Eyüpspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Galatasaray were clear favourites.
Galatasaray were the stronger side on L90 Strength (74 vs 21). Eyüpspor had 12.9 days of rest, Galatasaray 13.8 and had to travel 0 km.
Away travel0 kmRest days12.9 · 13.8Matches / 14d1 · 1
Eyüpspor14%
Draw20%
Galatasaray66%
Eyüpspor15%
Draw21%
Galatasaray64%
Eyüpspor14%
Draw20%
Galatasaray66%
Eyüpspor10%
Draw17%
Galatasaray73%
Eyüpspor15%
Draw21%
Galatasaray64%
Over 2.5 60%
Both score 54%
Likeliest score 0–2
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (İstanbul)
No weather data yet
RefereeBatuhan Kolak
- Cards per match 3.6
- Penalties per match 0.20
- Matches 5
Team strength
Eyüpspor
Galatasaray
21
L90 StrengthIn forecast
74
13
Current StrengthIn forecast
62
9
AttackIn forecast
57
10
DefenceIn forecast
55
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisGalatasaray
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
EyüpsporGalatasaray
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
3.25
1.75
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.25
1.09
xGVia Att/Def
2.84
1.60
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.68
-0.09
Goals minus xGContext
+0.41
75%
Scored inContext
100%
25%
Clean sheetsContext
75%
11.00
ShotsContext
18.00
2.75
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.75
25%
On target shareContext
38%
6.00
Shots in the boxContext
12.75
58%
Box shareContext
72%
9%
ConversionContext
18%
2.50
OffsidesContext
1.33
13.25
Shots allowedContext
6.50
4.25
On target allowedVia Att/Def
2.50
5.00
BlocksContext
1.33
4.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.25
75%
Save rateContext
90%
51%
PossessionIn forecast
66%
379
PassesContext
517
318
Accurate passesContext
458
84%
Pass accuracyContext
89%
6.82
Team ratingContext
7.24
11.00
FoulsContext
10.50
15.50
Fouls sufferedContext
9.75
2.75
Yellow cardsContext
1.50
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
0.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
3.10
2.20
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.30
0.99
xGVia Att/Def
2.52
1.59
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.81
-0.19
Goals minus xGContext
+0.58
60%
Scored inContext
100%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
70%
9.00
ShotsContext
19.00
2.78
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
7.00
28%
On target shareContext
37%
5.22
Shots in the boxContext
13.90
58%
Box shareContext
74%
9%
ConversionContext
16%
2.50
OffsidesContext
1.88
13.40
Shots allowedContext
8.10
4.20
On target allowedVia Att/Def
2.70
4.33
BlocksContext
2.00
2.67
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.67
59%
Save rateContext
92%
55%
PossessionIn forecast
63%
429
PassesContext
484
368
Accurate passesContext
422
86%
Pass accuracyContext
87%
6.82
Team ratingContext
7.30
10.00
FoulsContext
10.90
14.00
Fouls sufferedContext
10.10
2.10
Yellow cardsContext
1.70
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Eyüpspor
Rest12.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Galatasaray
Rest13.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Eyüpspor |
Galatasaray |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 12.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 31 Aug | 13.8Süper Lig 2025-2026, 30 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 0 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 0 / 1 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 9.1 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Eyüpspor
Confirmed XI
1Marcos Felipe(G)
6R. Yalçın
4Luccas Claro
18N. Mujakić
77C. Meraş
10K. Demirbay
30Y. Kayan
11S. Gürler
99S. Sešlar
40P. Ampem
70D. Drăguş
Galatasaray
Confirmed XI
1U. Çakır(G)
7R. Sallai
6D. Sánchez
42A. Bardakcı
17E. Elmalı
34L. Torreira
8Gabriel Sara
11Y. Akgün
20İ. Gündoğan
10L. Sané
9M. Icardi
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Eyüpspor
Absences are shown before kick-off
Galatasaray
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Eyüpspor+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Galatasaray+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Eyüpspor · Home
1.50points per game · 2 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-1
- Scored
- 1.50
- Conceded
- 2.50
Galatasaray · Away
3.00points per game · 2 away games
- W-D-L
- 2-0-0
- Scored
- 3.50
- Conceded
- 0.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
0 Eyüpspor wins1 draws1 Galatasaray wins
Goals per game1.50 – 3.50
Over 2.5100%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 27 Apr 2025Eyüpspor1–5Galatasaray
- 1 Dec 2024Galatasaray2–2Eyüpspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Eyüpspor | Galatasaray | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 3.25 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.75 | 0.25 | |
| Match goals | 2.75 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 25% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 75% | |
| Failed to score | 25% | 0% | |
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Eyüpspor | Galatasaray | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 3.25 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.75 | 0.25 | |
| Match goals | 2.75 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 25% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 75% | |
| Failed to score | 25% | 0% | |
| Games | 4 | 4 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Eyüpspor | Galatasaray | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.00 | 5.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 7.33 | 2.75 | |
| Match total | 12.33 | 7.75 | 9.18 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 3/3 | 25% 1/4 | |
| Over 9.5 | 67% 2/3 | 25% 1/4 | |
| Over 10.5 | 67% 2/3 | 25% 1/4 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.75 | 1.50 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.50 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 5.25 | 4.00 | 4.25 |
| Over 3.5 | 75% 3/4 | 75% 3/4 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 2/4 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Eyüpspor | Galatasaray | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.67 | 5.44 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.00 | 3.11 | |
| Match total | 9.67 | 8.55 | 9.18 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 33% 3/9 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 22% 2/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.10 | 1.70 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.80 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 3.90 | 3.70 | 4.25 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Batuhan Kolak 5 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.60league 4.10
Red cards0.00league 0.23
Cards 5+20%league 40%
Fouls25.0league 25.5
Penalties0.20league 0.33
Home wins20%league 40%
Eyüpspor1 with this referee
Record0-0-1
Cards · opp.2.0 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 1
- L10 Aug 25H · Konyaspor1–42
Galatasaray1 with this referee
Record1-0-0
Cards · opp.0.0 · 3.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- W24 May 25A · Goztepe2–00
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Eyüpspor4 games · scored 4 · conceded 7
1
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
76-90
Galatasaray4 games · scored 13 · conceded 1
2
0-15
2
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
4
76-90
Eyüpspor10 games · scored 8 · conceded 22
1
2
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
4
61-75
2
9
76-90
Galatasaray10 games · scored 31 · conceded 3
4
0-15
7
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
46-60
5
1
61-75
10
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
