Eyüpspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Eyüpspor
16th · 25 pts · 30 played
LLLLW
3–0Full time
Gazişehir Gaziantep
10th · 37 pts · 30 played
WLDLW
Our take
Gazişehir Gaziantep were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Gazişehir Gaziantep. Eyüpspor had 7 days of rest, Gazişehir Gaziantep 4.8 and had to travel 850 km.
Away travel850 kmRest days7 · 4.8Matches / 14d2 · 2
Eyüpspor32%
Draw27%
Gazişehir Gaziantep41%
Eyüpspor38%
Draw27%
Gazişehir Gaziantep35%
Eyüpspor33%
Draw27%
Gazişehir Gaziantep40%
Eyüpspor26%
Draw26%
Gazişehir Gaziantep48%
Eyüpspor32%
Draw27%
Gazişehir Gaziantep41%
Over 2.5 50%
Both score 55%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (İstanbul)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeResat Onur Coskunses
- Cards per match 5.0
- Penalties per match 0.00
- Matches 3
Team strength
EyüpsporGazişehir Gaziantep
15
L90 StrengthIn forecast
21
13
Current StrengthIn forecast
16
9
AttackIn forecast
15
10
DefenceIn forecast
18
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisGazişehir Gaziantep
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
EyüpsporGazişehir Gaziantep
0.73
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.37
1.47
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.63
0.89
xGVia Att/Def
1.31
1.54
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.40
-0.16
Goals minus xGContext
+0.06
50%
Scored inContext
77%
17%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
9.93
ShotsContext
12.80
3.52
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.62
32%
On target shareContext
35%
6.18
Shots in the boxContext
7.87
59%
Box shareContext
60%
7%
ConversionContext
11%
2.48
OffsidesContext
1.78
13.60
Shots allowedContext
13.67
4.67
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.07
4.04
BlocksContext
3.60
3.43
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.45
70%
Save rateContext
66%
49%
PossessionIn forecast
50%
374
PassesContext
377
303
Accurate passesContext
312
81%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.75
Team ratingContext
6.82
11.73
FoulsContext
13.20
15.17
Fouls sufferedContext
16.10
2.33
Yellow cardsContext
2.90
0.07
Red cardsContext
0.13
0.60
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.40
1.60
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
0.61
xGVia Att/Def
1.21
1.59
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.21
-0.01
Goals minus xGContext
+0.19
50%
Scored inContext
80%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
7.40
ShotsContext
11.10
2.75
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.33
30%
On target shareContext
43%
4.11
Shots in the boxContext
7.20
54%
Box shareContext
64%
8%
ConversionContext
13%
2.22
OffsidesContext
1.89
13.90
Shots allowedContext
13.40
4.70
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.00
3.90
BlocksContext
4.00
3.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.78
64%
Save rateContext
69%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
46%
368
PassesContext
356
294
Accurate passesContext
292
80%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.68
Team ratingContext
6.84
12.20
FoulsContext
13.60
16.60
Fouls sufferedContext
16.00
2.50
Yellow cardsContext
2.60
0.20
Red cardsContext
0.20
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Eyüpspor
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Gazişehir Gaziantep
Rest4.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel850 km1,034 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Eyüpspor |
Gazişehir Gaziantep |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 12 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7Süper Lig 2025-2026, 18 Apr | 4.8Süper Lig 2025-2026, 20 Apr |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 850 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 1,034 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 3 | 1 / 2 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 8.2 | 6.2 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Eyüpspor
Confirmed XI
24J. Yılmaz(G)
77C. Meraş
4Luccas Claro
5B. Ozyurt
2Calegari
28T. İlter
26Metehan Altunbaş
15Charles-Andre Raux Yao
20M. Łęgowski
22Denis Radu
19U. Bozok
Gazişehir Gaziantep
Confirmed XI
20Z. Görgen(G)
77K. Rodrigues
14L. Abena
4A. Kızıldağ
18D. Sorescu
8V. Gidado
11C. Lungoyi
44A. Maxim
3D. Camara
10K. Kozłowski
9M. Bayo
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Eyüpspor
Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Gazişehir Gaziantep
