Eyüpspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Eyüpspor
16th · 18 pts · 22 played
DDWLL
1–0Full time
Genclerbirligi
12th · 23 pts · 22 played
DLWLD
Our take
Eyüpspor were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Genclerbirligi. Eyüpspor had 7.7 days of rest, Genclerbirligi 7 and had to travel 352 km.
Away travel352 kmRest days7.7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Eyüpspor45%
Draw26%
Genclerbirligi29%
Eyüpspor47%
Draw26%
Genclerbirligi27%
Eyüpspor45%
Draw26%
Genclerbirligi29%
Eyüpspor37%
Draw26%
Genclerbirligi36%
Eyüpspor44%
Draw26%
Genclerbirligi30%
Over 2.5 54%
Both score 57%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (İstanbul)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeOmer Faruk Turtay
- Cards per match 2.5
- Penalties per match 1.00
- Matches 2
Team strength
EyüpsporGenclerbirligi
17
L90 StrengthIn forecast
14
13
Current StrengthIn forecast
15
9
AttackIn forecast
13
10
DefenceIn forecast
16
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisGenclerbirligi
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
EyüpsporGenclerbirligi
0.82
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.27
1.59
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
0.99
xGVia Att/Def
1.05
1.61
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.55
-0.17
Goals minus xGContext
+0.22
55%
Scored inContext
77%
14%
Clean sheetsContext
14%
10.68
ShotsContext
10.68
3.67
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.76
33%
On target shareContext
34%
6.76
Shots in the boxContext
6.45
60%
Box shareContext
59%
8%
ConversionContext
12%
2.55
OffsidesContext
2.10
14.36
Shots allowedContext
15.00
5.14
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.36
4.25
BlocksContext
4.41
3.95
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.82
71%
Save rateContext
65%
49%
PossessionIn forecast
41%
376
PassesContext
298
306
Accurate passesContext
232
81%
Pass accuracyContext
78%
6.76
Team ratingContext
6.73
11.45
FoulsContext
12.64
14.36
Fouls sufferedContext
13.09
2.18
Yellow cardsContext
2.18
0.05
Red cardsContext
0.09
1.20
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.60
2.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.60
1.10
xGVia Att/Def
1.17
1.84
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.69
+0.10
Goals minus xGContext
+0.43
80%
Scored inContext
80%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
10.80
ShotsContext
11.50
4.11
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.44
34%
On target shareContext
35%
7.20
Shots in the boxContext
7.70
65%
Box shareContext
63%
11%
ConversionContext
14%
1.80
OffsidesContext
2.10
15.90
Shots allowedContext
14.80
6.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.90
4.56
BlocksContext
3.88
4.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.10
67%
Save rateContext
63%
46%
PossessionIn forecast
42%
373
PassesContext
303
301
Accurate passesContext
235
81%
Pass accuracyContext
78%
6.75
Team ratingContext
6.77
12.40
FoulsContext
12.80
13.40
Fouls sufferedContext
12.70
2.10
Yellow cardsContext
2.10
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Eyüpspor
Rest7.7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Genclerbirligi
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel352 km704 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Eyüpspor |
Genclerbirligi |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.7Süper Lig 2025-2026, 13 Feb | 7Süper Lig 2025-2026, 14 Feb |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 352 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 704 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 2 / 4 | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7.3 | 8.1 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Eyüpspor
Confirmed XI
24J. Yılmaz(G)
77C. Meraş
55B. Gezek
68J. Onguéné
17Talha Ülvan
20M. Łęgowski
28T. İlter
8E. Akbaba
23L. Pintor
19U. Bozok
10Á. Torres
Genclerbirligi
Confirmed XI
24Ricardo Velho(G)
2T. da Silva
4Žan Žužek
6D. Goutas
13Pedro Pereira
15A. Dele-Bashiru
10M. Mimaroğlu
70F. Tongya
11G. Gürpüz
20A. Traoré
29M. Niang
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Eyüpspor
Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Genclerbirligi
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Eyüpspor-0.5 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Genclerbirligi+0.5 pp
Home / Away this season
