals 1.09 – 1.55

Over 2.5 51% Both score 53% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Alanya)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeAdnan Deniz Kayatepe

Cards per match 4.1
Penalties per match 0.40
Matches 20

Team strength

Alanyaspor

Besiktas

21 L90 StrengthIn forecast 49

24 Current StrengthIn forecast 50

18 AttackIn forecast 60

24 DefenceIn forecast 48

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Alanyaspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Besiktas

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Alanyaspor

Besiktas

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.40

0.93 xGVia Att/Def 1.65

1.12 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.13

+0.67 Goals minus xGContext -0.25

80% Scored inContext 90%

20% Clean sheetsContext 80%

10.90 ShotsContext 18.20

3.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.00

36% On target shareContext 33%

6.30 Shots in the boxContext 10.40

60% Box shareContext 56%

15% ConversionContext 7%

2.25 OffsidesContext 3.00

10.90 Shots allowedContext 13.00

4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.80

3.22 BlocksContext 5.00

2.70 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00

68% Save rateContext 79%

48% PossessionIn forecast 64%

396 PassesContext 539

327 Accurate passesContext 477

83% Pass accuracyContext 89%

6.84 Team ratingContext 7.00

13.70 FoulsContext 10.86

14.00 Fouls sufferedContext 11.29

2.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.60

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Alanyaspor D

Rest8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km965 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 43 · 1 pts vs 1.8 for an average club · -0.3 vs expected

D15 AugA · Gazişehir Gaziantep1–11.3 xPts

Besiktas W

Rest3.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel563 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load29%Moderate

Form 57 · 3 pts vs 2.2 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected

W16 AugH · Eyüpspor1–02.1 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Alanyaspor	Besiktas
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Moderate · 29
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	8Süper Lig 2026-2027, 15 Aug	3.1UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs, 20 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	563 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	965 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 1	2 / 3 / 5
Next matchdays after this one	6.9	3.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Alanyaspor Confirmed XI

3-4-3

48Paulo Victor(G)

50Ü. Akdağ 5F. Aliti 3Nuno Lima

11Ruan 55B. Gezek 42G. Makouta 94F. Hadërgjonaj

7Ibrahim Kaya 17A. Usluoğlu 16U. Hwang

Besiktas Confirmed XI

4-1-4-1

1A. Nübel(G)

33R. Yılmaz 53E. Topçu 12E. Agbadou 22T. Bulut

6S. Özcan

19L. Trossard 10O. Kökçü 4O. Ndidi 18V. Černý

9H. Oh

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Alanyaspor Absences are shown before kick-off

Besiktas Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Alanyaspor+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Besiktas+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Alanyaspor · Home No home games yet this season.

Besiktas · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

2 Alanyaspor wins4 draws0 Besiktas wins

Goals per game1.67 – 1.00 Over 2.533% Both scored83% Clean sheets17% · 0%

8 Feb 2026Besiktas2–2Alanyaspor
31 Aug 2025Alanyaspor2–0Besiktas
18 May 2025Alanyaspor1–1Besiktas
21 Dec 2024Besiktas1–1Alanyaspor
12 May 2024Alanyaspor1–1Besiktas
21 Dec 2023Besiktas1–3Alanyaspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Alanyaspor	Besiktas	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	1.00
Conceded per game	1.00	0.00
Match goals	2.00	1.00	2.72
Over 1.5	100%	0%
Over 2.5	0%	0%	51%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	0%	53%
Clean sheets	0%	100%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

	Alanyaspor	Besiktas	Forecast
Scored per game	1.60	1.40
Conceded per game	1.20	0.40
Match goals	2.80	1.80	2.72
Over 1.5	80%	50%
Over 2.5	50%	30%	51%
Over 3.5	40%	10%
Both teams scored	70%	20%	53%
Clean sheets	20%	80%
Failed to score	20%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Alanyaspor	Besiktas	League
Corners
Corners won	—	8.00
Corners conceded	—	2.00
Match total	—	10.00	9.23
Over 8.5	—	100% 1/1
Over 9.5	—	100% 1/1
Over 10.5	—	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	3.00	2.00
Opponent cards	3.00	3.00
Match total	6.00	5.00	3.08
Over 3.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 4.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1

	Alanyaspor	Besiktas	League
Corners
Corners won	5.14	6.29
Corners conceded	4.00	4.71
Match total	9.14	11.00	9.23
Over 8.5	43% 3/7	86% 6/7
Over 9.5	43% 3/7	71% 5/7
Over 10.5	43% 3/7	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	2.50	1.70
Opponent cards	2.20	2.10
Match total	4.70	3.80	3.08
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Adnan Deniz Kayatepe Türkiye · 20 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.00league 3.07

Red cards0.10league 0.20

Cards 5+40%league 33%

Fouls26.2league 25.3

Penalties0.40league 0.40

Home wins45%league 40%

Alanyaspor2 with this referee

Record1-1-0 Cards · opp.3.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

W21 Dec 25H · Fatih Karagümrük2–03
D21 Sep 25A · Istanbul Basaksehir1–13

Besiktas4 with this referee

Record3-1-0 Cards · opp.1.3 · 2.0 Pens for · against3 · 0

W10 Apr 26H · Antalyaspor4–21
D26 Oct 25A · Kasimpasa1–12
W24 Sep 25A · Kayserispor4–02
W25 Apr 25H · Hatayspor5–10

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.