Eyüpspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
It was too close to call.
The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Alanyaspor. Eyüpspor had 7 days of rest, Alanyaspor 6.9 and had to travel 563 km.
Away travel563 kmRest days7 · 6.9Matches / 14d2 · 1
Eyüpspor37%
Draw28%
Alanyaspor35%
Eyüpspor40%
Draw26%
Alanyaspor35%
Eyüpspor37%
Draw28%
Alanyaspor35%
Eyüpspor31%
Draw28%
Alanyaspor41%
Eyüpspor38%
Draw27%
Alanyaspor35%
Over 2.5 42%
Both score 48%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (İstanbul)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeCihan Aydin
- Cards per match 4.4
- Penalties per match 0.43
- Matches 23
Team strength
Eyüpspor
Alanyaspor
18
L90 StrengthIn forecast
23
13
Current StrengthIn forecast
24
9
AttackIn forecast
18
10
DefenceIn forecast
24
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisAlanyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
EyüpsporAlanyaspor
0.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.00
1.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.50
0.29
xGVia Att/Def
0.90
1.22
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.01
-0.29
Goals minus xGContext
+0.10
0%
Scored inContext
100%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
8.00
ShotsContext
10.00
1.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.50
13%
On target shareContext
25%
—
Shots in the boxContext
5.50
—
Box shareContext
56%
0%
ConversionContext
10%
—
OffsidesContext
3.00
14.00
Shots allowedContext
13.50
3.50
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.50
5.00
BlocksContext
3.00
2.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
5.00
71%
Save rateContext
91%
45%
PossessionIn forecast
37%
353
PassesContext
314
290
Accurate passesContext
238
82%
Pass accuracyContext
76%
6.74
Team ratingContext
7.03
15.00
FoulsContext
17.50
18.50
Fouls sufferedContext
14.00
1.00
Yellow cardsContext
1.50
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.40
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.50
1.30
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
0.69
xGVia Att/Def
0.91
1.28
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.02
+0.71
Goals minus xGContext
+0.59
60%
Scored inContext
80%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
8.50
ShotsContext
10.10
2.89
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.90
31%
On target shareContext
39%
4.67
Shots in the boxContext
6.20
50%
Box shareContext
63%
17%
ConversionContext
15%
2.25
OffsidesContext
2.25
14.40
Shots allowedContext
11.00
4.10
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.10
4.40
BlocksContext
3.44
2.80
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.00
68%
Save rateContext
73%
42%
PossessionIn forecast
45%
331
PassesContext
376
262
Accurate passesContext
307
79%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.80
Team ratingContext
6.90
13.00
FoulsContext
14.40
14.60
Fouls sufferedContext
13.50
2.20
Yellow cardsContext
2.20
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Eyüpspor
LL
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 23 · 0 pts vs 3.4 for an average club · -2.3 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Eyüpspor |
Alanyaspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 23 Aug | 6.9Süper Lig 2026-2027, 23 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 563 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 2 | 1 / 1 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6.9 | 8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Eyüpspor
Confirmed XI
31H. Moldovan(G)
21S. Giordano
33Z. Jules
5J. El Yamiq
7Talha Ülvan
15Charles-Andre Raux Yao
88C. Massanga
8David Costa
77K. Michalak
29A. Abdullahi
98B. Boutobba
Alanyaspor
Confirmed XI
48Paulo Victor(G)
50Ü. Akdağ
5F. Aliti
3Nuno Lima
11Ruan
55B. Gezek
42G. Makouta
94F. Hadërgjonaj
7Ibrahim Kaya
17A. Usluoğlu
16U. Hwang
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Eyüpspor
Absences are shown before kick-off
Alanyaspor
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Eyüpspor+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Alanyaspor+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Eyüpspor · Home
0.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
Alanyaspor · Away
1.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-1-0
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 2 this season
| Opponent | Eyüpspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | L 0–1 H | D 1–1 A |
| Besiktas | L 0–1 A | W 1–0 H |
| Points | 0 of 6 · 0.00 per game | 4 of 6 · 2.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings
3 Eyüpspor wins1 draws0 Alanyaspor wins
Goals per game2.25 – 0.75
Over 2.575%
Both scored75%
Clean sheets25% · 0%
- 31 Jan 2026Alanyaspor1–3Eyüpspor
- 25 Aug 2025Eyüpspor2–1Alanyaspor
- 19 Jan 2025Eyüpspor3–0Alanyaspor
- 11 Aug 2024Alanyaspor1–1Eyüpspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Eyüpspor | Alanyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.00 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 0.50 | |
| Match goals | 1.00 | 1.50 | 2.36 |
| Over 1.5 | 0% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% | 48% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 100% | 0% | |
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Eyüpspor | Alanyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.40 | 1.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.30 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.70 | 2.50 | 2.36 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 70% | |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% | 48% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Eyüpspor | Alanyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.00 | 7.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.00 | 7.00 | |
| Match total | 8.00 | 14.00 | 9.26 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 1/2 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 1/2 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/2 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.50 | 1.50 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 3.50 | 3.00 | 3.16 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Eyüpspor | Alanyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.33 | 5.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.22 | 4.29 | |
| Match total | 9.55 | 9.29 | 9.26 |
| Over 8.5 | 78% 7/9 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Over 9.5 | 56% 5/9 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Over 10.5 | 44% 4/9 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.60 | 2.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 1.90 | |
| Match total | 4.60 | 4.10 | 3.16 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Cihan Aydin Türkiye · 23 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.22league 3.09
Red cards0.22league 0.18
Cards 5+39%league 32%
Fouls26.1league 25.4
Penalties0.43league 0.36
Home wins30%league 41%
Eyüpspor3 with this referee
Record2-1-0
Cards · opp.2.0 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
Reds1
- W18 Apr 26A · Fatih Karagümrük2–14
- D22 Nov 25H · Fatih Karagümrük1–11
- W20 Oct 25H · Kasimpasa2–01
Alanyaspor1 with this referee
Record0-1-0
Cards · opp.2.0 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 1
- D17 Sep 25A · Fenerbahce2–22
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Eyüpspor2 games · scored 0 · conceded 2
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
76-90
Alanyaspor2 games · scored 2 · conceded 1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
1
1
61-75
76-90
Eyüpspor10 games · scored 14 · conceded 13
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
5
31-45
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
6
76-90
Alanyaspor10 games · scored 15 · conceded 10
1
1
0-15
2
16-30
4
2
31-45
3
46-60
4
3
61-75
4
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
