La Liga Gameweek 7 Sun, Sep 20 · 17:30 Estadio Abanca-Riazor, La Coruña
Deportivo La Coruna 7th · 9 pts · 6 played
1–1Full time
Real Betis 4th · 15 pts · 6 played
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Real Betis were slight favourites.

Real Betis were the stronger side on L90 Strength (72 vs 46). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Deportivo La Coruna. Deportivo La Coruna had 4 days of rest, Real Betis 3 and had to travel 697 km. Weather to note: warm.

Away travel697 kmRest days4 · 3Matches / 14d2 · 3
Deportivo La Coruna32%
Draw24%
Real Betis45%
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.70
Deportivo La Coruna29%
Draw25%
Real Betis46%
Expected goals 1.16 – 1.54
Deportivo La Coruna31%
Draw24%
Real Betis45%
Expected goals 1.36 – 1.69
Deportivo La Coruna25%
Draw22%
Real Betis53%
Expected goals 1.24 – 1.90
Deportivo La Coruna32%
Draw24%
Real Betis45%
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.68
Over 2.5 60% Both score 61% Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (La Coruña)
26°CClear
  • Precipitation 0.0 mm
  • Wind 6 km/h
  • Humidity 61%
Warm
Referee · SpainCesar Soto Grado
  • Cards per match 5.0
  • Penalties per match 0.28
  • Matches 46

Team strength

Deportivo La CorunaReal Betis
46 L90 StrengthIn forecast 72
45 Current StrengthIn forecast 72
40 AttackIn forecast 79
57 DefenceIn forecast 59
65 Form indexContext 91
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Deportivo La Coruna

Attack—
Defense risk—

Real Betis

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Deportivo La CorunaReal Betis
1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.33
1.17 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
0.78 xGVia Att/Def 1.70
1.21 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.81
+0.72 Goals minus xGContext -0.37
83% Scored inContext 100%
0% Clean sheetsContext 67%
7.83 ShotsContext 18.50
3.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.83
43% On target shareContext 37%
5.00 Shots in the boxContext 10.67
60% Box shareContext 55%
19% ConversionContext 7%
1.40 OffsidesContext 1.40
13.17 Shots allowedContext 14.33
4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.67
3.17 BlocksContext 3.33
3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.17
78% Save rateContext 74%
47% PossessionIn forecast 54%
448 PassesContext 510
378 Accurate passesContext 443
84% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.82 Team ratingContext 7.17
13.50 FoulsContext 9.83
12.17 Fouls sufferedContext 12.50
1.83 Yellow cardsContext 1.50
0.17 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games
1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.60
1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.30
0.93 xGVia Att/Def 1.60
1.17 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.56
+0.57 Goals minus xGContext +0.00
90% Scored inContext 100%
20% Clean sheetsContext 40%
9.50 ShotsContext 17.20
4.10 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.30
43% On target shareContext 37%
6.90 Shots in the boxContext 9.40
68% Box shareContext 52%
16% ConversionContext 9%
1.38 OffsidesContext 1.88
11.70 Shots allowedContext 12.90
3.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.20
3.20 BlocksContext 2.80
3.11 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.11
82% Save rateContext 74%
46% PossessionIn forecast 52%
429 PassesContext 509
363 Accurate passesContext 444
85% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.87 Team ratingContext 7.02
12.60 FoulsContext 10.70
12.00 Fouls sufferedContext 11.30
1.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.60
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Deportivo La Coruna
Rest4 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km1,030 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 65 · 8 pts vs 6.3 for an average club · +2.2 vs expected
  • L16 SepH · Sevilla0–11.6 xPts
  • D13 SepA · Getafe1–11.3 xPts
  • W5 SepA · Villarreal3–20.7 xPts
  • W30 AugH · Valencia3–11.3 xPts
  • D24 AugA · Malaga1–11.0 xPts
Real Betis
Rest3 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel697 km4,447 km in 14d
Schedule load39%Moderate
Form 91 · 12 pts vs 5.5 for an average club · +5.5 vs expected
  • W17 SepH · Getafe1–02.0 xPts
  • W14 SepA · Villarreal2–11.1 xPts
  • W8 SepA · Lille3–21.1 xPts
  • W4 SepH · Real Madrid1–00.8 xPts
  • L29 AugA · Levante2–51.5 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Deportivo La Coruna Real Betis
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Moderate · 39
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match4La Liga 2026-2027, 16 Sep3La Liga 2026-2027, 17 Sep
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km697 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,030 km4,447 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days2 / 2 / 52 / 3 / 6
Next matchdays after this one20.921

