Frosinone vs Juventus – 23 Aug 2026

Serie A Gameweek 1 Sun, Aug 23 · 17:30 Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone

Frosinone

0–1Full time

Juventus

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Juventus were clear favourites.

Juventus were the stronger side on L90 Strength (68 vs 23). Frosinone had ? days of rest, Juventus 90.9 and had to travel 595 km. Weather to note: heat stress.

Away travel595 kmRest days? · 90.9Matches / 14d0 · 0

Frosinone19%

Draw21%

Juventus60%

Expected goals 1.00 – 1.98

Frosinone19%

Draw22%

Juventus59%

Expected goals 0.95 – 1.89

Frosinone18%

Draw21%

Juventus61%

Expected goals 0.98 – 1.98

Frosinone14%

Draw19%

Juventus67%

Expected goals 0.89 – 2.22

Frosinone19%

Draw22%

Juventus59%

Expected goals 0.99 – 1.92

Over 2.5 57% Both score 55% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Frosinone)

32°CMainly clear

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 10 km/h
Humidity 43%

Heat stress

Referee · ItalyGiovanni Ayroldi

Cards per match 5.7
Penalties per match 0.15
Matches 52

Team strength

Frosinone

Juventus

23 L90 StrengthIn forecast 68

30 Current StrengthIn forecast 67

41 AttackIn forecast 57

25 DefenceIn forecast 76

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Frosinone

Attack—

Defense risk—

Juventus

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Frosinone

Juventus

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.10

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.60

— xGVia Att/Def 1.75

— xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.80

— Goals minus xGContext -0.65

50% Scored inContext 80%

50% Clean sheetsContext 60%

14.70 ShotsContext 17.00

4.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.60

33% On target shareContext 33%

8.30 Shots in the boxContext 11.80

57% Box shareContext 70%

6% ConversionContext 7%

1.60 OffsidesContext 2.43

13.90 Shots allowedContext 10.30

4.10 On target allowedVia Att/Def 2.78

3.90 BlocksContext 3.56

3.11 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.22

78% Save rateContext 83%

43% PossessionIn forecast 60%

345 PassesContext 499

262 Accurate passesContext 430

76% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.97 Team ratingContext 7.01

10.90 FoulsContext 11.00

12.80 Fouls sufferedContext 9.80

1.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Frosinone

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Juventus

Rest90.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel595 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Frosinone	Juventus
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	—	90.9Serie A 2025-2026, 24 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	595 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	6	6.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Frosinone Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

22L. Palmisani(G)

79G. Bracaglia 2G. Cittadini 3G. Calvani 30I. Monterisi

16Matteo Cichella 14Giacomo Calò

17G. Kvernadze 10R. Schmid 40S. Fini

9A. Raimondo

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Juventus Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

25G. Vicario(G)

2M. Çelik 6L. Kelly 3Bremer 15P. Kalulu

12Douglas Luiz 5M. Locatelli

10K. Yıldız 22W. McKennie 7Francisco Conceição

9R. Kolo Muani

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Frosinone Absences are shown before kick-off

Juventus Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Frosinone+0.6 pp
Draw+0.1 pp
Juventus-0.7 pp

Home / Away this season

Frosinone · Home No home games yet this season.

Juventus · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

0 Frosinone wins0 draws2 Juventus wins

Goals per game1.50 – 2.50 Over 2.5100% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%

25 Feb 2024Juventus3–2Frosinone
23 Dec 2023Frosinone1–2Juventus

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Frosinone	Juventus	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.98
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	57%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	55%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Frosinone	Juventus	Forecast
Scored per game	—	1.10
Conceded per game	—	0.60
Match goals	—	1.70	2.98
Over 1.5	—	60%
Over 2.5	—	10%	57%
Over 3.5	—	10%
Both teams scored	—	30%	55%
Clean sheets	—	60%
Failed to score	—	20%
Games	0	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Frosinone	Juventus	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	8.00
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	3.00
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Frosinone	Juventus	League
Corners
Corners won	6.60	6.30
Corners conceded	3.50	3.50
Match total	10.10	9.80	8.00
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	70% 7/10	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	1.30	1.80
Opponent cards	2.00	1.80
Match total	3.30	3.60	3.00
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Giovanni Ayroldi Italy · 52 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards5.37league 3.00

Red cards0.31league 0.00

Cards 5+75%league 0%

Fouls27.7league 21.8

Penalties0.15league 0.00

Home wins38%league 25%

Frosinone

No previous matches with this referee.

Juventus11 with this referee

Record5-3-3 Cards · opp.2.6 · 3.1 Pens for · against1 · 1

D3 May 26H · Verona1–11
L19 Oct 25A · Como0–21
W18 May 25H · Udinese2–00
D20 May 24A · Bologna3–35
W3 Sep 23A · Empoli2–03

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.