Anderlecht
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Anderlecht were slight favourites.
Anderlecht were the stronger side on L90 Strength (40 vs 20). Anderlecht had 2.9 days of rest, RAAL La Louvière 140 and had to travel 42 km.
Away travel42 kmRest days2.9 · 140Matches / 14d2 · 0
Anderlecht60%
Draw22%
RAAL La Louvière18%
Anderlecht59%
Draw22%
RAAL La Louvière19%
Anderlecht60%
Draw22%
RAAL La Louvière18%
Anderlecht52%
Draw24%
RAAL La Louvière24%
Anderlecht60%
Draw21%
RAAL La Louvière19%
Over 2.5 55%
Both score 53%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Brussel)
No weather data yet
Referee · BelgiumLawrence Visser
- Cards per match 5.3
- Penalties per match 0.22
- Matches 55
Team strength
Anderlecht
RAAL La Louvière
40
L90 StrengthIn forecast
20
43
Current StrengthIn forecast
17
37
AttackIn forecast
15
52
DefenceIn forecast
15
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisRAAL La Louvière
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
AnderlechtRAAL La Louvière
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
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—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
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Scored inContext
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—
Clean sheetsContext
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—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
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—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
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—
Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
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Yellow cardsContext
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—
Red cardsContext
—
1.40
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.40
1.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.00
1.06
xGVia Att/Def
1.28
1.69
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.63
+0.34
Goals minus xGContext
+0.12
90%
Scored inContext
50%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
14.75
ShotsContext
13.20
5.25
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.30
36%
On target shareContext
33%
7.43
Shots in the boxContext
10.10
54%
Box shareContext
75%
10%
ConversionContext
11%
1.50
OffsidesContext
1.88
14.00
Shots allowedContext
11.70
4.88
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.50
4.13
BlocksContext
2.78
2.75
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.89
56%
Save rateContext
61%
46%
PossessionIn forecast
47%
406
PassesContext
337
324
Accurate passesContext
258
80%
Pass accuracyContext
77%
6.58
Team ratingContext
6.80
13.44
FoulsContext
10.60
10.67
Fouls sufferedContext
11.30
1.90
Yellow cardsContext
1.70
0.30
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Anderlecht
Rest2.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km3,653 km in 14d
Schedule load18%Low
RAAL La Louvière
Rest140 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel42 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Anderlecht |
RAAL La Louvière |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 18 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 2.9UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 6 Aug | 140Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 22 Mar |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 42 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 3,653 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 3 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 4.1 | 6.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Anderlecht
Confirmed XI
26C. Coosemans(G)
6H. Augustinsson
27L. Pétrot
4G. Biancone
79A. Maamar
55M. Kana
13N. Saliba
61K. Nga
83T. Degreef
18L. Ambros
9M. Cvetkovic
RAAL La Louvière
Confirmed XI
21M. Peano(G)
5T. Lutonda
99Y. Okou
4Wagane Faye
33P. Nkoa
18S. Delos
23J. Ito
48I. Coulibaly
10M. Wade
11M. Isah
9E. Filet
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Anderlecht
Absences are shown before kick-off
RAAL La Louvière
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Anderlecht+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Anderlecht · Home
No home games yet this season.
RAAL La Louvière · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
1 Anderlecht wins1 draws0 RAAL La Louvière wins
Goals per game0.50 – 0.00
Over 2.50%
Both scored0%
Clean sheets100% · 50%
- 15 Feb 2026Anderlecht0–0RAAL La Louvière
- 23 Nov 2025RAAL La Louvière0–1Anderlecht
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Anderlecht | RAAL La Louvière | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | 2.89 |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | 53% |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| Anderlecht | RAAL La Louvière | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.80 | 1.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.30 | 1.60 | |
| Match goals | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.89 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Anderlecht | RAAL La Louvière | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 9.14 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 2.57 |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
| Anderlecht | RAAL La Louvière | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.13 | 5.60 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.38 | 4.20 | |
| Match total | 8.51 | 9.80 | 9.14 |
| Over 8.5 | 38% 3/8 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 38% 3/8 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 38% 3/8 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.30 | 1.70 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.30 | 1.70 | |
| Match total | 4.60 | 3.40 | 2.57 |
| Over 3.5 | 90% 9/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 60% 6/10 | 10% 1/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Lawrence Visser Belgium · 55 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.96league 2.43
Red cards0.31league 0.14
Cards 5+64%league 14%
Fouls22.9league 21.3
Penalties0.22league 0.43
Home wins44%league 57%
Anderlecht8 with this referee
Record3-1-4
Cards · opp.2.4 · 2.3
Pens for · against0 · 3
Reds2
- L24 May 26A · Union St. Gilloise1–53
- W12 Apr 26H · Gent3–11
- L18 Jan 26A · Gent2–43
- L7 Dec 25A · KVC Westerlo0–42
- L24 Oct 25A · Charleroi0–12
RAAL La Louvière1 with this referee
Record0-0-1
Cards · opp.2.0 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 1
- L26 Jul 25H · Standard Liege0–22
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
AnderlechtRAAL La LouvièreAnderlecht10 games · scored 14 · conceded 19
3
3
0-15
2
4
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
5
3
76-90
RAAL La Louvière10 games · scored 14 · conceded 20
1
5
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
3
1
46-60
3
3
61-75
3
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
