Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1.FC Köln – 8 Nov 2025

Bundesliga Gameweek 10 Sat, Nov 8 · 17:30 BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach 16th · 6 pts · 9 played LDLLW

3–1Full time

1.FC Köln 8th · 14 pts · 9 played LWDLW

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Borussia Mönchengladbach were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Borussia Mönchengladbach had 7.1 days of rest, 1.FC Köln 6.1 and had to travel 45 km.

Away travel45 kmRest days7.1 · 6.1Matches / 14d1 · 1

Borussia Mönchengladbach43%

Draw26%

1.FC Köln31%

Expected goals 1.55 – 1.27

Borussia Mönchengladbach43%

Draw27%

1.FC Köln30%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.21

Borussia Mönchengladbach43%

Draw26%

1.FC Köln30%

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.26

Borussia Mönchengladbach36%

Draw26%

1.FC Köln38%

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.42

Borussia Mönchengladbach43%

Draw27%

1.FC Köln30%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.22

Over 2.5 54% Both score 57% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Mönchengladbach)

No weather data yet

RefereeDeniz Aytekin

Cards per match 3.8
Penalties per match 0.29
Matches 66

Team strength

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1.FC Köln

40 L90 StrengthIn forecast 42

36 Current StrengthIn forecast 34

34 AttackIn forecast 36

21 DefenceIn forecast 36

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Attack—

Defense risk—

1.FC Köln

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1.FC Köln

1.11 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.78

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.33

1.21 xGVia Att/Def 1.31

1.50 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.50

-0.10 Goals minus xGContext +0.47

44% Scored inContext 89%

33% Clean sheetsContext 22%

12.00 ShotsContext 12.44

5.63 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.00

42% On target shareContext 36%

9.00 Shots in the boxContext 8.38

68% Box shareContext 62%

9% ConversionContext 14%

2.29 OffsidesContext 2.43

14.89 Shots allowedContext 15.22

5.56 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.89

4.00 BlocksContext 5.11

3.22 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.56

58% Save rateContext 73%

46% PossessionIn forecast 45%

424 PassesContext 373

357 Accurate passesContext 301

84% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.79 Team ratingContext 6.93

11.11 FoulsContext 9.00

9.44 Fouls sufferedContext 11.44

1.78 Yellow cardsContext 1.78

0.11 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.70

1.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.60

1.17 xGVia Att/Def 1.31

1.52 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.50

-0.17 Goals minus xGContext +0.39

40% Scored inContext 90%

30% Clean sheetsContext 20%

12.30 ShotsContext 13.40

5.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.44

39% On target shareContext 37%

8.89 Shots in the boxContext 9.22

66% Box shareContext 63%

8% ConversionContext 13%

2.63 OffsidesContext 2.43

15.10 Shots allowedContext 15.30

5.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.20

3.90 BlocksContext 5.00

3.40 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50

61% Save rateContext 67%

48% PossessionIn forecast 45%

433 PassesContext 377

365 Accurate passesContext 304

84% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.81 Team ratingContext 6.91

10.60 FoulsContext 10.10

8.90 Fouls sufferedContext 11.20

1.60 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Rest7.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km713 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

1.FC Köln

Rest6.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel45 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.FC Köln
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.1Bundesliga 2025-2026, 1 Nov	6.1Bundesliga 2025-2026, 2 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	45 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	713 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 3	1 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	13.9	14

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Borussia Mönchengladbach Confirmed XI

5-3-2

33M. Nicolas(G)

26L. Ullrich 4K. Diks 30N. Elvedi 16P. Sander 29J. Scally

10F. Neuhaus 6Y. Engelhardt 27R. Reitz

15H. Tabaković 9F. Honorat

+6 more reported missing outside this XI

1.FC Köln Confirmed XI

3-4-1-2

1M. Schwäbe(G)

39C. Özkacar 6E. Martel 2Joel Schmied

32K. Lund 8D. Huseinbašić 18Í. Jóhannesson 16J. Kamiński

11F. Kainz

13S. El Mala 30M. Bülter

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Borussia Mönchengladbach Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

