Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Qualifying rounds Wed, Jul 22 · 20:00
Arena Egnatia, Rrogozhinë
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel674 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Egnatia Rrogozhinë—%
Draw—%
Celje—%
Weather (Rrogozhinë)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeAtilla Karaoglan
- Cards per match 5.8
- Penalties per match 0.33
- Matches 27
Team strength
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Celje
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
19
Current StrengthIn forecast
18
19
AttackIn forecast
17
22
DefenceIn forecast
19
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisCelje
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Egnatia RrogozhinëCelje
3.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
—
1.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
—
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
100%
Scored inContext
—
0%
Clean sheetsContext
—
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
—
—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
—
—
Pass accuracyContext
—
—
Team ratingContext
—
—
FoulsContext
—
—
Fouls sufferedContext
—
2.50
Yellow cardsContext
—
0.50
Red cardsContext
—
1.30
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.60
1.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
—
xGVia Att/Def
1.54
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.40
—
Goals minus xGContext
+0.06
60%
Scored inContext
70%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
—
ShotsContext
11.22
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.75
—
On target shareContext
38%
—
Shots in the boxContext
7.00
—
Box shareContext
63%
—
ConversionContext
13%
—
OffsidesContext
2.33
—
Shots allowedContext
15.10
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
6.30
—
BlocksContext
3.78
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
5.11
—
Save rateContext
74%
—
PossessionIn forecast
59%
—
PassesContext
455
—
Accurate passesContext
390
—
Pass accuracyContext
86%
—
Team ratingContext
6.91
—
FoulsContext
12.00
—
Fouls sufferedContext
13.80
4.40
Yellow cardsContext
1.80
0.20
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Celje
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel674 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
Celje |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | — | — |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 674 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6 | 6 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Confirmed XI
98M. Dajsinani(G)
19A. Xhemajli
33E. Bitri
28E. Sota
29Andrey Yago
7Fernando Medeiros
17A. Kryeziu
20K. Loukili
22Guillem Jaime
10A. Albanese
9S. Bakayoko
Celje
Confirmed XI
1Ž. Leban(G)
33L. Koútris
4D. Hrka
3D. Vukliševič
20A. Dionkou
11M. Avdyli
8M. Kvesić
13P. Daniel
91Y. Dukuly
47A. Kučys
10S. Sešlar
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Absences are shown before kick-off
Celje
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Egnatia Rrogozhinë · Home
No home games yet this season.
Celje · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Celje | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Celje | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Celje | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 8.67 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.00 | — | |
| Opponent cards | 2.50 | — | |
| Match total | 5.50 | — | 4.58 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 2/2 | — | |
| Over 4.5 | 100% 2/2 | — | |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Celje | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | 4.00 | |
| Corners conceded | — | 5.56 | |
| Match total | — | 9.56 | 8.67 |
| Over 8.5 | — | 67% 6/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | — | 44% 4/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | — | 33% 3/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 5.00 | 1.90 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.20 | 2.90 | |
| Match total | 7.20 | 4.80 | 4.58 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 10/10 | 90% 9/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 100% 10/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Atilla Karaoglan Türkiye · 27 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards5.56league 4.05
Red cards0.22league 0.27
Cards 5+67%league 37%
Fouls24.9league 26.0
Penalties0.33league 0.37
Home wins37%league 51%
Egnatia RrogozhinëNo previous matches with this referee.
CeljeNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Egnatia Rrogozhinë2 games · scored 7 · conceded 2
1
1
0-15
1
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
2
76-90
CeljeEgnatia Rrogozhinë10 games · scored 13 · conceded 15
2
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
61-75
5
4
76-90
Celje10 games · scored 16 · conceded 15
1
3
0-15
4
2
16-30
6
3
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.