Elche vs Real Betis – 18 Aug 2025

La Liga Gameweek 1 Mon, Aug 18 · 20:00 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche

Elche

1–1Full time

Real Betis

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Real Betis were slight favourites.

Real Betis were the stronger side on L90 Strength (65 vs 34). Absences weigh more on Real Betis. Elche had ? days of rest, Real Betis ? and had to travel 473 km.

Away travel473 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0

Elche27%

Draw27%

Real Betis46%

Expected goals 1.08 – 1.47

Elche26%

Draw26%

Real Betis48%

Expected goals 1.12 – 1.60

Elche26%

Draw27%

Real Betis47%

Expected goals 1.05 – 1.51

Elche21%

Draw26%

Real Betis53%

Expected goals 0.96 – 1.65

Elche27%

Draw26%

Real Betis46%

Expected goals 1.15 – 1.56

Over 2.5 47% Both score 51% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Elche)

No weather data yet

Referee · SpainVictor Garcia Verdura

Cards per match 4.2
Penalties per match 0.30
Matches 23

Team strength

Elche

Real Betis

34 L90 StrengthIn forecast 65

44 Current StrengthIn forecast 71

39 AttackIn forecast 79

51 DefenceIn forecast 59

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Elche

Attack—

Defense risk—

Real Betis

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Elche

Real Betis

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

— xGVia Att/Def 1.32

— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.59

— Goals minus xGContext +0.68

70% Scored inContext 100%

30% Clean sheetsContext 0%

13.00 ShotsContext 15.40

3.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.20

30% On target shareContext 40%

9.80 Shots in the boxContext 10.40

77% Box shareContext 64%

8% ConversionContext 13%

2.88 OffsidesContext 1.57

13.00 Shots allowedContext 13.60

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50

4.29 BlocksContext 3.89

3.60 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50

80% Save rateContext 64%

56% PossessionIn forecast 50%

431 PassesContext 461

354 Accurate passesContext 398

82% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.99 Team ratingContext 7.03

12.70 FoulsContext 12.10

9.50 Fouls sufferedContext 12.10

1.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Elche

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Real Betis

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel473 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Elche	Real Betis
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	—	—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	473 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	4.9	4

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Elche Confirmed XI

4-3-3

1M. Dituro(G)

21L. Pétrot 6Bigas 22D. Affengruber 15Alvaro Núñez

35Ali Houary 8Marc Aguado 14Aleix Febas

30Rodrigo Mendoza 20Á. Rodríguez 11Germán Valera

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Real Betis Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

25Pau López(G)

12R. Rodríguez 4Natan 5Marc Bartra 2Héctor Bellerín

8Pablo Fornals 6Sergi Altimira

17Rodrigo Riquelme 20G. Lo Celso 24Aitor Ruibal

19C. Hernández

+5 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Elche Absences are shown before kick-off

Real Betis Scores -0.04 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Elche+1.4 pp
Draw+0.3 pp
Real Betis-1.7 pp

Home / Away this season

Elche · Home No home games yet this season.

Real Betis · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

1 Elche wins1 draws4 Real Betis wins

Goals per game0.83 – 2.17 Over 2.567% Both scored50% Clean sheets17% · 33%

24 Feb 2023Elche2–3Real Betis
15 Aug 2022Real Betis3–0Elche
19 Apr 2022Real Betis0–1Elche
21 Nov 2021Elche0–3Real Betis
4 Apr 2021Elche1–1Real Betis
1 Nov 2020Real Betis3–1Elche

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Elche	Real Betis	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.55
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	47%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	51%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Elche	Real Betis	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.55
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	47%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	51%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Elche	Real Betis	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	9.63
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	3.75
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Elche	Real Betis	League
Corners
Corners won	6.50	5.90
Corners conceded	7.20	5.40
Match total	13.70	11.30	9.63
Over 8.5	80% 8/10	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	80% 8/10	60% 6/10
Over 10.5	80% 8/10	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	1.90	1.90
Opponent cards	2.10	2.50
Match total	4.00	4.40	3.75
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Victor Garcia Verdura Spain · 23 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.96league 3.25

Red cards0.26league 0.50

Cards 5+43%league 38%

Fouls27.0league 22.6

Penalties0.30league 0.38

Home wins39%league 50%

Elche

No previous matches with this referee.

Real Betis4 with this referee

Record2-2-0 Cards · opp.1.3 · 2.3 Pens for · against0 · 0

D23 May 25H · Valencia1–11
W5 May 24A · Osasuna2–02
W26 Nov 23H · Las Palmas1–01
D28 Sep 23A · Granada CF1–11

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.