Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg – 6 Sep 2026

Bundesliga Gameweek 2 Sun, Sep 6 · 16:30 Frankfurt Arena, Frankfurt am Main

Eintracht Frankfurt 12th · 1 pts · 1 played D

1–4Full time

FC Augsburg 7th · 3 pts · 1 played W

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

It was too close to call.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards FC Augsburg. Eintracht Frankfurt had 8.1 days of rest, FC Augsburg 7 and had to travel 252 km. Conditions were neutral.

Away travel252 kmRest days8.1 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1

Eintracht Frankfurt42%

Draw23%

FC Augsburg34%

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.50

Eintracht Frankfurt46%

Draw25%

FC Augsburg29%

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.16

Eintracht Frankfurt43%

Draw23%

FC Augsburg34%

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.48

Eintracht Frankfurt34%

Draw23%

FC Augsburg42%

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.68

Eintracht Frankfurt41%

Draw23%

FC Augsburg35%

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.53

Over 2.5 61% Both score 63% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Frankfurt am Main)

25°COvercast

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 6 km/h
Humidity 27%

Referee · GermanyDaniel Schlager

Cards per match 4.5
Penalties per match 0.28
Matches 96

Team strength

Eintracht Frankfurt

FC Augsburg

50 L90 StrengthIn forecast 47

48 Current StrengthIn forecast 50

54 AttackIn forecast 72

37 DefenceIn forecast 23

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt

Attack—

Defense risk—

FC Augsburg

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Eintracht Frankfurt

FC Augsburg

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.70

1.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

1.37 xGVia Att/Def 1.75

1.56 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.83

+0.23 Goals minus xGContext -0.05

100% Scored inContext 80%

10% Clean sheetsContext 10%

13.10 ShotsContext 14.50

5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.70

38% On target shareContext 39%

8.00 Shots in the boxContext 10.20

62% Box shareContext 68%

12% ConversionContext 12%

2.57 OffsidesContext 2.22

13.60 Shots allowedContext 16.30

5.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.60

3.88 BlocksContext 4.78

4.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.80

71% Save rateContext 68%

58% PossessionIn forecast 40%

478 PassesContext 334

406 Accurate passesContext 257

85% Pass accuracyContext 77%

6.86 Team ratingContext 6.90

9.10 FoulsContext 8.20

9.50 Fouls sufferedContext 9.70

1.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.60

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Eintracht Frankfurt D

Rest8.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km847 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 47 · 1 pts vs 1.3 for an average club · -0.2 vs expected

D29 AugA · Union Berlin3–31.2 xPts

FC Augsburg W

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel252 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 62 · 3 pts vs 1.6 for an average club · +1.4 vs expected

W30 AugH · FC Schalke 043–01.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Eintracht Frankfurt	FC Augsburg
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	8.1Bundesliga 2026-2027, 29 Aug	7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 30 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	252 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	847 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 1	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	5.9	5.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Eintracht Frankfurt Confirmed XI

4-4-2

1N. Atubolu(G)

26K. Kosugi 3L. Brassier 4R. Koch 2E. Baum

42C. Uzun 25R. Onyedika 27M. Götze 20R. Doan

9J. Burkardt 11Y. Ebnoutalib

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

FC Augsburg Confirmed XI

5-3-2

1F. Dahmen(G)

16Hennes Behrens 2C. Brackelmann 5C. Matsima 40N. Banks 27M. Wolf

19Robin Fellhauer 32F. Rieder 4H. Massengo

11M. Gregoritsch 21A. Ibrahimović

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Eintracht Frankfurt Absences are shown before kick-off

FC Augsburg Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Eintracht Frankfurt-0.6 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
FC Augsburg+0.6 pp

Home / Away this season

Eintracht Frankfurt · Home No home games yet this season.

FC Augsburg · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 10 of 10 meetings

3 Eintracht Frankfurt wins6 draws1 FC Augsburg wins

Goals per game1.20 – 0.90 Over 2.540% Both scored70% Clean sheets30% · 20%

25 Apr 2026FC Augsburg1–1Eintracht Frankfurt
13 Dec 2025Eintracht Frankfurt1–0FC Augsburg
20 Apr 2025FC Augsburg0–0Eintracht Frankfurt
7 Dec 2024Eintracht Frankfurt2–2FC Augsburg
19 Apr 2024Eintracht Frankfurt3–1FC Augsburg
3 Dec 2023FC Augsburg2–1Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Eintracht Frankfurt	FC Augsburg	Forecast
Scored per game	3.00	3.00
Conceded per game	3.00	0.00
Match goals	6.00	3.00	3.17
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	100%	61%
Over 3.5	100%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	0%	63%
Clean sheets	0%	100%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

	Eintracht Frankfurt	FC Augsburg	Forecast
Scored per game	1.60	1.70
Conceded per game	1.90	1.80
Match goals	3.50	3.50	3.17
Over 1.5	90%	100%
Over 2.5	80%	70%	61%
Over 3.5	50%	50%
Both teams scored	90%	70%	63%
Clean sheets	10%	10%
Failed to score	0%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Eintracht Frankfurt	FC Augsburg	League
Corners
Corners won	2.00	11.00
Corners conceded	5.00	3.00
Match total	7.00	14.00	11.31
Over 8.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Over 9.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Over 10.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Cards
Cards	4.00	1.00
Opponent cards	2.00	1.00
Match total	6.00	2.00	3.63
Over 3.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Over 4.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1

	Eintracht Frankfurt	FC Augsburg	League
Corners
Corners won	5.00	4.70
Corners conceded	5.56	6.30
Match total	10.56	11.00	11.31
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	70% 7/10
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	60% 6/10
Cards
Cards	2.00	1.60
Opponent cards	1.90	2.00
Match total	3.90	3.60	3.63
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Daniel Schlager Germany · 96 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.28league 3.53

Red cards0.23league 0.12

Cards 5+50%league 24%

Fouls22.2league 23.4

Penalties0.28league 0.06

Home wins54%league 59%

Eintracht Frankfurt10 with this referee

Record3-5-2 Cards · opp.2.1 · 2.0 Pens for · against1 · 1

D9 Jan 26H · Borussia Dortmund3–33
W17 Jan 25H · Borussia Dortmund2–00
W2 Nov 24H · VfL Bochum7–21
L27 Apr 24A · Bayern München1–23
D25 Feb 24H · VfL Wolfsburg2–22

FC Augsburg13 with this referee

Record4-4-5 Cards · opp.3.2 · 2.0 Pens for · against3 · 6 Reds4

D10 Apr 26H · 1899 Hoffenheim2–25
W21 Feb 26A · VfL Wolfsburg3–24
L20 Sep 25H · FSV Mainz 051–41
D8 Feb 25A · FSV Mainz 050–03
L12 Jan 25H · VfB Stuttgart0–15

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.