Süper Lig Gameweek 1 Sun, Aug 10 · 19:30 Siltaş Yapı Pendik Stadyumu, İstanbul
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Eyüpspor were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Eyüpspor had ? days of rest, Konyaspor ? and had to travel 463 km.

Away travel463 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0
Eyüpspor48%
Draw26%
Konyaspor26%
Expected goals 1.62 – 1.13
Eyüpspor47%
Draw26%
Konyaspor26%
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.13
Eyüpspor48%
Draw26%
Konyaspor26%
Expected goals 1.62 – 1.13
Eyüpspor41%
Draw27%
Konyaspor32%
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.27
Eyüpspor47%
Draw26%
Konyaspor26%
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.13
Over 2.5 52% Both score 55% Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (İstanbul)

No weather data yet

RefereeBatuhan Kolak
  • Cards per match 3.7
  • Penalties per match 0.00
  • Matches 3

Team strength

EyüpsporKonyaspor
23 L90 StrengthIn forecast 19
13 Current StrengthIn forecast 18
9 AttackIn forecast 13
10 DefenceIn forecast 31
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Eyüpspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Konyaspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

EyüpsporKonyaspor
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30
1.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
1.36 xGVia Att/Def 1.60
1.38 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.09
-0.06 Goals minus xGContext -0.30
70% Scored inContext 80%
20% Clean sheetsContext 30%
10.50 ShotsContext 13.00
3.89 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.40
33% On target shareContext 34%
7.33 Shots in the boxContext 8.80
63% Box shareContext 64%
12% ConversionContext 10%
2.29 OffsidesContext 1.78
12.50 Shots allowedContext 12.50
4.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.10
3.30 BlocksContext 3.88
2.40 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.10
57% Save rateContext 76%
57% PossessionIn forecast 46%
440 PassesContext 347
378 Accurate passesContext 279
86% Pass accuracyContext 80%
6.94 Team ratingContext 7.04
9.90 FoulsContext 11.90
13.00 Fouls sufferedContext 11.10
2.40 Yellow cardsContext 2.20
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.20
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Eyüpspor
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Konyaspor
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel463 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Eyüpspor Konyaspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match——
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km463 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 00 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one76.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Eyüpspor Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
1B. Özer(G)
18N. Mujakić 4Luccas Claro 6R. Yalçın 17Talha Ülvan
57M. Kabasakal 10K. Demirbay
70D. Drăguş 8E. Akbaba 11S. Gürler
9M. Thiam
Konyaspor Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
13B. Güngördü(G)
12G. Sityá 4A. Demirbağ 20R. Bazoer 23Y. Andzouana
77M. İbrahimoğlu 16M. Jevtović
10E. Bardhi 9D. Aleksić 18A. Ndao
22M. Nayir

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Eyüpspor Absences are shown before kick-off
Konyaspor Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
  • Eyüpspor+0.0 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • Konyaspor+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Eyüpspor · Home No home games yet this season.
Konyaspor · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

1 Eyüpspor wins0 draws1 Konyaspor wins
Goals per game1.50 – 1.50 Over 2.5100% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%
  • 9 Mar 2025Eyüpspor2–1Konyaspor
  • 6 Oct 2024Konyaspor2–1Eyüpspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Referee · Batuhan Kolak 3 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.67league 3.75
Red cards0.00league 0.25
Cards 5+33%league 50%
Fouls24.7league 27.3
Penalties0.00league 0.75
Home wins33%league 50%
Eyüpspor

No previous matches with this referee.

Konyaspor

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Eyüpspor
No complete event data.
Konyaspor
No complete event data.
Eyüpspor10 games · scored 13 · conceded 19
1 1 0-15
4 2 16-30
2 2 31-45
1 1 46-60
1 5 61-75
4 8 76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 13 · conceded 10
2 0-15
1 1 16-30
1 4 31-45
2 46-60
3 4 61-75
4 1 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.