Çorum FK
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Çorum FK were slight favourites.
Çorum FK were the stronger side on L90 Strength (25 vs 18). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Eyüpspor. Çorum FK had 5.8 days of rest, Eyüpspor 6.9 and had to travel 508 km.
Away travel508 kmRest days5.8 · 6.9Matches / 14d1 · 2
Çorum FK47%
Draw26%
Eyüpspor27%
Çorum FK50%
Draw24%
Eyüpspor25%
Çorum FK46%
Draw25%
Eyüpspor28%
Çorum FK40%
Draw26%
Eyüpspor34%
Çorum FK47%
Draw26%
Eyüpspor28%
Over 2.5 49%
Both score 52%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Çorum)
No weather data yet
RefereeD. Celik
Team strength
Çorum FK
Eyüpspor
25
L90 StrengthIn forecast
18
32
Current StrengthIn forecast
13
31
AttackIn forecast
9
36
DefenceIn forecast
10
23
Form indexContext
29
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisEyüpspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Çorum FKEyüpspor
1.33
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.67
3.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
0.77
xGVia Att/Def
0.63
2.03
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.02
+0.56
Goals minus xGContext
+0.04
67%
Scored inContext
33%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
11.67
ShotsContext
9.00
2.67
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.00
23%
On target shareContext
22%
5.33
Shots in the boxContext
6.50
42%
Box shareContext
56%
11%
ConversionContext
7%
2.67
OffsidesContext
—
20.67
Shots allowedContext
11.67
7.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.00
7.50
BlocksContext
4.00
6.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.00
60%
Save rateContext
67%
53%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
468
PassesContext
396
399
Accurate passesContext
332
85%
Pass accuracyContext
84%
6.66
Team ratingContext
6.80
9.67
FoulsContext
15.33
11.00
Fouls sufferedContext
19.67
1.33
Yellow cardsContext
1.67
0.33
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.33
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.60
3.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.30
0.77
xGVia Att/Def
0.79
2.03
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.20
+0.56
Goals minus xGContext
+0.81
67%
Scored inContext
70%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
11.67
ShotsContext
8.90
2.67
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.22
23%
On target shareContext
33%
5.33
Shots in the boxContext
4.89
42%
Box shareContext
49%
11%
ConversionContext
18%
2.67
OffsidesContext
2.25
20.67
Shots allowedContext
14.10
7.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.00
—
BlocksContext
4.50
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.70
60%
Save rateContext
68%
53%
PossessionIn forecast
43%
468
PassesContext
334
399
Accurate passesContext
268
85%
Pass accuracyContext
80%
6.66
Team ratingContext
6.83
9.67
FoulsContext
12.90
11.00
Fouls sufferedContext
15.40
1.33
Yellow cardsContext
2.20
0.33
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Çorum FK
DLL
Rest5.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km1,016 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 23 · 1 pts vs 4.3 for an average club · -2.2 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Çorum FK |
Eyüpspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 5.8Süper Lig 2026-2027, 31 Aug | 6.9Süper Lig 2026-2027, 30 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 508 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 1,016 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 3 | 1 / 2 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6 | 6 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Çorum FK
Confirmed XI
1Marcos Felipe(G)
24A. Borza
6H. Smolčić
4S. Saatçı
11G. Sazdağı
20Y. Ramadani
89A. Kyziridis
16Fredy
10M. Diomande
7C. Ünder
19J. Ramírez
Eyüpspor
Confirmed XI
31H. Moldovan(G)
21S. Giordano
33Z. Jules
5J. El Yamiq
7Talha Ülvan
88C. Massanga
77K. Michalak
15Charles-Andre Raux Yao
8David Costa
98B. Boutobba
29A. Abdullahi
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Çorum FK
Absences are shown before kick-off
Eyüpspor
Scores -0.03 · concedes 0.00 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Çorum FK+0.6 pp
- Draw+0.1 pp
- Eyüpspor-0.7 pp
Home / Away this season
Çorum FK · Home
0.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
Eyüpspor · Away
0.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 1 this season
| Opponent | Çorum FK | Eyüpspor |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas | L 2–6 A | L 0–1 A |
| Points | 0 of 3 · 0.00 per game | 0 of 3 · 0.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Çorum FK | Eyüpspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.33 | 0.67 | |
| Conceded per game | 3.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 4.33 | 1.67 | 2.62 |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 33% | |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 33% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 33% | 52% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 33% | 67% | |
| Games | 3 | 3 |
| Çorum FK | Eyüpspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.33 | 1.60 | |
| Conceded per game | 3.00 | 1.30 | |
| Match goals | 4.33 | 2.90 | 2.62 |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 70% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% | 52% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 33% | 30% | |
| Games | 3 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Çorum FK | Eyüpspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.50 | 2.33 | |
| Corners conceded | 8.00 | 4.00 | |
| Match total | 11.50 | 6.33 | 8.96 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 2/2 | 33% 1/3 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 1/2 | 33% 1/3 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 1/2 | 0% 0/3 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.67 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 1.67 | |
| Match total | 3.67 | 3.67 | 3.70 |
| Over 3.5 | 33% 1/3 | 67% 2/3 | |
| Over 4.5 | 33% 1/3 | 33% 1/3 | |
| Çorum FK | Eyüpspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.50 | 3.33 | |
| Corners conceded | 8.00 | 5.89 | |
| Match total | 11.50 | 9.22 | 8.96 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 2/2 | 78% 7/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 1/2 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 1/2 | 44% 4/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.67 | 2.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 3.67 | 4.60 | 3.70 |
| Over 3.5 | 33% 1/3 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 33% 1/3 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Çorum FK3 games · scored 4 · conceded 9
2
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
2
76-90
Eyüpspor3 games · scored 2 · conceded 3
1
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
Çorum FK3 games · scored 4 · conceded 9
2
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
2
76-90
Eyüpspor10 games · scored 16 · conceded 13
1
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
6
31-45
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
6
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