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Eyüpspor-0.7 pp
- Draw-0.1 pp
- Gazişehir Gaziantep+0.8 pp
Home / Away this season
Eyüpspor · Home
0.87points per game · 15 home games
- W-D-L
- 3-4-8
- Scored
- 0.80
- Conceded
- 1.40
Gazişehir Gaziantep · Away
1.13points per game · 15 away games
- W-D-L
- 4-5-6
- Scored
- 1.33
- Conceded
- 1.73
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 16 this season
| Opponent | Eyüpspor | Gazişehir Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| Fatih Karagümrük | W 2–1 AD 1–1 H | D 1–1 HW 2–0 A |
| Samsunspor | L 1–2 HL 0–1 A | D 0–0 AD 2–2 H |
| Antalyaspor | L 0–3 AL 0–1 H | W 4–1 AW 3–2 H |
| Trabzonspor | L 0–1 HL 0–2 A | L 1–2 HD 1–1 A |
| Kasimpasa | L 0–1 AW 2–0 H | W 2–1 HW 3–2 A |
| Kocaelispor | L 0–1 HL 0–1 A | L 0–3 AW 2–0 H |
| Goztepe | D 0–0 AD 0–0 H | L 0–1 H |
| Genclerbirligi | W 1–0 HL 0–1 A | L 1–2 AW 2–1 H |
| Galatasaray | L 1–5 AL 0–2 H | D 1–1 AL 0–3 H |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | L 1–2 HD 0–0 A | L 1–5 A |
| Alanyaspor | W 3–1 AW 2–1 H | D 1–1 HD 0–0 A |
| Besiktas | D 2–2 HL 1–2 A | D 2–2 A |
| Konyaspor | D 1–1 AL 1–4 H | D 1–1 HL 0–3 A |
| Fenerbahce | L 0–3 H | L 1–4 AL 0–4 H |
| Rizespor | L 0–3 A | L 1–2 AD 2–2 H |
| Kayserispor | D 1–1 H | W 3–0 HW 3–0 A |
| Points | 22 of 87 · 0.76 per game | 37 of 87 · 1.28 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 3 of 3 meetings
2 Eyüpspor wins0 draws1 Gazişehir Gaziantep wins
Goals per game2.00 – 2.00
Over 2.5100%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 29 Nov 2025Gazişehir Gaziantep1–2Eyüpspor
- 3 Mar 2025Gazişehir Gaziantep3–1Eyüpspor
- 29 Sep 2024Eyüpspor3–2Gazişehir Gaziantep
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Eyüpspor | Gazişehir Gaziantep | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.73 | 1.37 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.47 | 1.63 | |
| Match goals | 2.20 | 3.00 | 2.68 |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 63% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 23% | |
| Games | 30 | 30 |
| Eyüpspor | Gazişehir Gaziantep | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.60 | 1.40 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.60 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 2.20 | 2.90 | 2.68 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 70% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 20% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Eyüpspor | Gazişehir Gaziantep | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.74 | 4.97 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.30 | 5.17 | |
| Match total | 9.04 | 10.14 | 9.38 |
| Over 8.5 | 48% 13/27 | 55% 16/29 | |
| Over 9.5 | 37% 10/27 | 41% 12/29 | |
| Over 10.5 | 30% 8/27 | 41% 12/29 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.50 | 3.07 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.03 | 2.97 | |
| Match total | 4.53 | 6.04 | 4.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 63% 19/30 | 87% 26/30 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 12/30 | 77% 23/30 | |
| Eyüpspor | Gazişehir Gaziantep | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 2.78 | 4.20 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.56 | 6.10 | |
| Match total | 8.34 | 10.30 | 9.38 |
| Over 8.5 | 44% 4/9 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 33% 3/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.90 | 2.80 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 1.90 | |
| Match total | 4.90 | 4.70 | 4.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Resat Onur Coskunses Türkiye · 3 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards5.00league 4.45
Red cards0.00league 0.22
Cards 5+67%league 46%
Fouls26.7league 26.1
Penalties0.00league 0.28
Home wins33%league 40%
EyüpsporNo previous matches with this referee.
Gazişehir GaziantepNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Eyüpspor30 games · scored 22 · conceded 44
3
7
0-15
1
4
16-30
3
6
31-45
5
4
46-60
4
7
61-75
6
16
76-90
Gazişehir Gaziantep30 games · scored 41 · conceded 49
4
6
0-15
7
10
16-30
9
5
31-45
4
4
46-60
11
7
61-75
6
17
76-90
Eyüpspor10 games · scored 6 · conceded 16
3
0-15
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
5
76-90
Gazişehir Gaziantep10 games · scored 14 · conceded 15
0-15
4
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
6
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
