Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg – 5 Sep 2026

Bundesliga Gameweek 2 Sat, Sep 5 · 14:30 BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach 17th · 0 pts · 1 played L

3–4Full time

SV Elversberg 6th · 3 pts · 1 played W

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Borussia Mönchengladbach were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards SV Elversberg. Borussia Mönchengladbach had 7 days of rest, SV Elversberg 7 and had to travel 214 km. Conditions were neutral.

Away travel214 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1

Borussia Mönchengladbach44%

Draw25%

SV Elversberg32%

Expected goals 1.57 – 1.30

Borussia Mönchengladbach48%

Draw25%

SV Elversberg27%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.13

Borussia Mönchengladbach43%

Draw25%

SV Elversberg32%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.32

Borussia Mönchengladbach36%

Draw25%

SV Elversberg39%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.46

Borussia Mönchengladbach44%

Draw25%

SV Elversberg32%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.31

Over 2.5 55% Both score 58% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Mönchengladbach)

21°COvercast

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 18 km/h
Humidity 51%

Referee · GermanyMartin Petersen

Cards per match 4.4
Penalties per match 0.26
Matches 61

Team strength

Borussia Mönchengladbach

SV Elversberg

45 L90 StrengthIn forecast 39

36 Current StrengthIn forecast 42

34 AttackIn forecast 44

21 DefenceIn forecast 37

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Attack—

Defense risk—

SV Elversberg

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Borussia Mönchengladbach

SV Elversberg

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.30

1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

0.97 xGVia Att/Def 1.58

1.60 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.83

+0.43 Goals minus xGContext +0.72

70% Scored inContext 90%

40% Clean sheetsContext 20%

10.90 ShotsContext 13.40

3.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.30

33% On target shareContext 40%

7.30 Shots in the boxContext 8.56

68% Box shareContext 61%

13% ConversionContext 17%

2.56 OffsidesContext 2.50

13.90 Shots allowedContext 9.70

5.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.30

3.00 BlocksContext 2.13

4.60 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.63

79% Save rateContext 72%

49% PossessionIn forecast 50%

444 PassesContext 374

363 Accurate passesContext 304

82% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.89 Team ratingContext 6.92

9.90 FoulsContext 11.10

10.50 Fouls sufferedContext 10.90

2.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.50

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Borussia Mönchengladbach L

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km826 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 43 · 0 pts vs 0.8 for an average club · -0.8 vs expected

L29 AugA · RB Leipzig0–30.8 xPts

SV Elversberg W

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel214 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 66 · 3 pts vs 1.1 for an average club · +2.1 vs expected

W29 AugH · Bayer Leverkusen3–20.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	SV Elversberg
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 29 Aug	7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 29 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	214 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	826 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 1	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	7	8.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Borussia Mönchengladbach Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1M. Nicolas(G)

26L. Ullrich 4K. Diks 6K. Itakura 29J. Scally

34M. Nguefack 16P. Sander

36W. Mohya 38A. Bolin 9F. Honorat

11T. Kleindienst

+7 more reported missing outside this XI

SV Elversberg Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

20N. Kristof(G)

21L. Günther 31M. Rohr 19L. Pinckert 30J. Gyamerah

8Ł. Poręba 43F. Keidel

39W. Campbell 40F. Onyeka 25L. Petkov

42David Mokwa

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Borussia Mönchengladbach Absences are shown before kick-off

SV Elversberg Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Borussia Mönchengladbach+0.1 pp
Draw+0.2 pp
SV Elversberg-0.3 pp

Home / Away this season

Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home No home games yet this season.

SV Elversberg · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	SV Elversberg	Forecast
Scored per game	0.00	3.00
Conceded per game	3.00	2.00
Match goals	3.00	5.00	2.86
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	100%	55%
Over 3.5	0%	100%
Both teams scored	0%	100%	58%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	100%	0%
Games	1	1

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	SV Elversberg	Forecast
Scored per game	1.40	3.00
Conceded per game	1.30	2.00
Match goals	2.70	5.00	2.86
Over 1.5	70%	100%
Over 2.5	50%	100%	55%
Over 3.5	40%	100%
Both teams scored	40%	100%	58%
Clean sheets	40%	0%
Failed to score	30%	0%
Games	10	1

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	SV Elversberg	League
Corners
Corners won	6.00	4.00
Corners conceded	7.00	3.00
Match total	13.00	7.00	11.20
Over 8.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Over 9.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Over 10.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	0.00	3.00
Opponent cards	1.00	2.00
Match total	1.00	5.00	3.30
Over 3.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Over 4.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	SV Elversberg	League
Corners
Corners won	2.56	5.10
Corners conceded	5.33	3.20
Match total	7.89	8.30	11.20
Over 8.5	44% 4/9	40% 4/10
Over 9.5	44% 4/9	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	10% 1/10
Cards
Cards	2.60	1.50
Opponent cards	2.70	2.30
Match total	5.30	3.80	3.30
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Martin Petersen Germany · 61 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.26league 3.10

Red cards0.16league 0.20

Cards 5+49%league 20%

Fouls23.8league 23.0

Penalties0.26league 0.10

Home wins46%league 80%

Borussia Mönchengladbach8 with this referee

Record1-2-5 Cards · opp.2.6 · 2.4 Pens for · against1 · 1 Reds1

L14 Feb 26A · Eintracht Frankfurt0–32
D25 Oct 24A · FSV Mainz 051–12
D16 Mar 24A · 1. FC Heidenheim1–13
L21 Jan 24H · FC Augsburg1–21
L9 Dec 23A · Union Berlin1–33

SV Elversberg

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.