UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs Play-offs Thu, Aug 20 · 19:00 Stadion Rajko Mitić, Beograd
FK Crvena Zvezda
3–0Full time
Plzen
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel766 kmRest days9 · 175Matches / 14d1 · 0
Real contextStrength only
FK Crvena Zvezda—%
Draw—%
Plzen—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Beograd)

No weather data yet

Referee · NorwayEspen Eskas
  • Cards per match 4.0
  • Penalties per match 0.43
  • Matches 28

Team strength

FK Crvena ZvezdaPlzen
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
42 Current StrengthIn forecast 49
40 AttackIn forecast 54
39 DefenceIn forecast 43
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

FK Crvena Zvezda

Attack—
Defense risk—

Plzen

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

FK Crvena ZvezdaPlzen
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.10
0.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.60
1.34 xGVia Att/Def 0.88
0.88 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.17
+0.06 Goals minus xGContext +0.22
70% Scored inContext 70%
60% Clean sheetsContext 50%
11.83 ShotsContext 12.60
3.17 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.10
27% On target shareContext 33%
7.50 Shots in the boxContext 7.70
65% Box shareContext 58%
7% ConversionContext 9%
2.17 OffsidesContext 1.71
10.00 Shots allowedContext 12.70
3.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.30
3.50 BlocksContext 3.90
2.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.70
73% Save rateContext 86%
43% PossessionIn forecast 45%
451 PassesContext 365
365 Accurate passesContext 285
81% Pass accuracyContext 78%
6.97 Team ratingContext 6.89
12.86 FoulsContext 14.50
12.57 Fouls sufferedContext 12.70
2.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.40
0.20 Red cardsContext 0.20
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

FK Crvena Zvezda
Rest9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Plzen
Rest175 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel766 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
FK Crvena Zvezda Plzen
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, 11 Aug175UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout play-offs, 26 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km766 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 20 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

FK Crvena Zvezda Confirmed XI
4-3-3
1Matheus(G)
21T. Elšnik 13M. Veljković 32D. Luckassen 66Y. Seol
22V. Kostov 33R. Krunić 4M. Ivanić
70M. Cham 7M. Arnautović 14O. Bukari
Plzen Confirmed XI
4-4-1-1
44F. Wiegele(G)
14Merchas Doski 37D. Krcik 40S. Dweh 99Amar Memić
19C. Souaré 98F. Prebsl 6L. Červ 18T. Ladra
17P. Hrošovský
80P. Adu

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
FK Crvena Zvezda Absences are shown before kick-off
Plzen Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

FK Crvena Zvezda · Home No home games yet this season.
Plzen · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

FK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenForecast
Scored per game ——
Conceded per game ——
Match goals ——
Over 1.5 ——
Over 2.5 ——
Over 3.5 ——
Both teams scored ——
Clean sheets ——
Failed to score ——
Games00
FK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenForecast
Scored per game 0.601.10
Conceded per game 0.800.60
Match goals 1.401.70
Over 1.5 40%60%
Over 2.5 0%30%
Over 3.5 0%10%
Both teams scored 10%50%
Clean sheets 50%50%
Failed to score 40%30%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

FK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenLeague
Corners
Corners won——
Corners conceded——
Match total——10.88
Over 8.5——
Over 9.5——
Over 10.5——
Cards
Cards——
Opponent cards——
Match total——4.13
Over 3.5——
Over 4.5——
FK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenLeague
Corners
Corners won5.574.89
Corners conceded4.575.33
Match total10.1410.2210.88
Over 8.571% 5/789% 8/9
Over 9.571% 5/767% 6/9
Over 10.557% 4/744% 4/9
Cards
Cards2.402.70
Opponent cards1.703.40
Match total4.106.104.13
Over 3.540% 4/10100% 10/10
Over 4.530% 3/1080% 8/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Espen Eskas Norway · 28 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.86league 3.88
Red cards0.14league 0.25
Cards 5+39%league 50%
Fouls22.6league 25.1
Penalties0.43league 0.38
Home wins46%league 38%
FK Crvena Zvezda2 with this referee
Record0-0-2 Cards · opp.1.5 · 0.0 Pens for · against0 · 0
  • L23 Oct 25A · SC Braga0–21
  • L6 Nov 24H · Barcelona2–52
Plzen

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

FK Crvena Zvezda
No complete event data.
Plzen
No complete event data.
FK Crvena Zvezda10 games · scored 14 · conceded 6
1 1 0-15
2 16-30
2 1 31-45
5 46-60
1 1 61-75
3 3 76-90
Plzen10 games · scored 11 · conceded 6
2 1 0-15
3 16-30
3 1 31-45
1 1 46-60
1 1 61-75
1 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.