CSKA Sofia
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs
Play-offs Thu, Aug 27 · 19:00
Stadion Bâlgarska Armija, Sofia
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel834 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
CSKA Sofia—%
Draw—%
OFI—%
Weather (Sofia)
No weather data yet
RefereeIvan Kružliak
- Cards per match 4.5
- Penalties per match 0.32
- Matches 38
Team strength
CSKA Sofia
OFI
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
19
Current StrengthIn forecast
21
19
AttackIn forecast
18
20
DefenceIn forecast
25
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Form indexContext
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In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisOFI
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
CSKA SofiaOFI
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
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—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
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Scored inContext
—
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Clean sheetsContext
—
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
—
—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
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Save rateContext
—
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PossessionIn forecast
—
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PassesContext
—
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Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
—
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Yellow cardsContext
—
—
Red cardsContext
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1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.70
1.67
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
—
xGVia Att/Def
0.83
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.45
—
Goals minus xGContext
+0.87
44%
Scored inContext
80%
33%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
—
ShotsContext
6.78
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.11
21%
On target shareContext
46%
—
Shots in the boxContext
4.75
—
Box shareContext
65%
0%
ConversionContext
23%
—
OffsidesContext
1.67
—
Shots allowedContext
16.33
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
6.22
—
BlocksContext
4.10
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
5.11
33%
Save rateContext
82%
54%
PossessionIn forecast
45%
—
PassesContext
382
—
Accurate passesContext
304
—
Pass accuracyContext
80%
—
Team ratingContext
6.88
13.33
FoulsContext
12.60
13.67
Fouls sufferedContext
14.70
3.67
Yellow cardsContext
1.80
0.11
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
CSKA Sofia
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km1,669 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
OFI
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel834 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| CSKA Sofia |
OFI |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 5 | Low · 12 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs, 20 Aug | 7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs, 20 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 834 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 1,669 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 1 | 1 / 1 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | — | 20.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
CSKA Sofia
Confirmed XI
21F. Lapoukhov(G)
17A. Martino
14T. Ivanov
6Bruno Jordão
5J. Gbamin
2Pastor
7M. Ebong
99J. Eto'o
67C. Itu
9L. Godoy
28I. Pittas
OFI
Confirmed XI
31N. Christogeorgos(G)
43D. Nikolaou
15A. Poungouras
16C. Sielis
3N. Athanasiou
41A. Bouchalakis
14T. Androutsos
24L. Dickmann
10Aitor Cantalapiedra
18T. Nuss
11T. Fountas
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences CSKA Sofia
Absences are shown before kick-off
OFI
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
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Home / Away this season
CSKA Sofia · Home
No home games yet this season.
OFI · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings
0 CSKA Sofia wins0 draws1 OFI wins
Goals per game0.00 – 3.00
Over 2.5100%
Both scored0%
Clean sheets0% · 100%
- 20 Aug 2026OFI3–0CSKA Sofia
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| CSKA Sofia | OFI | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.00 | 3.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 3.00 | 0.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 3.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% | |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 100% | |
| Failed to score | 100% | 0% | |
| Games | 1 | 1 |
| CSKA Sofia | OFI | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.00 | 3.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 3.00 | 0.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 3.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% | |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 100% | |
| Failed to score | 100% | 0% | |
| Games | 1 | 1 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| CSKA Sofia | OFI | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.00 | 1.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 1.00 | 4.00 | |
| Match total | 5.00 | 5.00 | 9.83 |
| Over 8.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 4.00 | 0.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 0.00 | 4.00 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 4.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| CSKA Sofia | OFI | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.75 | 2.63 | |
| Corners conceded | 2.00 | 6.38 | |
| Match total | 6.75 | 9.01 | 9.83 |
| Over 8.5 | 25% 1/4 | 75% 6/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 25% 1/4 | 50% 4/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/4 | 13% 1/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.78 | 1.90 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.70 | |
| Match total | 5.78 | 4.60 | 4.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 78% 7/9 | 90% 9/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 67% 6/9 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Ivan Kružliak 38 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.37league 4.21
Red cards0.13league 0.21
Cards 5+53%league 47%
Fouls24.3league 23.0
Penalties0.32league 0.68
Home wins50%league 68%
CSKA SofiaNo previous matches with this referee.
OFINo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
CSKA Sofia1 games · scored 0 · conceded 3
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
OFI1 games · scored 3 · conceded 0
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
CSKA Sofia8 games · scored 8 · conceded 12
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
5
76-90
OFI10 games · scored 17 · conceded 15
6
4
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
31-45
4
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.