Auxerre vs Angers – 29 Aug 2026

Ligue 1 Gameweek 2 Sat, Aug 29 · 19:45 Stade de l’Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre

Auxerre 18th · 0 pts · 1 played L

1–3Full time

Angers 16th · 0 pts · 1 played L

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Auxerre were slight favourites.

Auxerre were the stronger side on L90 Strength (30 vs 19). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Angers. Auxerre had 7.1 days of rest, Angers 6.2 and had to travel 311 km. Conditions were neutral.

Away travel311 kmRest days7.1 · 6.2Matches / 14d1 · 1

Auxerre52%

Draw23%

Angers24%

Expected goals 1.82 – 1.17

Auxerre53%

Draw24%

Angers23%

Expected goals 1.72 – 1.04

Auxerre52%

Draw23%

Angers25%

Expected goals 1.79 – 1.16

Auxerre45%

Draw24%

Angers31%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.31

Auxerre53%

Draw23%

Angers24%

Expected goals 1.88 – 1.21

Over 2.5 57% Both score 58% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Auxerre)

21°COvercast

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 13 km/h
Humidity 72%

Referee · FranceHakim Ben el Salem Hadj

Cards per match 3.8
Penalties per match 0.43
Matches 14

Team strength

Auxerre

Angers

30 L90 StrengthIn forecast 19

30 Current StrengthIn forecast 19

39 AttackIn forecast 22

25 DefenceIn forecast 12

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Auxerre

Attack—

Defense risk—

Angers

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Auxerre

Angers

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.60

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

0.99 xGVia Att/Def 1.09

1.77 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.64

+0.71 Goals minus xGContext -0.49

80% Scored inContext 60%

30% Clean sheetsContext 10%

10.50 ShotsContext 10.00

4.78 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00

41% On target shareContext 27%

7.50 Shots in the boxContext 7.11

62% Box shareContext 64%

16% ConversionContext 6%

2.00 OffsidesContext 2.38

11.40 Shots allowedContext 15.40

4.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.90

2.70 BlocksContext 2.90

2.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.00

64% Save rateContext 73%

45% PossessionIn forecast 41%

359 PassesContext 361

287 Accurate passesContext 296

80% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.85 Team ratingContext 6.69

15.10 FoulsContext 10.10

11.10 Fouls sufferedContext 10.70

1.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.50

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Auxerre L

Rest7.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km596 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 41 · 0 pts vs 1.0 for an average club · -0.7 vs expected

L22 AugA · Lens2–50.7 xPts

Angers L

Rest6.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel311 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 37 · 0 pts vs 1.5 for an average club · -0.9 vs expected

L23 AugH · Lille0–20.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Auxerre	Angers
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.1Ligue 1 2026-2027, 22 Aug	6.2Ligue 1 2026-2027, 23 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	311 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	596 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 1	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	5.9	7.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Auxerre Confirmed XI

4-3-3

23M. Diop(G)

92C. Akpa 35Elikya Legros 20S. Diomandé 27L. Sy

5K. Danois 46A. Piedfort 8N. Ahamada

3R. Labeau-Lascary 10D. Namaso 21R. Faivre

+9 more reported missing outside this XI

Angers Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1A. Lopes(G)

17Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa 21J. Lefort 4O. Camara 2C. Arcus

8B. van den Boomen 14Y. Belkhdim

26A. Bermont 10M. Sbaï 18J. Allevinah

19A. El Ouazzani

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Auxerre Absences are shown before kick-off

Angers Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Auxerre+0.4 pp
Draw-0.2 pp
Angers-0.2 pp

Home / Away this season

Auxerre · Home No home games yet this season.

Angers · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

2 Auxerre wins2 draws2 Angers wins

Goals per game1.17 – 1.33 Over 2.533% Both scored50% Clean sheets17% · 33%

3 May 2026Auxerre3–1Angers
9 Nov 2025Angers2–0Auxerre
19 Jan 2025Angers2–0Auxerre
24 Nov 2024Auxerre1–0Angers
12 Feb 2023Angers1–1Auxerre
14 Aug 2022Auxerre2–2Angers

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Auxerre	Angers	Forecast
Scored per game	2.00	0.00
Conceded per game	5.00	2.00
Match goals	7.00	2.00	2.98
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	0%	57%
Over 3.5	100%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	0%	58%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	100%
Games	1	1

	Auxerre	Angers	Forecast
Scored per game	1.70	0.60
Conceded per game	1.40	2.00
Match goals	3.10	2.60	2.98
Over 1.5	80%	90%
Over 2.5	60%	40%	57%
Over 3.5	40%	20%
Both teams scored	60%	60%	58%
Clean sheets	30%	10%
Failed to score	20%	40%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Auxerre	Angers	League
Corners
Corners won	7.00	8.00
Corners conceded	4.00	3.00
Match total	11.00	11.00	10.11
Over 8.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 9.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 10.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Cards
Cards	2.00	2.00
Opponent cards	1.00	2.00
Match total	3.00	4.00	3.22
Over 3.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Over 4.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1

	Auxerre	Angers	League
Corners
Corners won	4.40	4.33
Corners conceded	4.90	5.67
Match total	9.30	10.00	10.11
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	78% 7/9
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	44% 4/9
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	33% 3/9
Cards
Cards	1.60	1.60
Opponent cards	2.50	1.70
Match total	4.10	3.30	3.22
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj France · 14 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.43league 3.09

Red cards0.36league 0.18

Cards 5+36%league 9%

Fouls22.1league 22.5

Penalties0.43league 0.45

Home wins50%league 27%

Auxerre2 with this referee

Record1-0-1 Cards · opp.1.5 · 3.0 Pens for · against0 · 0 Reds1

W21 Mar 26H · Stade Brestois 293–01
L26 Oct 25H · LE Havre0–12

Angers5 with this referee

Record1-1-3 Cards · opp.1.0 · 2.2 Pens for · against0 · 2

D10 May 26H · Strasbourg1–12
L4 Jan 26A · LE Havre1–21
W7 Dec 25A · Nice1–01
L22 Aug 25A · Paris Saint Germain0–10
L27 Apr 25H · Lille0–21

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.