UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs Play-offs Thu, Aug 27 · 19:30 Groupama Aréna, Budapest
Ferencvarosi TC 12th · 3 pts · 1 played
First leg1–0 4–0Full time
Trabzonspor 19th · 0 pts · 1 played
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,792 kmRest days7.1 · 4.1Matches / 14d1 · 3
Real contextStrength only
Ferencvarosi TC—%
Draw—%
Trabzonspor—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Budapest)

No weather data yet

Referee · SloveniaRade Obrenovič
  • Cards per match 4.3
  • Penalties per match 0.20
  • Matches 25

Team strength

Ferencvarosi TCTrabzonspor
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
57 Current StrengthIn forecast 46
61 AttackIn forecast 54
56 DefenceIn forecast 48
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Ferencvarosi TC

Attack—
Defense risk—

Trabzonspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Ferencvarosi TCTrabzonspor
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.10
0.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.30
1.04 xGVia Att/Def 1.20
1.12 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.46
+0.56 Goals minus xGContext -0.10
90% Scored inContext 80%
50% Clean sheetsContext 0%
11.00 ShotsContext 13.89
4.67 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.33
42% On target shareContext 31%
6.67 Shots in the boxContext 8.89
57% Box shareContext 65%
12% ConversionContext 9%
3.67 OffsidesContext 2.71
10.33 Shots allowedContext 13.78
4.33 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.44
3.33 BlocksContext 3.50
3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.33
69% Save rateContext 68%
39% PossessionIn forecast 55%
339 PassesContext 429
276 Accurate passesContext 369
82% Pass accuracyContext 86%
6.93 Team ratingContext 6.95
15.00 FoulsContext 10.30
11.00 Fouls sufferedContext 14.80
1.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.50
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Ferencvarosi TC
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km3,583 km in 14d
Schedule load10%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Trabzonspor
Rest4.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel1,792 km1,807 km in 14d
Schedule load40%High
Form 54 · 4 pts vs 3.5 for an average club · +1.0 vs expected
  • W23 AugH · Istanbul Basaksehir2–11.4 xPts
  • D15 AugA · Kasimpasa1–11.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Ferencvarosi TC Trabzonspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 10High · 40
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7.1UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs, 20 Aug4.1Süper Lig 2026-2027, 23 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,792 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways3,583 km1,807 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 41 / 3 / 3
Next matchdays after this one214

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Ferencvarosi TC Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
90D. Dibusz(G)
20Cadu 4M. Gómez 28T. Raemaekers 54O. Nagy
6Á. Nagy 17M. Corbu
47C. O'Dowda 16K. Zachariassen 11B. Yusuf
75L. Joseph
Trabzonspor Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
24A. Onana(G)
55Sidny Lopes Cabral 15S. Savić 39C. Özkacar 19M. Eskihellaç
57M. Kabasakal 17R. Malinovskyi
70N. Saviolo 7E. Muçi 10Mohamed Salah
30E. Onuachu

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Ferencvarosi TC Absences are shown before kick-off
Trabzonspor Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Ferencvarosi TC · Home No home games yet this season.
Trabzonspor · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

1 Ferencvarosi TC wins0 draws0 Trabzonspor wins
Goals per game1.00 – 0.00 Over 2.50% Both scored0% Clean sheets100% · 0%
  • 20 Aug 2026Trabzonspor0–1Ferencvarosi TC

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Ferencvarosi TCTrabzonsporForecast
Scored per game 1.000.00
Conceded per game 0.001.00
Match goals 1.001.00
Over 1.5 0%0%
Over 2.5 0%0%
Over 3.5 0%0%
Both teams scored 0%0%
Clean sheets 100%0%
Failed to score 0%100%
Games11
Ferencvarosi TCTrabzonsporForecast
Scored per game 1.601.10
Conceded per game 0.901.30
Match goals 2.502.40
Over 1.5 80%90%
Over 2.5 50%50%
Over 3.5 20%0%
Both teams scored 40%80%
Clean sheets 50%0%
Failed to score 10%20%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Ferencvarosi TCTrabzonsporLeague
Corners
Corners won5.007.00
Corners conceded7.005.00
Match total12.0012.009.81
Over 8.5100% 1/1100% 1/1
Over 9.5100% 1/1100% 1/1
Over 10.5100% 1/1100% 1/1
Cards
Cards5.001.00
Opponent cards1.005.00
Match total6.006.004.38
Over 3.5100% 1/1100% 1/1
Over 4.5100% 1/1100% 1/1
Ferencvarosi TCTrabzonsporLeague
Corners
Corners won2.755.20
Corners conceded6.754.80
Match total9.5010.009.81
Over 8.575% 3/460% 6/10
Over 9.550% 2/450% 5/10
Over 10.550% 2/450% 5/10
Cards
Cards2.001.70
Opponent cards1.902.90
Match total3.904.604.38
Over 3.550% 5/1060% 6/10
Over 4.550% 5/1040% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Rade Obrenovič Slovenia · 25 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.16league 4.14
Red cards0.16league 0.18
Cards 5+40%league 45%
Fouls22.8league 23.7
Penalties0.20league 0.59
Home wins48%league 59%
Ferencvarosi TC

No previous matches with this referee.

Trabzonspor

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Ferencvarosi TC1 games · scored 1 · conceded 0
0-15
1 16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
Trabzonspor1 games · scored 0 · conceded 1
0-15
1 16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
Ferencvarosi TC10 games · scored 16 · conceded 9
3 2 0-15
4 16-30
2 4 31-45
1 1 46-60
3 61-75
3 2 76-90
Trabzonspor10 games · scored 11 · conceded 13
3 1 0-15
2 16-30
1 4 31-45
2 2 46-60
3 1 61-75
2 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.