Angers vs Lille – 23 Aug 2026

Ligue 1 Gameweek 1 Sun, Aug 23 · 14:00 Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers

Angers

0–2Full time

Lille

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Lille were slight favourites.

Lille were the stronger side on L90 Strength (57 vs 20). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Lille. Angers had 97.8 days of rest, Lille 97.8 and had to travel 442 km. Conditions were neutral.

Away travel442 kmRest days97.8 · 97.8Matches / 14d0 · 0

Angers21%

Draw24%

Lille56%

Expected goals 0.95 – 1.72

Angers22%

Draw24%

Lille54%

Expected goals 1.02 – 1.75

Angers20%

Draw24%

Lille56%

Expected goals 0.93 – 1.74

Angers16%

Draw21%

Lille63%

Expected goals 0.84 – 1.93

Angers21%

Draw24%

Lille55%

Expected goals 0.97 – 1.71

Over 2.5 50% Both score 50% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Angers)

26°COvercast

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 17 km/h
Humidity 29%

Referee · FranceJeremy Stinat

Cards per match 4.0
Penalties per match 0.29
Matches 91

Team strength

Angers

Lille

20 L90 StrengthIn forecast 57

19 Current StrengthIn forecast 54

22 AttackIn forecast 42

12 DefenceIn forecast 60

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Angers

Attack—

Defense risk—

Lille

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Angers

Lille

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

0.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.70

0.96 xGVia Att/Def 1.40

1.60 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.68

-0.26 Goals minus xGContext +0.00

70% Scored inContext 70%

20% Clean sheetsContext 50%

9.10 ShotsContext 11.10

3.22 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.70

32% On target shareContext 42%

6.56 Shots in the boxContext 8.00

65% Box shareContext 72%

8% ConversionContext 13%

2.50 OffsidesContext 1.70

15.60 Shots allowedContext 7.60

6.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 2.40

2.80 BlocksContext 2.86

4.70 Goalkeeper savesContext 1.70

73% Save rateContext 71%

40% PossessionIn forecast 55%

355 PassesContext 484

291 Accurate passesContext 417

82% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.68 Team ratingContext 6.92

10.90 FoulsContext 8.80

10.70 Fouls sufferedContext 12.00

1.40 Yellow cardsContext 2.40

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Angers

Rest97.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Lille

Rest97.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel442 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Angers	Lille
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	97.8Ligue 1 2025-2026, 17 May	97.8Ligue 1 2025-2026, 17 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	442 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	6.2	5.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Angers Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1A. Lopes(G)

3J. Ekomié 21J. Lefort 4O. Camara 27L. Rao-Lisoa

14Y. Belkhdim 8B. van den Boomen

10M. Sbaï 26A. Bermont 18J. Allevinah

19A. El Ouazzani

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Lille Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1B. Özer(G)

15R. Perraud 4Alexsandro Ribeiro 3N. Ngoy 22Tiago Santos

6N. Bentaleb 17N. Mukau

19B. Önal 10H. Haraldsson 8E. Mbappé

9O. Giroud

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Angers Absences are shown before kick-off

Lille Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Angers+0.4 pp
Draw+0.2 pp
Lille-0.6 pp

Home / Away this season

Angers · Home No home games yet this season.

Lille · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

1 Angers wins2 draws5 Lille wins

Goals per game0.38 – 1.13 Over 2.50% Both scored25% Clean sheets13% · 63%

22 Feb 2026Angers0–1Lille
2 Nov 2025Lille1–0Angers
27 Apr 2025Angers0–2Lille
24 Aug 2024Lille2–0Angers
8 Apr 2023Angers1–0Lille
13 Nov 2022Lille1–0Angers

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Angers	Lille	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.67
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	50%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	50%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Angers	Lille	Forecast
Scored per game	0.70	1.40
Conceded per game	1.80	0.70
Match goals	2.50	2.10	2.67
Over 1.5	80%	70%
Over 2.5	40%	40%	50%
Over 3.5	20%	10%
Both teams scored	60%	30%	50%
Clean sheets	20%	50%
Failed to score	30%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Angers	Lille	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	10.00
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	2.67
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Angers	Lille	League
Corners
Corners won	3.89	4.20
Corners conceded	5.67	4.40
Match total	9.56	8.60	10.00
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	40% 4/10
Over 9.5	33% 3/9	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	22% 2/9	10% 1/10
Cards
Cards	1.50	2.40
Opponent cards	1.60	2.20
Match total	3.10	4.60	2.67
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Jeremy Stinat France · 91 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.71league 2.33

Red cards0.24league 0.33

Cards 5+36%league 0%

Fouls24.3league 24.3

Penalties0.29league 0.67

Home wins40%league 33%

Angers11 with this referee

Record1-2-8 Cards · opp.2.2 · 1.9 Pens for · against2 · 3

L25 Apr 26H · Paris Saint Germain0–30
D18 Oct 25H · Monaco1–12
L20 Apr 25A · Nice1–21
L2 Mar 25H · Toulouse0–43
L1 Sep 24H · Nice1–46

Lille6 with this referee

Record2-3-1 Cards · opp.1.8 · 2.3 Pens for · against1 · 2

W14 Sep 25H · Toulouse2–12
D10 Nov 24A · Nice2–22
W2 Mar 24A · Reims1–02
D3 Jun 23A · Estac Troyes1–14
D1 Feb 23H · Clermont Foot0–00

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.