FC Volendam
Attack—
Defense risk—
FC Volendam
15th · 27 pts · 28 played
LWLLL
First leg1–3
0–0Full time
Feyenoord
3rd · 53 pts · 28 played
WLDWD
Our take
Feyenoord were slight favourites.
Feyenoord were the stronger side on L90 Strength (47 vs 14). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Feyenoord. FC Volendam had 14.8 days of rest, Feyenoord 14 and had to travel 75 km.
Away travel75 kmRest days14.8 · 14Matches / 14d0 · 1
FC Volendam18%
Draw22%
Feyenoord60%
FC Volendam21%
Draw25%
Feyenoord54%
FC Volendam17%
Draw22%
Feyenoord61%
FC Volendam13%
Draw19%
Feyenoord67%
FC Volendam18%
Draw23%
Feyenoord59%
Over 2.5 58%
Both score 56%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Volendam)
No weather data yet
Referee · NetherlandsAllard Lindhout
- Cards per match 3.7
- Penalties per match 0.19
- Matches 75
Team strength
FC VolendamFeyenoord
14
L90 StrengthIn forecast
47
14
Current StrengthIn forecast
59
14
AttackIn forecast
76
19
DefenceIn forecast
61
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisFeyenoord
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
FC VolendamFeyenoord
1.07
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.18
1.71
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.43
0.97
xGVia Att/Def
1.90
1.72
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.02
+0.10
Goals minus xGContext
+0.28
64%
Scored inContext
89%
4%
Clean sheetsContext
29%
10.25
ShotsContext
16.86
3.46
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.43
34%
On target shareContext
38%
6.36
Shots in the boxContext
11.68
61%
Box shareContext
70%
11%
ConversionContext
13%
1.71
OffsidesContext
2.06
18.39
Shots allowedContext
10.46
6.32
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.63
5.50
BlocksContext
2.85
4.71
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.22
75%
Save rateContext
67%
45%
PossessionIn forecast
54%
361
PassesContext
439
288
Accurate passesContext
366
80%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.81
Team ratingContext
7.00
9.29
FoulsContext
9.57
12.00
Fouls sufferedContext
11.00
1.43
Yellow cardsContext
1.57
0.04
Red cardsContext
0.07
1.10
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.50
1.60
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
0.97
xGVia Att/Def
1.61
1.72
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.02
+0.13
Goals minus xGContext
-0.11
60%
Scored inContext
80%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
10.70
ShotsContext
14.80
3.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.80
33%
On target shareContext
39%
6.80
Shots in the boxContext
9.70
63%
Box shareContext
65%
10%
ConversionContext
10%
2.00
OffsidesContext
2.71
19.00
Shots allowedContext
9.90
6.80
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.56
5.30
BlocksContext
2.50
5.30
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.00
78%
Save rateContext
66%
47%
PossessionIn forecast
53%
365
PassesContext
419
287
Accurate passesContext
348
79%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.80
Team ratingContext
6.91
9.70
FoulsContext
10.20
12.90
Fouls sufferedContext
12.50
1.80
Yellow cardsContext
2.20
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
FC Volendam
Rest14.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Feyenoord
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel75 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| FC Volendam |
Feyenoord |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 14.8Eredivisie 2025-2026, 21 Mar | 14Eredivisie 2025-2026, 22 Mar |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 75 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 3 | 0 / 1 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 5.2 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
FC Volendam
Confirmed XI
1K. van Oevelen(G)
32Y. Leliendal
20N. Verschuren
3M. Amevor
5P. Ugwu
8G. Yah
40R. van Cruijsen
17J. Ideho
99A. Descotte
11A. Oehlers
10B. Kuwas
Feyenoord
Confirmed XI
22T. Wellenreuther(G)
15J. Bos
4T. Watanabe
24T. Kraaijeveld
20M. Deijl
10L. Valente
7J. Moder
28O. Targhalline
19R. Sterling
9A. Ueda
11Gonçalo Borges
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences FC Volendam
Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Feyenoord
Scores -0.07 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- FC Volendam+0.8 pp
- Draw+0.5 pp
- Feyenoord-1.3 pp
Home / Away this season
FC Volendam · Home
1.57points per game · 14 home games
- W-D-L
- 6-4-4
- Scored
- 1.64
- Conceded
- 1.36
Feyenoord · Away
1.62points per game · 13 away games
- W-D-L
- 6-3-4
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 1.46
