Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor – 25 Aug 2025

Süper Lig Gameweek 3 Mon, Aug 25 · 17:00 Siltaş Yapı Pendik Stadyumu, İstanbul

Eyüpspor 16th · 0 pts · 2 played LL

2–1Full time

Alanyaspor 11th · 1 pts · 1 played D

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Eyüpspor were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Eyüpspor had 7.9 days of rest, Alanyaspor 8.9 and had to travel 563 km.

Away travel563 kmRest days7.9 · 8.9Matches / 14d1 · 1

Eyüpspor42%

Draw27%

Alanyaspor31%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.25

Eyüpspor41%

Draw27%

Alanyaspor32%

Expected goals 1.45 – 1.24

Eyüpspor42%

Draw27%

Alanyaspor31%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.25

Eyüpspor35%

Draw27%

Alanyaspor38%

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.40

Eyüpspor41%

Draw27%

Alanyaspor32%

Expected goals 1.45 – 1.24

Over 2.5 51% Both score 56% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (İstanbul)

No weather data yet

Referee · TurkeyArda Kardesler

Cards per match 3.5
Penalties per match 0.50
Matches 4

Team strength

Eyüpspor

Alanyaspor

20 L90 StrengthIn forecast 22

13 Current StrengthIn forecast 24

9 AttackIn forecast 18

10 DefenceIn forecast 24

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Eyüpspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Alanyaspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Eyüpspor

Alanyaspor

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

3.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def —

1.61 xGVia Att/Def —

2.09 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

-0.61 Goals minus xGContext —

100% Scored inContext —

0% Clean sheetsContext —

13.50 ShotsContext —

3.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

26% On target shareContext —

8.00 Shots in the boxContext —

59% Box shareContext —

7% ConversionContext —

3.00 OffsidesContext —

16.00 Shots allowedContext —

6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def —

5.50 BlocksContext —

4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext —

67% Save rateContext —

54% PossessionIn forecast —

391 PassesContext —

326 Accurate passesContext —

83% Pass accuracyContext —

6.71 Team ratingContext —

9.50 FoulsContext —

13.00 Fouls sufferedContext —

2.00 Yellow cardsContext —

0.00 Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match · 2 and 0 games

1.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20

2.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

1.43 xGVia Att/Def 0.88

1.50 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.03

-0.13 Goals minus xGContext +0.32

70% Scored inContext 80%

20% Clean sheetsContext 40%

11.40 ShotsContext 9.50

3.89 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.10

31% On target shareContext 33%

7.89 Shots in the boxContext 6.20

62% Box shareContext 66%

11% ConversionContext 13%

2.63 OffsidesContext 2.13

13.20 Shots allowedContext 9.80

4.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.11

3.90 BlocksContext 2.71

2.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.38

58% Save rateContext 75%

58% PossessionIn forecast 48%

448 PassesContext 424

388 Accurate passesContext 361

87% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.94 Team ratingContext 6.97

9.90 FoulsContext 12.20

12.20 Fouls sufferedContext 13.10

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.20

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Eyüpspor

Rest7.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Alanyaspor

Rest8.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel563 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Eyüpspor	Alanyaspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 17 Aug	8.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 16 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	563 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 2	0 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	6	6.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Eyüpspor Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

1Marcos Felipe(G)

18N. Mujakić 4Luccas Claro 6R. Yalçın

11S. Gürler 30Y. Kayan 10K. Demirbay 2Calegari

70D. Drăguş 99S. Sešlar

9M. Thiam

Alanyaspor Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

1M. Taşkıran(G)

50Ü. Akdağ 5F. Aliti 3Nuno Lima

88Y. Özdemir 58Maestro 42G. Makouta 94F. Hadërgjonaj

16U. Hwang 10G. Yalçın

9A. Šporar

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Eyüpspor Absences are shown before kick-off

Alanyaspor Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Eyüpspor+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Alanyaspor+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Eyüpspor · Home 0.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 4.00

Alanyaspor · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

1 Eyüpspor wins1 draws0 Alanyaspor wins

Goals per game2.00 – 0.50 Over 2.550% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 0%

19 Jan 2025Eyüpspor3–0Alanyaspor
11 Aug 2024Alanyaspor1–1Eyüpspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Eyüpspor	Alanyaspor	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	0.00
Conceded per game	3.00	0.00
Match goals	4.00	0.00	2.74
Over 1.5	100%	0%
Over 2.5	100%	0%	51%
Over 3.5	50%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	0%	56%
Clean sheets	0%	100%
Failed to score	0%	100%
Games	2	1

	Eyüpspor	Alanyaspor	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	0.00
Conceded per game	3.00	0.00
Match goals	4.00	0.00	2.74
Over 1.5	100%	0%
Over 2.5	100%	0%	51%
Over 3.5	50%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	0%	56%
Clean sheets	0%	100%
Failed to score	0%	100%
Games	2	1

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Eyüpspor	Alanyaspor	League
Corners
Corners won	5.50	3.00
Corners conceded	8.50	1.00
Match total	14.00	4.00	9.37
Over 8.5	100% 2/2	0% 0/1
Over 9.5	100% 2/2	0% 0/1
Over 10.5	100% 2/2	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	2.00	1.00
Opponent cards	1.50	2.00
Match total	3.50	3.00	4.16
Over 3.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/1
Over 4.5	0% 0/2	0% 0/1

	Eyüpspor	Alanyaspor	League
Corners
Corners won	3.90	3.67
Corners conceded	5.80	2.89
Match total	9.70	6.56	9.37
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	11% 1/9
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	11% 1/9
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	0% 0/9
Cards
Cards	2.20	2.20
Opponent cards	1.60	2.50
Match total	3.80	4.70	4.16
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Arda Kardesler Turkey · 4 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.50league 3.85

Red cards0.00league 0.35

Cards 5+0%league 35%

Fouls20.0league 25.6

Penalties0.50league 0.35

Home wins50%league 45%

Eyüpspor

No previous matches with this referee.

Alanyaspor

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.