Anderlecht
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
Qualifying rounds Thu, Jul 30 · 19:30
Lotto Park, Brussel
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel1,280 kmRest days7.1 · 7.1Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Anderlecht—%
Draw—%
Hammarby FF—%
Weather (Brussel)
No weather data yet
RefereeD. Nikolić
- Cards per match 7.5
- Penalties per match 0.00
- Matches 2
Team strength
Anderlecht
Hammarby FF
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L90 StrengthIn forecast
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43
Current StrengthIn forecast
25
37
AttackIn forecast
24
52
DefenceIn forecast
27
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Form indexContext
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In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisHammarby FF
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
AnderlechtHammarby FF
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
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—
xGVia Att/Def
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—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
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—
Goals minus xGContext
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—
Scored inContext
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—
Clean sheetsContext
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—
ShotsContext
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—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
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—
On target shareContext
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—
Shots in the boxContext
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—
Box shareContext
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—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
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—
Shots allowedContext
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
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—
Goalkeeper savesContext
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Save rateContext
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—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
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—
Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
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—
Yellow cardsContext
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—
Red cardsContext
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1.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.57
2.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.71
1.10
xGVia Att/Def
—
1.70
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
+0.40
Goals minus xGContext
—
90%
Scored inContext
43%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
29%
13.56
ShotsContext
—
5.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
37%
On target shareContext
13%
7.56
Shots in the boxContext
—
56%
Box shareContext
—
12%
ConversionContext
7%
1.71
OffsidesContext
—
15.11
Shots allowedContext
—
5.22
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
4.33
BlocksContext
—
3.22
Goalkeeper savesContext
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62%
Save rateContext
71%
50%
PossessionIn forecast
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429
PassesContext
—
344
Accurate passesContext
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80%
Pass accuracyContext
—
6.64
Team ratingContext
—
13.00
FoulsContext
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10.00
Fouls sufferedContext
—
2.10
Yellow cardsContext
2.57
0.30
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Anderlecht
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km2,560 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Hammarby FF
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel1,280 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Anderlecht |
Hammarby FF |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 5 | Low · 12 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.1UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 23 Jul | 7.1UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 23 Jul |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,280 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 2,560 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 1 | 0 / 1 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | — |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Anderlecht
Confirmed XI
26C. Coosemans(G)
6H. Augustinsson
4G. Biancone
27L. Pétrot
79A. Maamar
18L. Ambros
24E. Llansana
55M. Kana
61J. Bethume
14D. Sikan
49J. Onia-Seke
Hammarby FF
Confirmed XI
1W. Hahn(G)
16N. Persson
3F. Winther
4V. Eriksson
2E. Skoglund
8M. Karlsson
5T. Tekie
9V. Lind
11O. Johansson
26M. Madjed
7P. Abraham
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Anderlecht
Absences are shown before kick-off
Hammarby FF
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
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Home / Away this season
Anderlecht · Home
No home games yet this season.
Hammarby FF · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings
0 Anderlecht wins1 draws0 Hammarby FF wins
Goals per game1.00 – 1.00
Over 2.50%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 23 Jul 2026Hammarby FF1–1Anderlecht
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Anderlecht | Hammarby FF | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.00 | 2.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% | |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 1 | 1 |
| Anderlecht | Hammarby FF | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.40 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.40 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.80 | 2.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 0% | |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% | |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 0% | |
| Games | 10 | 1 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Anderlecht | Hammarby FF | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 11.50 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.00 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 3.00 | |
| Match total | 5.00 | 5.00 | 5.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 4.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Anderlecht | Hammarby FF | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.22 | 5.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.89 | 6.50 | |
| Match total | 8.11 | 11.50 | 11.50 |
| Over 8.5 | 33% 3/9 | 100% 2/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 33% 3/9 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.57 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.40 | 3.14 | |
| Match total | 4.90 | 5.71 | 5.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 80% 8/10 | 86% 6/7 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 5/10 | 86% 6/7 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · D. Nikolić 2 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards7.00league 3.44
Red cards0.50league 0.15
Cards 5+100%league 33%
Fouls—league 34.0
Penalties0.00league 0.11
Home wins0%league 44%
AnderlechtNo previous matches with this referee.
Hammarby FFNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Anderlecht1 games · scored 1 · conceded 1
1
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
Hammarby FF1 games · scored 1 · conceded 1
1
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
Anderlecht10 games · scored 15 · conceded 20
2
2
0-15
2
5
16-30
2
4
31-45
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
6
3
76-90
Hammarby FF7 games · scored 4 · conceded 5
1
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
3
46-60
61-75
2
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.