Eyüpspor · Home
0.91points per game · 11 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-4-5
- Scored
- 0.91
- Conceded
- 1.55
Genclerbirligi · Away
0.45points per game · 11 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-2-8
- Scored
- 0.82
- Conceded
- 1.55
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 16 this season
| Opponent | Eyüpspor | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | L 1–5 AL 0–2 H | L 2–3 A |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | L 1–2 HD 0–0 A | W 2–1 H |
| Alanyaspor | W 3–1 AW 2–1 H | D 2–2 H |
| Besiktas | D 2–2 HL 1–2 A | W 2–1 A |
| Konyaspor | D 1–1 AL 1–4 H | L 1–2 H |
| Fenerbahce | L 0–3 H | L 1–3 AL 1–3 H |
| Rizespor | L 0–3 A | D 2–2 HL 0–1 A |
| Kayserispor | D 1–1 H | D 1–1 A |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | W 2–1 A | W 2–1 HL 1–2 A |
| Fatih Karagümrük | D 1–1 H | W 3–0 H |
| Samsunspor | L 0–1 A | D 1–1 HL 1–2 A |
| Antalyaspor | L 0–1 H | L 1–2 AL 0–1 H |
| Trabzonspor | L 0–2 A | W 4–3 H |
| Kasimpasa | W 2–0 H | D 0–0 A |
| Kocaelispor | L 0–1 A | L 0–1 A |
| Goztepe | D 0–0 H | L 0–1 A |
| Points | 18 of 63 · 0.86 per game | 20 of 63 · 0.95 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings
0 Eyüpspor wins0 draws1 Genclerbirligi wins
Goals per game0.00 – 1.00
Over 2.50%
Both scored0%
Clean sheets0% · 100%
- 20 Sep 2025Genclerbirligi1–0Eyüpspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Eyüpspor | Genclerbirligi | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.82 | 1.27 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.59 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 2.41 | 2.77 | 2.83 |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 73% | |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 64% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 27% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 68% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 14% | |
| Failed to score | 45% | 23% | |
| Games | 22 | 22 |
| Eyüpspor | Genclerbirligi | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.20 | 1.60 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.60 | |
| Match goals | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.83 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 40% | |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Eyüpspor | Genclerbirligi | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.21 | 4.33 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.47 | 5.19 | |
| Match total | 9.68 | 9.52 | 9.36 |
| Over 8.5 | 53% 10/19 | 67% 14/21 | |
| Over 9.5 | 42% 8/19 | 52% 11/21 | |
| Over 10.5 | 32% 6/19 | 48% 10/21 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.27 | 2.41 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.91 | 2.14 | |
| Match total | 4.18 | 4.55 | 4.71 |
| Over 3.5 | 55% 12/22 | 64% 14/22 | |
| Over 4.5 | 36% 8/22 | 55% 12/22 | |
| Eyüpspor | Genclerbirligi | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.67 | 4.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.56 | 5.40 | |
| Match total | 9.23 | 9.40 | 9.36 |
| Over 8.5 | 44% 4/9 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 33% 3/9 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 22% 2/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.20 | 2.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.50 | 2.10 | |
| Match total | 3.70 | 4.30 | 4.71 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Omer Faruk Turtay Türkiye · 2 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards2.50league 4.46
Red cards0.00league 0.23
Cards 5+0%league 47%
Fouls19.5league 26.0
Penalties1.00league 0.26
Home wins0%league 37%
Eyüpspor1 with this referee
Record0-1-0
Cards · opp.2.0 · 0.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- D19 Jan 26A · Konyaspor1–12
GenclerbirligiNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Eyüpspor22 games · scored 18 · conceded 35
3
6
0-15
1
3
16-30
5
31-45
5
4
46-60
4
5
61-75
5
12
76-90
Genclerbirligi22 games · scored 28 · conceded 33
4
2
0-15
5
4
16-30
4
9
31-45
5
6
46-60
4
6
61-75
6
6
76-90
Eyüpspor10 games · scored 12 · conceded 20
1
4
0-15
1
16-30
3
31-45
4
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
4
7
76-90
Genclerbirligi10 games · scored 16 · conceded 16
3
0-15
3
4
16-30
2
3
31-45
4
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
2
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
