Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge – 23 Aug 2026

Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Aug 23 · 17:30 Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge

Club Brugge KV 4th · 6 pts · 2 played WW

1–0Full time

Cercle Brugge 12th · 2 pts · 2 played DD

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Club Brugge KV were clear favourites.

Club Brugge KV were the stronger side on L90 Strength (75 vs 27). Club Brugge KV had 7.9 days of rest, Cercle Brugge 8.9 and had to travel 0 km.

Away travel0 kmRest days7.9 · 8.9Matches / 14d1 · 1

Club Brugge KV81%

Draw12%

Cercle Brugge8%

Expected goals 3.13 – 0.92

Club Brugge KV74%

Draw16%

Cercle Brugge9%

Expected goals 2.41 – 0.74

Club Brugge KV81%

Draw12%

Cercle Brugge8%

Expected goals 3.13 – 0.92

Club Brugge KV74%

Draw15%

Cercle Brugge11%

Expected goals 2.79 – 1.04

Club Brugge KV79%

Draw12%

Cercle Brugge8%

Expected goals 3.03 – 0.92

Over 2.5 77% Both score 58% Likeliest score 3–0

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Brugge)

No weather data yet

RefereeNicolas Laforge

Cards per match 4.5
Penalties per match 0.25
Matches 48

Team strength

Club Brugge KV

Cercle Brugge

75 L90 StrengthIn forecast 27

75 Current StrengthIn forecast 21

86 AttackIn forecast 24

58 DefenceIn forecast 28

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Club Brugge KV

Attack—

Defense risk—

Cercle Brugge

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Club Brugge KV

Cercle Brugge

3.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.50

0.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.50

3.21 xGVia Att/Def 2.81

0.87 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.32

-0.21 Goals minus xGContext -0.31

100% Scored inContext 100%

100% Clean sheetsContext 0%

24.00 ShotsContext 22.00

8.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.00

35% On target shareContext 23%

18.00 Shots in the boxContext 16.50

74% Box shareContext 75%

13% ConversionContext 11%

2.00 OffsidesContext 1.00

12.50 Shots allowedContext 16.50

2.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.50

6.50 BlocksContext 5.00

1.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50

75% Save rateContext 39%

68% PossessionIn forecast 50%

666 PassesContext 421

600 Accurate passesContext 340

90% Pass accuracyContext 81%

7.54 Team ratingContext 6.99

7.00 FoulsContext 10.00

11.00 Fouls sufferedContext 9.00

0.50 Yellow cardsContext 0.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

3.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.30

0.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.10

2.55 xGVia Att/Def 1.98

0.99 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.45

+0.65 Goals minus xGContext +0.32

100% Scored inContext 100%

60% Clean sheetsContext 10%

19.70 ShotsContext 16.30

7.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.10

40% On target shareContext 37%

14.40 Shots in the boxContext 12.00

72% Box shareContext 73%

16% ConversionContext 14%

1.57 OffsidesContext 2.80

13.60 Shots allowedContext 12.40

3.10 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00

5.20 BlocksContext 3.80

2.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.89

81% Save rateContext 54%

57% PossessionIn forecast 50%

509 PassesContext 381

434 Accurate passesContext 298

85% Pass accuracyContext 78%

7.30 Team ratingContext 6.95

8.70 FoulsContext 10.20

8.50 Fouls sufferedContext 9.60

1.10 Yellow cardsContext 1.10

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Club Brugge KV WW

Rest7.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km220 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 67 · 6 pts vs 4.0 for an average club · +1.0 vs expected

W15 AugA · OH Leuven3–02.3 xPts
W7 AugH · Kortrijk3–02.7 xPts

Cercle Brugge DD

Rest8.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 40 · 2 pts vs 3.1 for an average club · -0.3 vs expected

D14 AugH · St. Truiden3–31.3 xPts
D8 AugA · Standard Liege2–21.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Club Brugge KV	Cercle Brugge
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.9Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 15 Aug	8.9Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 14 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	0 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	220 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 2	0 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	6.8	6.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Club Brugge KV Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1Y. Sommer(G)

65J. Seys 44B. Mechele 3H. Lee 64K. Sabbe

20H. Vanaken 8F. Potts

67M. Diakhon 10H. Vetlesen 9Carlos Forbs

7N. Tresoldi

Cercle Brugge Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

1G. Coucke(G)

24Geoffrey Kondo 66C. Ravych 2I. Diakité

12Valy Konaté 19Makaya Ibrahima Diaby 42L. Mondele 15G. Magnée

71V. Martens 13D. Vanzeir

9S. Ngoura

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Club Brugge KV Absences are shown before kick-off

Cercle Brugge Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Club Brugge KV+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Cercle Brugge+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Club Brugge KV · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 0.00

Cercle Brugge · Away 1.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-1-0
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

2 Club Brugge KV wins2 draws0 Cercle Brugge wins

Goals per game1.25 – 0.50 Over 2.525% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 25%

15 Feb 2026Cercle Brugge1–2Club Brugge KV
9 Aug 2025Club Brugge KV2–0Cercle Brugge
18 Feb 2024Cercle Brugge1–1Club Brugge KV
12 Nov 2023Club Brugge KV0–0Cercle Brugge

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Club Brugge KV	Cercle Brugge	Forecast
Scored per game	3.00	2.50
Conceded per game	0.00	2.50
Match goals	3.00	5.00	4.05
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	100%	77%
Over 3.5	0%	100%
Both teams scored	0%	100%	58%
Clean sheets	100%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	2	2

	Club Brugge KV	Cercle Brugge	Forecast
Scored per game	2.30	1.60
Conceded per game	0.80	2.10
Match goals	3.10	3.70	4.05
Over 1.5	90%	80%
Over 2.5	90%	80%	77%
Over 3.5	20%	60%
Both teams scored	60%	70%	58%
Clean sheets	30%	20%
Failed to score	10%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Club Brugge KV	Cercle Brugge	League
Corners
Corners won	11.00	10.50
Corners conceded	2.50	5.00
Match total	13.50	15.50	10.09
Over 8.5	50% 1/2	100% 2/2
Over 9.5	50% 1/2	100% 2/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	100% 2/2
Cards
Cards	0.50	0.50
Opponent cards	0.50	2.00
Match total	1.00	2.50	2.43
Over 3.5	0% 0/2	0% 0/2
Over 4.5	0% 0/2	0% 0/2

	Club Brugge KV	Cercle Brugge	League
Corners
Corners won	6.10	6.50
Corners conceded	4.70	5.50
Match total	10.80	12.00	10.09
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	90% 9/10
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	80% 8/10
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	80% 8/10
Cards
Cards	1.10	1.10
Opponent cards	1.70	1.80
Match total	2.80	2.90	2.43
Over 3.5	20% 2/10	30% 3/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	10% 1/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Nicolas Laforge 48 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.33league 2.30

Red cards0.17league 0.13

Cards 5+46%league 17%

Fouls22.0league 21.7

Penalties0.25league 0.30

Home wins42%league 52%

Club Brugge KV5 with this referee

Record3-2-0 Cards · opp.2.2 · 2.2 Pens for · against1 · 0

W3 May 26A · Anderlecht3–12
W26 Oct 25A · Antwerp1–01
W20 Jan 24H · KVC Westerlo3–00
D10 Dec 23A · KV Mechelen0–05
D1 Oct 23H · St. Truiden1–13

Cercle Brugge2 with this referee

Record0-1-1 Cards · opp.3.0 · 1.5 Pens for · against0 · 0

L22 Nov 25A · Union St. Gilloise0–24
D29 Aug 25H · St. Truiden1–12

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.