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Deportivo La Coruna Confirmed XI
4-4-2
13Leo Román(G)
12G. Quagliata 22B. Ede 20J. Giménez 23Ximo Navarro
14Riki Rodríguez 21Mario Soriano 6Marc Casadó 11David Mella
32B. Nsongo 18J. Asp Jensen
+2 more reported missing outside this XI
Real Betis Confirmed XI
4-3-3
1Álvaro Vallés(G)
11Fran García 4Natan 5Marc Bartra 2Héctor Bellerín
8Pablo Fornals 21Marc Roca 18Nelson Alexander Deossa Suarez
10A. Ezzalzouli 9C. Hernández 7Antony
+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Deportivo La Coruna Absences are shown before kick-off
Real Betis Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
  • Deportivo La Coruna+0.7 pp
  • Draw-0.1 pp
  • Real Betis-0.6 pp

Home / Away this season

Deportivo La Coruna · Home 1.33points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
1-1-1
Scored
1.33
Conceded
1.00
Real Betis · Away 2.00points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
2-0-1
Scored
1.67
Conceded
2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentDeportivo La CorunaReal Betis
Getafe D 1–1 A W 1–0 H
Villarreal W 3–2 A W 2–1 A
Valencia W 3–1 H W 1–0 A
Points7 of 9 · 2.33 per game9 of 9 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Deportivo La CorunaReal BetisForecast
Scored per game 1.501.33
Conceded per game 1.171.00
Match goals 2.672.33 3.09
Over 1.5 83%33%
Over 2.5 33%33% 60%
Over 3.5 33%17%
Both teams scored 83%33% 61%
Clean sheets 0%67%
Failed to score 17%0%
Games66
Deportivo La CorunaReal BetisForecast
Scored per game 1.501.60
Conceded per game 1.171.30
Match goals 2.672.90 3.09
Over 1.5 83%60%
Over 2.5 33%60% 60%
Over 3.5 33%30%
Both teams scored 83%60% 61%
Clean sheets 0%40%
Failed to score 17%0%
Games610

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Deportivo La CorunaReal BetisLeague
Corners
Corners won3.834.67
Corners conceded5.336.33
Match total9.1611.009.61
Over 8.550% 3/683% 5/6
Over 9.550% 3/667% 4/6
Over 10.517% 1/650% 3/6
Cards
Cards2.171.50
Opponent cards2.172.67
Match total4.344.174.50
Over 3.583% 5/650% 3/6
Over 4.533% 2/650% 3/6
Deportivo La CorunaReal BetisLeague
Corners
Corners won3.804.80
Corners conceded4.705.70
Match total8.5010.509.61
Over 8.550% 5/1080% 8/10
Over 9.540% 4/1060% 6/10
Over 10.520% 2/1040% 4/10
Cards
Cards2.001.60
Opponent cards2.402.50
Match total4.404.104.50
Over 3.580% 8/1050% 5/10
Over 4.540% 4/1050% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Cesar Soto Grado Spain · 46 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.63league 4.23
Red cards0.35league 0.26
Cards 5+57%league 53%
Fouls23.4league 24.9
Penalties0.28league 0.36
Home wins41%league 45%
Deportivo La Coruna

No previous matches with this referee.

Real Betis5 with this referee
Record0-3-2 Cards · opp.1.8 · 2.6 Pens for · against0 · 3
  • D24 Apr 26H · Real Madrid1–11
  • L3 Mar 24A · Atletico Madrid1–22
  • D9 Dec 23H · Real Madrid1–12
  • D21 Oct 23A · Getafe1–12
  • L27 Aug 23A · Athletic Club2–42

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Deportivo La Coruna6 games · scored 9 · conceded 7
1 0-15
3 2 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 1 46-60
1 61-75
3 2 76-90
Real Betis6 games · scored 8 · conceded 6
0-15
2 16-30
5 1 31-45
1 46-60
1 1 61-75
2 1 76-90
Deportivo La Coruna10 games · scored 15 · conceded 10
2 1 0-15
4 3 16-30
2 2 31-45
2 1 46-60
1 61-75
5 2 76-90
Real Betis10 games · scored 16 · conceded 13
2 1 0-15
3 16-30
6 4 31-45
2 1 46-60
4 3 61-75
2 1 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.

Next fixtures La Liga

View all fixtures →
Espanyol Elche 13 Osasuna Rayo Vallecano 11 Athletic Club Alaves 00 Celta Vigo Racing Santander 50 Sevilla Barcelona 13 Getafe Malaga 10 Atletico Madrid Real Madrid 21 Villarreal Levante 31 Deportivo La Coruna Real Betis 11 Valencia Real Sociedad 23