Besiktas vs Eyüpspor – 16 Aug 2026

Süper Lig Gameweek 1 Sun, Aug 16 · 19:30 Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul

Besiktas

1–0Full time

Eyüpspor

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Besiktas were clear favourites.

Besiktas were the stronger side on L90 Strength (48 vs 19). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Eyüpspor. Besiktas had 3.1 days of rest, Eyüpspor 91.1 and had to travel 0 km.

Away travel0 kmRest days3.1 · 91.1Matches / 14d2 · 0

Besiktas65%

Draw20%

Eyüpspor15%

Expected goals 2.09 – 0.90

Besiktas64%

Draw20%

Eyüpspor15%

Expected goals 2.04 – 0.88

Besiktas65%

Draw20%

Eyüpspor15%

Expected goals 2.09 – 0.90

Besiktas57%

Draw23%

Eyüpspor20%

Expected goals 1.87 – 1.01

Besiktas64%

Draw20%

Eyüpspor16%

Expected goals 2.06 – 0.91

Over 2.5 57% Both score 52% Likeliest score 2–0

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (İstanbul)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeOguzhan Cakir

Cards per match 3.6
Penalties per match 0.46
Matches 24

Team strength

Besiktas

Eyüpspor

48 L90 StrengthIn forecast 19

50 Current StrengthIn forecast 13

60 AttackIn forecast 9

48 DefenceIn forecast 10

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Besiktas

Attack—

Defense risk—

Eyüpspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Besiktas

Eyüpspor

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40

0.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.30

1.78 xGVia Att/Def 0.84

1.22 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.28

-0.28 Goals minus xGContext +0.56

90% Scored inContext 60%

60% Clean sheetsContext 20%

17.17 ShotsContext 8.80

6.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.11

37% On target shareContext 32%

10.67 Shots in the boxContext 4.50

60% Box shareContext 50%

10% ConversionContext 16%

2.33 OffsidesContext 2.33

14.00 Shots allowedContext 13.00

4.33 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.90

4.60 BlocksContext 3.70

3.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50

70% Save rateContext 64%

60% PossessionIn forecast 45%

514 PassesContext 352

451 Accurate passesContext 279

88% Pass accuracyContext 79%

6.92 Team ratingContext 6.81

9.86 FoulsContext 12.60

10.29 Fouls sufferedContext 14.90

1.60 Yellow cardsContext 2.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Besiktas

Rest3.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km2,881 km in 14d

Schedule load13%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Eyüpspor

Rest91.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Besiktas	Eyüpspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 13	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	3.1UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 13 Aug	91.1Süper Lig 2025-2026, 17 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	0 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	2,881 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	3.9	6.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Besiktas Confirmed XI

4-1-4-1

1A. Nübel(G)

33R. Yılmaz 35Tiago Djaló 12E. Agbadou 22T. Bulut

6S. Özcan

19L. Trossard 10O. Kökçü 15Junior Olaitan 18V. Černý

90S. Kılıçsoy

Eyüpspor Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

31H. Moldovan(G)

7Talha Ülvan 33Z. Jules 5J. El Yamiq 2Calegari

88C. Massanga 10A. Sabiri

11L. Pintor 8David Costa 77K. Michalak

29A. Abdullahi

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Besiktas Absences are shown before kick-off

Eyüpspor Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Besiktas+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Eyüpspor+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Besiktas · Home No home games yet this season.

Eyüpspor · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

3 Besiktas wins1 draws0 Eyüpspor wins

Goals per game2.25 – 1.25 Over 2.5100% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%

26 Jan 2026Eyüpspor2–2Besiktas
17 Aug 2025Besiktas2–1Eyüpspor
21 Feb 2025Eyüpspor1–3Besiktas
22 Sep 2024Besiktas2–1Eyüpspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Besiktas	Eyüpspor	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.99
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	57%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	52%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Besiktas	Eyüpspor	Forecast
Scored per game	1.50	1.40
Conceded per game	0.80	1.30
Match goals	2.30	2.70	2.99
Over 1.5	60%	70%
Over 2.5	40%	60%	57%
Over 3.5	20%	20%
Both teams scored	40%	40%	52%
Clean sheets	60%	20%
Failed to score	10%	40%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Besiktas	Eyüpspor	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	10.60
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	2.80
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Besiktas	Eyüpspor	League
Corners
Corners won	5.43	3.22
Corners conceded	5.14	5.56
Match total	10.57	8.78	10.60
Over 8.5	71% 5/7	67% 6/9
Over 9.5	57% 4/7	44% 4/9
Over 10.5	43% 3/7	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	1.70	2.80
Opponent cards	2.10	2.10
Match total	3.80	4.90	2.80
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	80% 8/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Oguzhan Cakir Türkiye · 24 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.46league 3.17

Red cards0.13league 0.17

Cards 5+29%league 33%

Fouls26.4league 24.3

Penalties0.46league 0.33

Home wins38%league 33%

Besiktas3 with this referee

Record0-1-2 Cards · opp.1.7 · 3.3 Pens for · against2 · 0

L9 May 26H · Trabzonspor1–21
D8 Feb 26H · Alanyaspor2–22
L18 Oct 25H · Genclerbirligi1–22

Eyüpspor1 with this referee

Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.3.0 · 1.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

L18 Mar 26H · Trabzonspor0–13

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.