Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Aug 9 · 18:15 Bosuilstadion, Deurne
Antwerp
2–1Full time
SK Beveren
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Antwerp were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Antwerp had 140 days of rest, SK Beveren ? and had to travel 15 km.

Away travel15 kmRest days140 · ?Matches / 14d0 · 0
Antwerp45%
Draw25%
SK Beveren30%
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.24
Antwerp46%
Draw25%
SK Beveren29%
Expected goals 1.53 – 1.17
Antwerp45%
Draw25%
SK Beveren30%
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.24
Antwerp38%
Draw25%
SK Beveren37%
Expected goals 1.41 – 1.39
Antwerp45%
Draw25%
SK Beveren30%
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.23
Over 2.5 54% Both score 56% Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Deurne)

No weather data yet

RefereeWesli De Cremer
  • Cards per match 4.1
  • Penalties per match 0.53
  • Matches 34

Team strength

AntwerpSK Beveren
29 L90 StrengthIn forecast 27
26 Current StrengthIn forecast 25
24 AttackIn forecast 18
19 DefenceIn forecast 20
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Antwerp

Attack—
Defense risk—

SK Beveren

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

AntwerpSK Beveren
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
1.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def —
1.60 xGVia Att/Def —
1.45 xG allowedVia Att/Def —
-0.40 Goals minus xGContext —
60% Scored inContext —
30% Clean sheetsContext —
15.00 ShotsContext —
4.30 Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
29% On target shareContext —
10.10 Shots in the boxContext —
68% Box shareContext —
8% ConversionContext —
4.10 OffsidesContext —
13.30 Shots allowedContext —
4.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def —
4.10 BlocksContext —
3.10 Goalkeeper savesContext —
63% Save rateContext —
55% PossessionIn forecast —
427 PassesContext —
357 Accurate passesContext —
84% Pass accuracyContext —
6.89 Team ratingContext —
12.20 FoulsContext —
11.10 Fouls sufferedContext —
2.10 Yellow cardsContext —
0.00 Red cardsContext —
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 0 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Antwerp
Rest140 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
SK Beveren
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel15 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Antwerp SK Beveren
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match140Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 22 Mar—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km15 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 00 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one66.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Antwerp Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
41Taishi Brandon Nozawa(G)
27E. Tuypens 20R. Van Helden 4Yuto Tsunashima 17S. Renders
14Xander Dierickx 6Jules Ahoka
77I. Salah 25M. Fofana 24T. Somers
9M. Frey
SK Beveren Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
1J. Schenk(G)
4C. Janssens 31B. Godeau 3V. Boone 21L. Jans
8F. Slegers 18S. Dewaele
5C. Lokesa 22C. Brüls 34K. Abrahams
92L. Mertens

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Antwerp Absences are shown before kick-off
SK Beveren Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
  • Antwerp+0.0 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • SK Beveren+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Antwerp · Home No home games yet this season.
SK Beveren · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Referee · Wesli De Cremer 34 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.91league 2.63
Red cards0.21league 0.25
Cards 5+38%league 25%
Fouls23.7league 21.6
Penalties0.53league 0.38
Home wins53%league 63%
Antwerp6 with this referee
Record2-0-4 Cards · opp.2.0 · 3.0 Pens for · against2 · 2
  • W28 Feb 26H · St. Truiden1–02
  • L23 Nov 25H · Dender1–21
  • W10 Aug 25H · OH Leuven3–13
  • L17 Feb 24H · KV Mechelen0–12
  • L28 Jan 24A · AS Eupen0–12
SK Beveren

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Antwerp
No complete event data.
SK Beveren
No complete event data.
Antwerp10 games · scored 12 · conceded 16
0-15
2 1 16-30
2 7 31-45
3 4 46-60
2 2 61-75
3 2 76-90
SK Beveren
No complete event data.

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.