Besiktas vs Eyüpspor – 17 Aug 2025

Süper Lig Gameweek 2 Sun, Aug 17 · 19:30 Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul

Besiktas

2–1Full time

Eyüpspor 13th · 0 pts · 1 played L

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Besiktas were slight favourites.

Besiktas were the stronger side on L90 Strength (37 vs 20). Besiktas had ? days of rest, Eyüpspor 7 and had to travel 0 km.

Away travel0 kmRest days? · 7Matches / 14d0 · 1

Besiktas57%

Draw23%

Eyüpspor20%

Expected goals 1.92 – 1.04

Besiktas56%

Draw24%

Eyüpspor20%

Expected goals 1.81 – 0.99

Besiktas57%

Draw23%

Eyüpspor20%

Expected goals 1.92 – 1.04

Besiktas50%

Draw25%

Eyüpspor25%

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.17

Besiktas56%

Draw24%

Eyüpspor20%

Expected goals 1.81 – 0.99

Over 2.5 57% Both score 56% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (İstanbul)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeHalil Umut Meler

Cards per match 4.9
Penalties per match 0.14
Matches 14

Team strength

Besiktas

Eyüpspor

37 L90 StrengthIn forecast 20

50 Current StrengthIn forecast 13

60 AttackIn forecast 9

48 DefenceIn forecast 10

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Besiktas

Attack—

Defense risk—

Eyüpspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Besiktas

Eyüpspor

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

2.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30

1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.20

1.84 xGVia Att/Def 1.47

0.66 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.39

+0.56 Goals minus xGContext -0.17

90% Scored inContext 70%

20% Clean sheetsContext 20%

14.80 ShotsContext 11.40

5.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.89

40% On target shareContext 31%

10.00 Shots in the boxContext 7.89

68% Box shareContext 62%

16% ConversionContext 11%

2.33 OffsidesContext 2.43

10.50 Shots allowedContext 12.80

4.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.30

3.00 BlocksContext 3.60

4.11 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.20

80% Save rateContext 51%

58% PossessionIn forecast 58%

501 PassesContext 450

433 Accurate passesContext 391

87% Pass accuracyContext 87%

7.22 Team ratingContext 6.90

12.10 FoulsContext 9.40

11.20 Fouls sufferedContext 12.60

1.40 Yellow cardsContext 2.10

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Besiktas

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Eyüpspor

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Besiktas	Eyüpspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	—	7Süper Lig 2025-2026, 10 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	0 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	14	7.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Besiktas Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1F. Günok(G)

53E. Topçu 14O. Uduokhai 3G. de Abreu 2J. Svensson

10O. Kökçü 4O. Ndidi

18João Mário 27Rafa 7M. Rashica

9T. Abraham

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Eyüpspor Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

1Marcos Felipe(G)

18N. Mujakić 4Luccas Claro 6R. Yalçın

11S. Gürler 30Y. Kayan 10K. Demirbay 2Calegari

70D. Drăguş 7H. Akbunar

9M. Thiam

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Besiktas Absences are shown before kick-off

Eyüpspor Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Besiktas+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Eyüpspor+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Besiktas · Home No home games yet this season.

Eyüpspor · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

2 Besiktas wins0 draws0 Eyüpspor wins

Goals per game2.50 – 1.00 Over 2.5100% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%

21 Feb 2025Eyüpspor1–3Besiktas
22 Sep 2024Besiktas2–1Eyüpspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Besiktas	Eyüpspor	Forecast
Scored per game	—	1.00
Conceded per game	—	4.00
Match goals	—	5.00	2.96
Over 1.5	—	100%
Over 2.5	—	100%	57%
Over 3.5	—	100%
Both teams scored	—	100%	56%
Clean sheets	—	0%
Failed to score	—	0%
Games	0	1

	Besiktas	Eyüpspor	Forecast
Scored per game	—	1.00
Conceded per game	—	4.00
Match goals	—	5.00	2.96
Over 1.5	—	100%
Over 2.5	—	100%	57%
Over 3.5	—	100%
Both teams scored	—	100%	56%
Clean sheets	—	0%
Failed to score	—	0%
Games	0	1

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Besiktas	Eyüpspor	League
Corners
Corners won	—	8.00
Corners conceded	—	7.00
Match total	—	15.00	8.42
Over 8.5	—	100% 1/1
Over 9.5	—	100% 1/1
Over 10.5	—	100% 1/1
Cards
Cards	—	2.00
Opponent cards	—	1.00
Match total	—	3.00	4.08
Over 3.5	—	0% 0/1
Over 4.5	—	0% 0/1

	Besiktas	Eyüpspor	League
Corners
Corners won	4.30	4.00
Corners conceded	4.80	5.10
Match total	9.10	9.10	8.42
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	40% 4/10
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	1.40	2.10
Opponent cards	1.70	1.50
Match total	3.10	3.60	4.08
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Halil Umut Meler Türkiye · 14 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.64league 3.58

Red cards0.21league 0.50

Cards 5+64%league 42%

Fouls23.6league 25.6

Penalties0.14league 0.42

Home wins29%league 42%

Besiktas1 with this referee

Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.2.0 · 3.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

L25 May 25H · Rizespor1–22

Eyüpspor

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.