UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 Qualifying rounds Tue, Jul 7 · 19:30 Gradski Stadion, Banja Luka
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel543 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Borac Banja Luka—%
Draw—%
Levski Sofia—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Banja Luka)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeMehmet Turkmen
  • Cards per match 3.4
  • Penalties per match 0.18
  • Matches 22

Team strength

Borac Banja LukaLevski Sofia
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
20 Current StrengthIn forecast 26
20 AttackIn forecast 24
22 DefenceIn forecast 26
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Borac Banja Luka

Attack—
Defense risk—

Levski Sofia

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Borac Banja LukaLevski Sofia
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
0.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.80
1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10
0.92 xGVia Att/Def —
1.56 xG allowedVia Att/Def —
-0.12 Goals minus xGContext —
60% Scored inContext 60%
40% Clean sheetsContext 40%
11.13 ShotsContext 8.50
3.88 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.40
35% On target shareContext 24%
6.38 Shots in the boxContext 3.50
55% Box shareContext 39%
6% ConversionContext 8%
2.40 OffsidesContext 1.00
13.13 Shots allowedContext 10.67
4.63 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.17
5.00 BlocksContext 1.83
3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.67
76% Save rateContext 64%
50% PossessionIn forecast 50%
429 PassesContext 450
342 Accurate passesContext 374
80% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.93 Team ratingContext 6.56
11.50 FoulsContext 14.67
16.13 Fouls sufferedContext 13.17
2.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.20
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Borac Banja Luka
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Levski Sofia
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel543 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Borac Banja Luka Levski Sofia
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match——
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km543 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 00 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Borac Banja Luka Confirmed XI
4-3-3
21N. Ćetković(G)
16S. Herrera 6S. Saničanin 3Abel Pascual 19V. Rogan
18M. Jojić 89M. Deket 98S. Ogrinec
77S. Savić 7L. Juričić 11D. Hrelja
Levski Sofia Confirmed XI
4-3-3
92S. Vutsov(G)
3Maicon 31N. Serafimov 50K. Dimitrov 71W. Kamdem
47A. Bouras 18G. Trdin 35Serginho
17Everton Bala 7Reinaldo 27D. Kusso

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Borac Banja Luka Absences are shown before kick-off
Levski Sofia Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Borac Banja Luka · Home No home games yet this season.
Levski Sofia · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Referee · Mehmet Turkmen Türkiye · 22 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.32league 3.83
Red cards0.09league 0.67
Cards 5+23%league 33%
Fouls24.6
Penalties0.18league 0.17
Home wins50%league 67%
Borac Banja Luka

No previous matches with this referee.

Levski Sofia

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Borac Banja Luka
No complete event data.
Levski Sofia
No complete event data.
Borac Banja Luka10 games · scored 8 · conceded 13
1 0-15
3 16-30
3 31-45
2 46-60
3 3 61-75
5 1 76-90
Levski Sofia10 games · scored 8 · conceded 11
1 3 0-15
16-30
1 1 31-45
1 1 46-60
1 61-75
5 5 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.