UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs Play-offs Thu, Aug 20 · 18:00 Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul
Besiktas
3–0Full time
Kauno Žalgiris
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,588 kmRest days3.9 · 9Matches / 14d3 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Besiktas—%
Draw—%
Kauno Žalgiris—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (İstanbul)

No weather data yet

Referee · GermanyTobias Stieler
  • Cards per match 3.8
  • Penalties per match 0.32
  • Matches 109

Team strength

BesiktasKauno Žalgiris
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
50 Current StrengthIn forecast 6
60 AttackIn forecast 7
48 DefenceIn forecast 8
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Besiktas

Attack—
Defense risk—

Kauno Žalgiris

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

BesiktasKauno Žalgiris
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
0.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40
1.47 xGVia Att/Def —
1.14 xG allowedVia Att/Def —
-0.27 Goals minus xGContext —
90% Scored inContext 60%
70% Clean sheetsContext 30%
17.00 ShotsContext —
5.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
31% On target shareContext 33%
9.50 Shots in the boxContext —
55% Box shareContext —
7% ConversionContext 11%
3.00 OffsidesContext —
13.00 Shots allowedContext —
4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def —
5.50 BlocksContext —
2.83 Goalkeeper savesContext —
71% Save rateContext —
60% PossessionIn forecast —
525 PassesContext —
463 Accurate passesContext —
88% Pass accuracyContext —
6.92 Team ratingContext —
10.86 FoulsContext —
10.71 Fouls sufferedContext —
1.70 Yellow cardsContext 1.80
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.20
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Besiktas
Rest3.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel0 km2,881 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Form 57 · 3 pts vs 2.2 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected
  • W16 AugH · Eyüpspor1–02.1 xPts
Kauno Žalgiris
Rest9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel1,588 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Besiktas Kauno Žalgiris
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextModerate · 20Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match3.9Süper Lig 2026-2027, 16 Aug9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, 11 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,588 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways2,881 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days2 / 3 / 50 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one3.17

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Besiktas Confirmed XI
4-1-4-1
1A. Nübel(G)
33R. Yılmaz 35Tiago Djaló 62A. Murillo 53E. Topçu
6S. Özcan
19L. Trossard 10O. Kökçü 15Junior Olaitan 18V. Černý
9H. Oh
Kauno Žalgiris Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
55T. Švedkauskas(G)
33M. Konatar 77R. Lekiatas 3A. Tolordava 45J. Moutachy
20A. Kalik 14V. Slivka
9L. Kreković 32F. Baldassarra 7A. Benchaib
27G. Debeljuh

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Besiktas Absences are shown before kick-off
Kauno Žalgiris Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Besiktas · Home No home games yet this season.
Kauno Žalgiris · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

BesiktasKauno ŽalgirisForecast
Scored per game ——
Conceded per game ——
Match goals ——
Over 1.5 ——
Over 2.5 ——
Over 3.5 ——
Both teams scored ——
Clean sheets ——
Failed to score ——
Games00
BesiktasKauno ŽalgirisForecast
Scored per game 1.200.50
Conceded per game 0.603.50
Match goals 1.804.00
Over 1.5 50%100%
Over 2.5 30%100%
Over 3.5 10%50%
Both teams scored 30%50%
Clean sheets 70%0%
Failed to score 10%50%
Games102

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

BesiktasKauno ŽalgirisLeague
Corners
Corners won——
Corners conceded——
Match total——9.33
Over 8.5——
Over 9.5——
Over 10.5——
Cards
Cards——
Opponent cards——
Match total——4.33
Over 3.5——
Over 4.5——
BesiktasKauno ŽalgirisLeague
Corners
Corners won5.147.50
Corners conceded4.573.00
Match total9.7110.509.33
Over 8.571% 5/7100% 2/2
Over 9.557% 4/750% 1/2
Over 10.529% 2/750% 1/2
Cards
Cards1.802.10
Opponent cards2.202.80
Match total4.004.904.33
Over 3.560% 6/1080% 8/10
Over 4.550% 5/1040% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Tobias Stieler Germany · 109 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.63league 4.00
Red cards0.19league 0.33
Cards 5+32%league 67%
Fouls21.8league 27.7
Penalties0.32league 0.67
Home wins52%league 33%
Besiktas

No previous matches with this referee.

Kauno Žalgiris

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Besiktas
No complete event data.
Kauno Žalgiris
No complete event data.
Besiktas10 games · scored 12 · conceded 6
2 1 0-15
3 1 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 2 46-60
2 1 61-75
3 76-90
Kauno Žalgiris10 games · scored 10 · conceded 14
2 2 0-15
3 4 16-30
2 31-45
2 3 46-60
61-75
3 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.