Besiktas
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
Qualifying rounds Thu, Aug 13 · 18:00
Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul
Besiktas
2nd · 9 pts · 3 played
WWW
First leg1–0
1–0Full time
Hradec Králové
18th · 0 pts · 1 played
L
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel1,440 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Besiktas—%
Draw—%
Hradec Králové—%
Weather (İstanbul)
No weather data yet
RefereeUrs Schnyder
- Cards per match 4.6
- Penalties per match 0.43
- Matches 28
Team strength
BesiktasHradec Králové
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
50
Current StrengthIn forecast
27
60
AttackIn forecast
27
48
DefenceIn forecast
30
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisHradec Králové
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
BesiktasHradec Králové
1.33
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.33
0.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.67
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
100%
Scored inContext
67%
100%
Clean sheetsContext
33%
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
—
—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
—
—
Pass accuracyContext
—
—
Team ratingContext
—
—
FoulsContext
—
—
Fouls sufferedContext
—
2.00
Yellow cardsContext
2.33
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.40
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.33
0.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.67
1.67
xGVia Att/Def
—
1.46
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
-0.27
Goals minus xGContext
—
80%
Scored inContext
67%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
33%
16.57
ShotsContext
—
5.71
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
35%
On target shareContext
—
9.86
Shots in the boxContext
—
57%
Box shareContext
—
9%
ConversionContext
—
2.33
OffsidesContext
—
13.86
Shots allowedContext
—
4.57
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
4.33
BlocksContext
—
3.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
72%
Save rateContext
—
58%
PossessionIn forecast
—
493
PassesContext
—
427
Accurate passesContext
—
87%
Pass accuracyContext
—
6.93
Team ratingContext
—
11.00
FoulsContext
—
10.63
Fouls sufferedContext
—
2.00
Yellow cardsContext
2.33
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Besiktas
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km7,314 km in 14d
Schedule load10%Low
Hradec Králové
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel1,440 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Besiktas |
Hradec Králové |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 10 | Low · 12 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 6 Aug | 7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 6 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,440 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 7,314 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 3 | 1 / 1 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 3.1 | — |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Besiktas
Confirmed XI
1A. Nübel(G)
62A. Murillo
35Tiago Djaló
53E. Topçu
33R. Yılmaz
6S. Özcan
18V. Černý
15Junior Olaitan
10O. Kökçü
29I. Fakili
9H. Oh
Hradec Králové
Confirmed XI
12A. Zadražil(G)
7J. Uhrinčať
5F. Čihák
25František Čech
2D. Ludvicek
16V. Darida
11S. Dancák
26D. Horak
10M. van Buren
19T. Slončík
17O. Mihálik
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Besiktas
Absences are shown before kick-off
Hradec Králové
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Besiktas · Home
3.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-0
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 0.00
Hradec Králové · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings
1 Besiktas wins0 draws0 Hradec Králové wins
Goals per game1.00 – 0.00
Over 2.50%
Both scored0%
Clean sheets100% · 0%
- 6 Aug 2026Hradec Králové0–1Besiktas
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Besiktas | Hradec Králové | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.33 | 0.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 1.33 | 1.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 33% | 0% | |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% | |
| Clean sheets | 100% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 100% | |
| Games | 3 | 1 |
| Besiktas | Hradec Králové | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.40 | 0.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.90 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.30 | 1.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 0% | |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 0% | |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 0% | |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 100% | |
| Games | 10 | 1 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Besiktas | Hradec Králové | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.00 | 8.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 8.00 | 5.00 | |
| Match total | 13.00 | 13.00 | 9.08 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 9.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 10.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.33 | 2.33 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.33 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 4.66 | 4.33 | 5.42 |
| Over 3.5 | 67% 2/3 | 67% 2/3 | |
| Over 4.5 | 67% 2/3 | 33% 1/3 | |
| Besiktas | Hradec Králové | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.38 | 8.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.75 | 5.00 | |
| Match total | 11.13 | 13.00 | 9.08 |
| Over 8.5 | 75% 6/8 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 9.5 | 63% 5/8 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 4/8 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.10 | 2.33 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.30 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 4.40 | 4.33 | 5.42 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 67% 2/3 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 5/10 | 33% 1/3 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Urs Schnyder 28 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.39league 3.82
Red cards0.21league 0.18
Cards 5+50%league 43%
Fouls20.2league 29.6
Penalties0.43league 0.20
Home wins68%league 50%
BesiktasNo previous matches with this referee.
Hradec KrálovéNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Besiktas3 games · scored 4 · conceded 0
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
2
76-90
Hradec Králové3 games · scored 4 · conceded 2
0-15
1
1
16-30
31-45
2
46-60
61-75
1
1
76-90
Besiktas10 games · scored 14 · conceded 9
4
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
1
76-90
Hradec Králové3 games · scored 4 · conceded 2
0-15
1
1
16-30
31-45
2
46-60
61-75
1
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.