Alanyaspor vs Rizespor – 16 Aug 2025

Süper Lig Gameweek 2 Sat, Aug 16 · 19:30 GAIN Park Stadium, Alanya

Alanyaspor

0–0Full time

Rizespor 11th · 0 pts · 1 played L

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Alanyaspor were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Alanyaspor had ? days of rest, Rizespor 6.1 and had to travel 890 km.

Away travel890 kmRest days? · 6.1Matches / 14d0 · 1

Alanyaspor47%

Draw26%

Rizespor27%

Expected goals 1.59 – 1.14

Alanyaspor47%

Draw26%

Rizespor27%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.13

Alanyaspor47%

Draw26%

Rizespor26%

Expected goals 1.59 – 1.14

Alanyaspor40%

Draw27%

Rizespor33%

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.27

Alanyaspor47%

Draw26%

Rizespor27%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.13

Over 2.5 51% Both score 55% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Alanya)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeAtilla Karaoglan

Cards per match 5.9
Penalties per match 0.56
Matches 9

Team strength

Alanyaspor

Rizespor

23 L90 StrengthIn forecast 19

24 Current StrengthIn forecast 22

18 AttackIn forecast 22

24 DefenceIn forecast 35

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Alanyaspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Rizespor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Alanyaspor

Rizespor

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.80

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

1.06 xGVia Att/Def 1.52

1.14 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.08

+0.24 Goals minus xGContext +0.28

90% Scored inContext 70%

30% Clean sheetsContext 20%

10.10 ShotsContext 12.10

3.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.00

32% On target shareContext 41%

6.90 Shots in the boxContext 8.20

69% Box shareContext 65%

13% ConversionContext 15%

2.00 OffsidesContext 2.29

10.20 Shots allowedContext 15.20

4.33 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.30

2.63 BlocksContext 3.90

3.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.80

71% Save rateContext 65%

49% PossessionIn forecast 46%

427 PassesContext 330

365 Accurate passesContext 267

85% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.99 Team ratingContext 7.01

11.30 FoulsContext 10.40

13.00 Fouls sufferedContext 10.80

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Alanyaspor

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Rizespor

Rest6.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel890 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Alanyaspor	Rizespor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	—	6.1Süper Lig 2025-2026, 10 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	890 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	8.9	14

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Alanyaspor Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

1M. Taşkıran(G)

50Ü. Akdağ 5F. Aliti 3Nuno Lima

88Y. Özdemir 17N. Janvier 42G. Makouta 94F. Hadërgjonaj

16U. Hwang 10G. Yalçın

9A. Šporar

Rizespor Confirmed XI

3-5-1-1

1E. Canpolat(G)

5C. Højer 3S. Akaydin 2H. Aliqulov

54M. Pala 20Q. Laçi 6G. Papanikolaou 10I. Olawoyin 37M. Şahin

11H. Dervişoğlu

9A. Sowe

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Alanyaspor Absences are shown before kick-off

Rizespor Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Alanyaspor+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Rizespor+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Alanyaspor · Home No home games yet this season.

Rizespor · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

2 Alanyaspor wins1 draws1 Rizespor wins

Goals per game1.00 – 1.00 Over 2.550% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 25%

2 Mar 2025Rizespor3–1Alanyaspor
28 Sep 2024Alanyaspor1–0Rizespor
20 Jan 2024Alanyaspor2–1Rizespor
19 Aug 2023Rizespor0–0Alanyaspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Alanyaspor	Rizespor	Forecast
Scored per game	—	0.00
Conceded per game	—	3.00
Match goals	—	3.00	2.73
Over 1.5	—	100%
Over 2.5	—	100%	51%
Over 3.5	—	0%
Both teams scored	—	0%	55%
Clean sheets	—	0%
Failed to score	—	100%
Games	0	1

	Alanyaspor	Rizespor	Forecast
Scored per game	—	0.00
Conceded per game	—	3.00
Match goals	—	3.00	2.73
Over 1.5	—	100%
Over 2.5	—	100%	51%
Over 3.5	—	0%
Both teams scored	—	0%	55%
Clean sheets	—	0%
Failed to score	—	100%
Games	0	1

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Alanyaspor	Rizespor	League
Corners
Corners won	—	3.00
Corners conceded	—	5.00
Match total	—	8.00	8.75
Over 8.5	—	0% 0/1
Over 9.5	—	0% 0/1
Over 10.5	—	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	—	2.00
Opponent cards	—	1.00
Match total	—	3.00	3.38
Over 3.5	—	0% 0/1
Over 4.5	—	0% 0/1

	Alanyaspor	Rizespor	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	6.10
Corners conceded	3.00	4.40
Match total	7.00	10.50	8.75
Over 8.5	11% 1/9	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	11% 1/9	60% 6/10
Over 10.5	0% 0/9	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	2.20	2.10
Opponent cards	2.40	1.00
Match total	4.60	3.10	3.38
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	40% 4/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Atilla Karaoglan Türkiye · 9 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards5.78league 3.00

Red cards0.11league 0.38

Cards 5+67%league 38%

Fouls21.7league 24.6

Penalties0.56league 0.50

Home wins56%league 50%

Alanyaspor2 with this referee

Record2-0-0 Cards · opp.5.0 · 4.5 Pens for · against0 · 1

W25 May 25A · Konyaspor2–15
W21 Apr 25H · Samsunspor1–05

Rizespor1 with this referee

Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.5.0 · 1.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

L27 Apr 25A · Kayserispor0–15

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.