Angers
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Angers were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Angers had ? days of rest, Paris FC ? and had to travel 264 km.
Away travel264 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0
Angers48%
Draw27%
Paris FC25%
Angers50%
Draw26%
Paris FC25%
Angers48%
Draw27%
Paris FC25%
Angers41%
Draw28%
Paris FC31%
Angers50%
Draw26%
Paris FC25%
Over 2.5 49%
Both score 52%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Angers)
No weather data yet
Referee · FranceFrançois Letexier
- Cards per match 4.4
- Penalties per match 0.33
- Matches 97
Team strength
Angers
Paris FC
17
L90 StrengthIn forecast
12
19
Current StrengthIn forecast
34
22
AttackIn forecast
46
12
DefenceIn forecast
38
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisParis FC
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
AngersParis FC
—
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
—
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
—
Scored inContext
—
—
Clean sheetsContext
—
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
—
—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
—
—
Pass accuracyContext
—
—
Team ratingContext
—
—
FoulsContext
—
—
Fouls sufferedContext
—
—
Yellow cardsContext
—
—
Red cardsContext
—
0.60
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
—
1.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
—
0.63
xGVia Att/Def
—
1.84
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
-0.03
Goals minus xGContext
—
40%
Scored inContext
—
20%
Clean sheetsContext
—
7.80
ShotsContext
—
2.56
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
30%
On target shareContext
—
5.44
Shots in the boxContext
—
67%
Box shareContext
—
8%
ConversionContext
—
2.86
OffsidesContext
—
14.50
Shots allowedContext
—
4.80
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
4.00
BlocksContext
—
3.30
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
69%
Save rateContext
—
39%
PossessionIn forecast
—
359
PassesContext
—
294
Accurate passesContext
—
82%
Pass accuracyContext
—
6.79
Team ratingContext
—
11.30
FoulsContext
—
11.00
Fouls sufferedContext
—
1.50
Yellow cardsContext
—
0.00
Red cardsContext
—
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Angers
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Paris FC
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel264 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Angers |
Paris FC |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | — | — |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 264 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 5.1 | 6 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Angers
Confirmed XI
12H. Koffi(G)
21J. Lefort
4O. Camara
2C. Arcus
26F. Hanin
14Y. Belkhdim
93H. Belkebla
27L. Rao-Lisoa
11S. Chérif
6L. Mouton
19E. Lepaul
Paris FC
Confirmed XI
16Obed Nkambadio(G)
19N. Sangui
15T. Kolodziejczak
5M. Mbow
31Samir Sophian Chergui
27M. Simon
21M. Lopez
8L. Doucet
10I. Kebbal
29P. Hamel
11J. Krasso
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Angers
Absences are shown before kick-off
Paris FC
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Angers+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Paris FC+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Angers · Home
No home games yet this season.
Paris FC · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Angers | Paris FC | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | 2.63 |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | 52% |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| Angers | Paris FC | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | 2.63 |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | 52% |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Angers | Paris FC | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 11.40 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 4.00 |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
| Angers | Paris FC | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.78 | — | |
| Corners conceded | 4.44 | — | |
| Match total | 9.22 | — | 11.40 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | — | |
| Over 9.5 | 44% 4/9 | — | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.50 | — | |
| Opponent cards | 1.60 | — | |
| Match total | 3.10 | — | 4.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% 3/10 | — | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 2/10 | — | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · François Letexier France · 97 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.13league 3.80
Red cards0.25league 0.20
Cards 5+49%league 60%
Fouls22.3league 23.4
Penalties0.33league 0.00
Home wins52%league 40%
Angers4 with this referee
Record1-1-2
Cards · opp.2.0 · 3.5
Pens for · against2 · 0
- L24 Nov 24A · Auxerre0–11
- L18 Feb 23A · Strasbourg1–23
- W11 Sep 22H · Montpellier2–12
- D6 Nov 21A · Lille1–12
Paris FCNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
AngersParis FCAngers10 games · scored 6 · conceded 15
2
1
0-15
1
16-30
1
3
31-45
3
5
46-60
2
61-75
3
76-90
Paris FCscored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