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 16 this season
| Opponent | FC Volendam | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam | L 0–2 AL 0–1 H | L 3–4 HW 4–0 A |
| Fortuna Sittard | L 1–2 HL 0–1 A | W 2–0 H |
| NEC Nijmegen | L 0–3 AL 2–3 H | L 2–4 H |
| Groningen | W 3–2 HL 0–3 A | W 1–0 A |
| NAC Breda | L 0–1 AW 2–1 H | D 3–3 AW 2–0 H |
| PSV Eindhoven | W 2–1 HL 0–3 A | L 0–3 AL 2–3 H |
| PEC Zwolle | W 2–1 AW 2–1 H | W 6–1 H |
| GO Ahead Eagles | D 1–1 HL 0–3 A | W 1–0 HL 1–2 A |
| Ajax | L 0–2 AD 1–1 H | D 1–1 HL 0–2 A |
| Utrecht | W 2–1 HL 1–3 A | W 1–0 AW 3–2 H |
| AZ Alkmaar | L 0–1 AD 2–2 H | D 3–3 A |
| Twente | D 1–1 H | L 0–2 AD 1–1 H |
| Heracles | W 3–0 H | W 4–2 HW 7–0 A |
| Excelsior | L 1–2 H | W 2–1 HW 2–1 A |
| Telstar | D 2–2 A | W 2–1 HW 2–1 A |
| Heerenveen | D 1–1 A | D 2–2 AW 1–0 H |
| Points | 27 of 81 · 1.00 per game | 50 of 81 · 1.85 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
0 FC Volendam wins0 draws2 Feyenoord wins
Goals per game1.00 – 3.00
Over 2.5100%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 1 Nov 2025Feyenoord3–1FC Volendam
- 7 Dec 2023Feyenoord3–1FC Volendam
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| FC Volendam | Feyenoord | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.07 | 2.18 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.71 | 1.43 | |
| Match goals | 2.79 | 3.61 | 3.02 |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 86% | |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 64% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 43% | |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 61% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 4% | 29% | |
| Failed to score | 36% | 11% | |
| Games | 28 | 28 |
| FC Volendam | Feyenoord | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.10 | 1.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.60 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 2.70 | 3.00 | 3.02 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| FC Volendam | Feyenoord | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.73 | 7.19 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.69 | 3.58 | |
| Match total | 10.42 | 10.77 | 10.29 |
| Over 8.5 | 73% 19/26 | 69% 18/26 | |
| Over 9.5 | 62% 16/26 | 58% 15/26 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 13/26 | 46% 12/26 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.46 | 1.68 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 1.43 | |
| Match total | 3.46 | 3.11 | 3.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 43% 12/28 | 43% 12/28 | |
| Over 4.5 | 29% 8/28 | 21% 6/28 | |
| FC Volendam | Feyenoord | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.56 | 7.10 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.44 | 2.80 | |
| Match total | 10.00 | 9.90 | 10.29 |
| Over 8.5 | 78% 7/9 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 67% 6/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 56% 5/9 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.80 | 2.30 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.10 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 3.90 | 4.30 | 3.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 2/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Allard Lindhout Netherlands · 75 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.52league 3.19
Red cards0.20league 0.17
Cards 5+33%league 27%
Fouls19.9league 21.4
Penalties0.19league 0.23
Home wins37%league 45%
FC Volendam5 with this referee
Record2-0-3
Cards · opp.1.2 · 1.4
Pens for · against1 · 0
Reds1
- W7 Feb 26A · PEC Zwolle2–10
- L10 Jan 26A · AZ Alkmaar0–11
- L4 Feb 24A · Utrecht2–41
- W16 Dec 23A · Heerenveen2–12
- L30 Sep 23A · PSV Eindhoven1–32
Feyenoord7 with this referee
Record4-1-2
Cards · opp.1.1 · 1.6
Pens for · against0 · 0
Reds1
- L1 Feb 26A · PSV Eindhoven0–34
- L26 Oct 25H · PSV Eindhoven2–30
- W17 Sep 25H · Fortuna Sittard2–00
- W9 Aug 25H · NAC Breda2–01
- W3 May 25A · Heracles4–11
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
FC Volendam28 games · scored 30 · conceded 48
2
11
0-15
2
6
16-30
7
10
31-45
5
7
46-60
6
5
61-75
8
9
76-90
Feyenoord28 games · scored 61 · conceded 40
4
6
0-15
12
7
16-30
13
6
31-45
13
7
46-60
6
3
61-75
13
11
76-90
FC Volendam10 games · scored 11 · conceded 16
1
4
0-15
2
16-30
3
4
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
4
3
76-90
Feyenoord10 games · scored 15 · conceded 15
1
3
0-15
3
5
16-30
3
4
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
61-75
5
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
