Süper Lig Gameweek 2 Sun, Aug 23 · 17:00 Eyüp Stadı, İstanbul
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Eyüpspor were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Eyüpspor had 6.9 days of rest, Gazişehir Gaziantep 7.9 and had to travel 850 km.

Away travel850 kmRest days6.9 · 7.9Matches / 14d1 · 1
Eyüpspor46%
Draw26%
Gazişehir Gaziantep28%
Expected goals 1.46 – 1.09
Eyüpspor47%
Draw25%
Gazişehir Gaziantep28%
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.15
Eyüpspor46%
Draw26%
Gazişehir Gaziantep28%
Expected goals 1.46 – 1.09
Eyüpspor39%
Draw27%
Gazişehir Gaziantep34%
Expected goals 1.31 – 1.22
Eyüpspor47%
Draw26%
Gazişehir Gaziantep28%
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.10
Over 2.5 47% Both score 51% Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (İstanbul)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeResat Onur Coskunses
  • Cards per match 4.6
  • Penalties per match 0.00
  • Matches 5

Team strength

EyüpsporGazişehir Gaziantep
19 L90 StrengthIn forecast 17
13 Current StrengthIn forecast 16
9 AttackIn forecast 15
10 DefenceIn forecast 18
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Eyüpspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

EyüpsporGazişehir Gaziantep
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30
1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80
0.74 xGVia Att/Def 1.31
1.25 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.49
+0.66 Goals minus xGContext -0.01
60% Scored inContext 80%
20% Clean sheetsContext 10%
8.10 ShotsContext 12.90
2.89 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.80
32% On target shareContext 37%
4.67 Shots in the boxContext 7.90
53% Box shareContext 61%
17% ConversionContext 10%
2.20 OffsidesContext 1.75
14.40 Shots allowedContext 13.60
4.10 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00
4.30 BlocksContext 3.50
2.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.40
68% Save rateContext 68%
42% PossessionIn forecast 49%
325 PassesContext 392
254 Accurate passesContext 327
78% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.79 Team ratingContext 6.81
12.70 FoulsContext 12.20
14.80 Fouls sufferedContext 15.30
2.40 Yellow cardsContext 2.20
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Eyüpspor
Rest6.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 40 · 0 pts vs 1.2 for an average club · -0.7 vs expected
  • L16 AugA · Besiktas0–10.7 xPts
Gazişehir Gaziantep
Rest7.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel850 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
Form 40 · 1 pts vs 2.1 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected
  • D15 AugH · Alanyaspor1–11.5 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Eyüpspor Gazişehir Gaziantep
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match6.9Süper Lig 2026-2027, 16 Aug7.9Süper Lig 2026-2027, 15 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km850 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 1 / 10 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one76.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Eyüpspor Confirmed XI
4-4-1-1
31H. Moldovan(G)
4S. Yaşar 33Z. Jules 5J. El Yamiq 7Talha Ülvan
11L. Pintor 15Charles-Andre Raux Yao 88C. Massanga 98B. Boutobba
10A. Sabiri
29A. Abdullahi
Gazişehir Gaziantep Confirmed XI
3-4-2-1
25K. Tobiasz(G)
6U. Meleke 14L. Abena 2Luis Pérez
96F. Ștefan 44A. Maxim 7J. Bacuna 18D. Sorescu
3D. Camara 10K. Kozłowski
9T. Stewart

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Eyüpspor Absences are shown before kick-off
Gazişehir Gaziantep Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
  • Eyüpspor+0.0 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • Gazişehir Gaziantep+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Eyüpspor · Home No home games yet this season.
Gazişehir Gaziantep · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

3 Eyüpspor wins0 draws1 Gazişehir Gaziantep wins
Goals per game2.25 – 1.50 Over 2.5100% Both scored75% Clean sheets25% · 0%
  • 25 Apr 2026Eyüpspor3–0Gazişehir Gaziantep
  • 29 Nov 2025Gazişehir Gaziantep1–2Eyüpspor
  • 3 Mar 2025Gazişehir Gaziantep3–1Eyüpspor
  • 29 Sep 2024Eyüpspor3–2Gazişehir Gaziantep

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Referee · Resat Onur Coskunses Türkiye · 5 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.40league 2.92
Red cards0.20league 0.15
Cards 5+40%league 31%
Fouls26.6league 24.3
Penalties0.00league 0.38
Home wins60%league 38%
Eyüpspor1 with this referee
Record1-0-0 Cards · opp.2.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 0
  • W25 Apr 26H · Gazişehir Gaziantep3–02
Gazişehir Gaziantep1 with this referee
Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.2.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 0
  • L25 Apr 26A · Eyüpspor0–32

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Eyüpspor1 games · scored 0 · conceded 1
0-15
1 16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
Gazişehir Gaziantep1 games · scored 1 · conceded 1
0-15
1 16-30
31-45
46-60
1 61-75
76-90
Eyüpspor10 games · scored 14 · conceded 13
1 0-15
3 2 16-30
5 1 31-45
1 46-60
2 3 61-75
3 6 76-90
Gazişehir Gaziantep10 games · scored 13 · conceded 18
3 0-15
2 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
4 1 46-60
3 3 61-75
3 6 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.