Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs
Play-offs Thu, Aug 20 · 18:00
Arena Egnatia, Rrogozhinë
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel2,184 kmRest days22.9 · ?Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Egnatia Rrogozhinë—%
Draw—%
Lillestrom—%
Weather (Rrogozhinë)
No weather data yet
Referee · FranceWilly Delajod
- Cards per match 3.8
- Penalties per match 0.40
- Matches 111
Team strength
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Lillestrom
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L90 StrengthIn forecast
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19
Current StrengthIn forecast
27
19
AttackIn forecast
23
22
DefenceIn forecast
31
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Form indexContext
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In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisLillestrom
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Egnatia RrogozhinëLillestrom
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
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xGVia Att/Def
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
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Goals minus xGContext
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Scored inContext
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Clean sheetsContext
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ShotsContext
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
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On target shareContext
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Shots in the boxContext
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Box shareContext
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ConversionContext
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OffsidesContext
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Shots allowedContext
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
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BlocksContext
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Goalkeeper savesContext
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Save rateContext
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PossessionIn forecast
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PassesContext
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Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
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Yellow cardsContext
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Red cardsContext
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2.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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1.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
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xGVia Att/Def
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
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Goals minus xGContext
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80%
Scored inContext
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20%
Clean sheetsContext
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ShotsContext
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
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On target shareContext
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—
Shots in the boxContext
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Box shareContext
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ConversionContext
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OffsidesContext
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Shots allowedContext
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
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BlocksContext
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Goalkeeper savesContext
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Save rateContext
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PossessionIn forecast
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PassesContext
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Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
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4.00
Yellow cardsContext
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0.10
Red cardsContext
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In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Rest22.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Lillestrom
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel2,184 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
Lillestrom |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Moderate · 20 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 22.9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, 28 Jul | — |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 2,184 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 1 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Confirmed XI
98M. Dajsinani(G)
6A. Aleksi
33E. Bitri
28E. Sota
29Andrey Yago
10A. Albanese
7Fernando Medeiros
20K. Loukili
55G. Smajli
77I. Gruda
2D. Adjessa
Lillestrom
Confirmed XI
12P. Dahlberg(G)
3S. Ottesen
5S. Foss
28L. Gabrielsen
2Lars Ranger
14G. Nyheim
18K. Krygård
29Y. Ibrahimaj
20Vá
8F. Gulbrandsen
26W. Paintsil
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Absences are shown before kick-off
Lillestrom
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
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Home / Away this season
Egnatia Rrogozhinë · Home
No home games yet this season.
Lillestrom · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Lillestrom | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Lillestrom | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.00 | — | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | — | |
| Match goals | 4.00 | — | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | — | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | — | |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | — | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | — | |
| Clean sheets | 0% | — | |
| Failed to score | 0% | — | |
| Games | 2 | 0 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Lillestrom | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 9.33 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 4.33 |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Lillestrom | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 9.33 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 4.50 | — | |
| Opponent cards | 1.90 | — | |
| Match total | 6.40 | — | 4.33 |
| Over 3.5 | 80% 8/10 | — | |
| Over 4.5 | 80% 8/10 | — | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Willy Delajod France · 111 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.50league 4.00
Red cards0.25league 0.33
Cards 5+37%league 67%
Fouls24.6league 27.7
Penalties0.40league 0.67
Home wins41%league 33%
Egnatia RrogozhinëNo previous matches with this referee.
LillestromNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Egnatia RrogozhinëLillestromEgnatia Rrogozhinë9 games · scored 19 · conceded 18
5
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
4
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
4
61-75
5
3
76-90
Lillestromscored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.