1.FC Köln Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Borussia Mönchengladbach+0.0 pp
Draw-0.1 pp
1.FC Köln+0.1 pp

Home / Away this season

Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home 0.40points per game · 5 home games

W-D-L: 0-2-3
Scored: 0.80
Conceded: 2.60

1.FC Köln · Away 1.40points per game · 5 away games

W-D-L: 2-1-2
Scored: 1.20
Conceded: 1.40

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

Opponent	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.FC Köln
SC Freiburg	D 0–0 H	W 4–1 H
VfB Stuttgart	L 0–1 A	L 1–2 H
Hamburger SV	D 0–0 H	W 4–1 H
Points	2 of 9 · 0.67 per game	6 of 9 · 2.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

1 Borussia Mönchengladbach wins2 draws3 1.FC Köln wins

Goals per game1.83 – 2.50 Over 2.583% Both scored83% Clean sheets17% · 17%

9 Mar 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach3–31.FC Köln
22 Oct 20231.FC Köln3–1Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 Apr 20231.FC Köln0–0Borussia Mönchengladbach
9 Oct 2022Borussia Mönchengladbach5–21.FC Köln
16 Apr 2022Borussia Mönchengladbach1–31.FC Köln
27 Nov 20211.FC Köln4–1Borussia Mönchengladbach

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.FC Köln	Forecast
Scored per game	1.11	1.78
Conceded per game	2.00	1.33
Match goals	3.11	3.11	2.82
Over 1.5	67%	67%
Over 2.5	56%	56%	54%
Over 3.5	44%	44%
Both teams scored	33%	67%	57%
Clean sheets	33%	22%
Failed to score	56%	11%
Games	9	9

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.FC Köln	Forecast
Scored per game	1.11	1.78
Conceded per game	2.00	1.33
Match goals	3.11	3.11	2.82
Over 1.5	67%	67%
Over 2.5	56%	56%	54%
Over 3.5	44%	44%
Both teams scored	33%	67%	57%
Clean sheets	33%	22%
Failed to score	56%	11%
Games	9	9

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.FC Köln	League
Corners
Corners won	5.13	4.22
Corners conceded	5.63	7.56
Match total	10.76	11.78	9.78
Over 8.5	75% 6/8	67% 6/9
Over 9.5	63% 5/8	67% 6/9
Over 10.5	50% 4/8	56% 5/9
Cards
Cards	1.89	1.78
Opponent cards	2.44	2.44
Match total	4.33	4.22	4.30
Over 3.5	44% 4/9	78% 7/9
Over 4.5	44% 4/9	33% 3/9

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.FC Köln	League
Corners
Corners won	5.22	5.00
Corners conceded	6.11	7.30
Match total	11.33	12.30	9.78
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	67% 6/9	70% 7/10
Over 10.5	56% 5/9	60% 6/10
Cards
Cards	1.70	1.90
Opponent cards	2.20	2.30
Match total	3.90	4.20	4.30
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	80% 8/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Deniz Aytekin 66 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.61league 4.10

Red cards0.21league 0.21

Cards 5+36%league 42%

Fouls22.8league 22.2

Penalties0.29league 0.34

Home wins36%league 43%

Borussia Mönchengladbach9 with this referee

Record1-2-6 Cards · opp.1.9 · 2.6 Pens for · against0 · 2 Reds2

L12 Apr 25H · SC Freiburg1–20
D27 Jan 24A · Bayer Leverkusen0–01
L22 Oct 23A · 1.FC Köln1–33
L2 Sep 23H · Bayern München1–20
D4 Feb 23H · FC Schalke 040–02

1.FC Köln6 with this referee

Record3-1-2 Cards · opp.1.0 · 1.8 Pens for · against3 · 1

W11 May 24H · Union Berlin3–23
L20 Dec 23A · Union Berlin0–20
W22 Oct 23H · Borussia Mönchengladbach3–10
L19 Aug 23A · Borussia Dortmund0–10
W16 Apr 22A · Borussia Mönchengladbach3–12

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.