Dinamo Zagreb
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Play-off round
Play-off round Tue, Aug 18 · 20:00
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel1,615 kmRest days7.1 · ?Matches / 14d1 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Dinamo Zagreb—%
Draw—%
Viking—%
Weather (Zagreb)
No weather data yet
Referee · NetherlandsSerdar Gozubuyuk
- Cards per match 4.1
- Penalties per match 0.28
- Matches 106
Team strength
Dinamo Zagreb
Viking
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L90 StrengthIn forecast
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43
Current StrengthIn forecast
16
33
AttackIn forecast
18
44
DefenceIn forecast
23
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Form indexContext
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In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisViking
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Dinamo ZagrebViking
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
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xGVia Att/Def
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—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
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—
Goals minus xGContext
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Scored inContext
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Clean sheetsContext
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ShotsContext
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
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On target shareContext
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Shots in the boxContext
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Box shareContext
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ConversionContext
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OffsidesContext
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Shots allowedContext
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
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—
BlocksContext
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Goalkeeper savesContext
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Save rateContext
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PossessionIn forecast
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PassesContext
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Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
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Yellow cardsContext
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Red cardsContext
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2.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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2.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
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1.15
xGVia Att/Def
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1.61
xG allowedVia Att/Def
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+0.85
Goals minus xGContext
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80%
Scored inContext
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10%
Clean sheetsContext
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13.75
ShotsContext
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4.43
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
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28%
On target shareContext
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8.71
Shots in the boxContext
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58%
Box shareContext
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12%
ConversionContext
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2.20
OffsidesContext
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13.00
Shots allowedContext
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5.25
On target allowedVia Att/Def
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4.38
BlocksContext
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3.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
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57%
Save rateContext
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49%
PossessionIn forecast
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475
PassesContext
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392
Accurate passesContext
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83%
Pass accuracyContext
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6.82
Team ratingContext
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11.56
FoulsContext
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12.56
Fouls sufferedContext
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1.90
Yellow cardsContext
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0.20
Red cardsContext
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In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Dinamo Zagreb
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km2,310 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Viking
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel1,615 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Dinamo Zagreb |
Viking |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 5 | Moderate · 20 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.1UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, 11 Aug | — |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,615 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 2,310 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 8 | 8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Dinamo Zagreb
Confirmed XI
33I. Nevistić(G)
22M. Vinlöf
26S. McKenna
36Sergi Domínguez
25Moris Valinčić
27J. Mišić
99M. Oršić
8M. Zajc
7L. Stojković
21M. Lisica
9D. Beljo
Viking
Confirmed XI
1A. Østbø(G)
28K. Haugen
25H. Falchener
6G. Stensness
5H. Heggheim
7K. Askildsen
8J. Bell
29T. Moi
17E. Austbø
20P. Christiansen
10Z. Tripić
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Dinamo Zagreb
Absences are shown before kick-off
Viking
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
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Home / Away this season
Dinamo Zagreb · Home
No home games yet this season.
Viking · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Dinamo Zagreb | Viking | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Viking | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.00 | — | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | — | |
| Match goals | 4.00 | — | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | — | |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | — | |
| Over 3.5 | 70% | — | |
| Both teams scored | 70% | — | |
| Clean sheets | 10% | — | |
| Failed to score | 20% | — | |
| Games | 10 | 0 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Dinamo Zagreb | Viking | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Viking | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.11 | 6.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.44 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 10.55 | 8.50 | |
| Over 8.5 | 78% 7/9 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 56% 5/9 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.10 | 1.50 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.90 | 3.00 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 4.50 | |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 1/2 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Serdar Gozubuyuk Netherlands · 106 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.94
Red cards0.11
Cards 5+42%
Fouls23.0
Penalties0.28
Home wins49%
Dinamo ZagrebNo previous matches with this referee.
VikingNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Dinamo ZagrebVikingDinamo Zagreb10 games · scored 20 · conceded 20
2
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
4
5
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
7
4
76-90
Viking2 games · scored 2 · conceded 4
1
0-15
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.