FC ST. Gallen
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
Qualifying rounds Thu, Jul 23 · 19:00
kybunpark, St. Gallen
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel1,782 kmRest days? · 67.9Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
FC ST. Gallen—%
Draw—%
Benfica—%
Weather (St. Gallen)
No weather data yet
RefereeLuca Pairetto
- Cards per match 4.8
- Penalties per match 0.42
- Matches 72
Team strength
FC ST. Gallen
Benfica
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L90 StrengthIn forecast
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25
Current StrengthIn forecast
82
25
AttackIn forecast
81
27
DefenceIn forecast
81
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Form indexContext
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In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisBenfica
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
FC ST. GallenBenfica
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
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xGVia Att/Def
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
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Goals minus xGContext
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Scored inContext
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Clean sheetsContext
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ShotsContext
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
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On target shareContext
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Shots in the boxContext
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Box shareContext
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ConversionContext
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OffsidesContext
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Shots allowedContext
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
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—
BlocksContext
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Goalkeeper savesContext
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Save rateContext
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PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
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Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
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Yellow cardsContext
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Red cardsContext
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1.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.30
2.20
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.10
1.45
xGVia Att/Def
2.22
2.19
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.18
+0.05
Goals minus xGContext
+0.08
90%
Scored inContext
100%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
13.60
ShotsContext
17.20
5.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.50
37%
On target shareContext
32%
9.00
Shots in the boxContext
12.70
66%
Box shareContext
74%
11%
ConversionContext
13%
2.43
OffsidesContext
2.25
18.40
Shots allowedContext
11.70
7.70
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.20
3.78
BlocksContext
2.70
5.67
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.56
69%
Save rateContext
80%
53%
PossessionIn forecast
55%
451
PassesContext
437
361
Accurate passesContext
366
80%
Pass accuracyContext
84%
6.99
Team ratingContext
6.97
13.60
FoulsContext
10.70
10.10
Fouls sufferedContext
15.10
2.60
Yellow cardsContext
1.60
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.30
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
FC ST. Gallen
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Benfica
Rest67.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel1,782 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| FC ST. Gallen |
Benfica |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Moderate · 20 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | — | 67.9Primeira Liga 2025-2026, 16 May |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,782 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
FC ST. Gallen
Confirmed XI
1L. Zigi(G)
36C. Okoroji
4J. Stanić
26T. Gaal
64M. Stevanovic
11C. Boukhalfa
10L. Daschner
16L. Görtler
28H. Vandermersch
7C. Witzig
14A. Baldé
Benfica
Confirmed XI
1A. Trubin(G)
26S. Dahl
2C. Lenglet
4António Silva
6A. Bah
13J. Kamiński
16Manu
73M. Figueiredo
10H. Sudakov
27Rafa
14V. Pavlidis
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences FC ST. Gallen
Absences are shown before kick-off
Benfica
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
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Home / Away this season
FC ST. Gallen · Home
No home games yet this season.
Benfica · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| FC ST. Gallen | Benfica | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| FC ST. Gallen | Benfica | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | 2.30 | |
| Conceded per game | — | 1.10 | |
| Match goals | — | 3.40 | |
| Over 1.5 | — | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | — | 80% | |
| Over 3.5 | — | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | — | 80% | |
| Clean sheets | — | 20% | |
| Failed to score | — | 0% | |
| Games | 0 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| FC ST. Gallen | Benfica | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 8.00 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 6.00 |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
| FC ST. Gallen | Benfica | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.89 | 9.20 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.78 | 3.00 | |
| Match total | 11.67 | 12.20 | 8.00 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 9/9 | 100% 10/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 78% 7/9 | 90% 9/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 56% 5/9 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.60 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.60 | 3.20 | |
| Match total | 5.20 | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 60% 6/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Luca Pairetto 72 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.51league 3.24
Red cards0.26league 0.12
Cards 5+53%league 29%
Fouls25.5league 34.0
Penalties0.42league 0.12
Home wins38%league 29%
FC ST. GallenNo previous matches with this referee.
BenficaNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
FC ST. GallenBenficaFC ST. Gallen10 games · scored 15 · conceded 22
1
2
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
6
31-45
1
6
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
3
76-90
Benfica10 games · scored 23 · conceded 11
7
2
0-15
4
1
16-30
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
3
2
61-75
6
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.