Frosinone vs Venezia – 6 Sep 2026

Serie A Gameweek 3 Sun, Sep 6 · 14:00 Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone

Frosinone 9th · 3 pts · 2 played LW

3–2Full time

Venezia 18th · 0 pts · 2 played LL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Frosinone were slight favourites.

Frosinone were the stronger side on L90 Strength (25 vs 15). Venezia usually keep the ball (56% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. Frosinone had 7.9 days of rest, Venezia 8.8 and had to travel 430 km. Weather to note: heat stress.

Away travel430 kmRest days7.9 · 8.8Matches / 14d2 · 2

Frosinone54%

Draw23%

Venezia23%

Expected goals 1.81 – 1.11

Frosinone54%

Draw24%

Venezia23%

Expected goals 1.73 – 1.04

Frosinone54%

Draw23%

Venezia23%

Expected goals 1.80 – 1.11

Frosinone46%

Draw25%

Venezia29%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.24

Frosinone55%

Draw22%

Venezia22%

Expected goals 1.87 – 1.11

Over 2.5 56% Both score 56% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Frosinone)

34°CClear

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 13 km/h
Humidity 40%

Heat stress

RefereeM. Perri

Cards per match 2.0
Penalties per match 0.00
Matches 1

Team strength

Frosinone

Venezia

25 L90 StrengthIn forecast 15

30 Current StrengthIn forecast 15

41 AttackIn forecast 21

25 DefenceIn forecast 14

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Frosinone

Attack—

Defense risk—

Venezia

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Frosinone

Venezia

1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.00

0.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

0.74 xGVia Att/Def 1.43

2.03 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.46

+0.76 Goals minus xGContext -1.43

50% Scored inContext 0%

50% Clean sheetsContext 0%

11.50 ShotsContext 14.00

4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.50

35% On target shareContext 32%

8.50 Shots in the boxContext 9.50

73% Box shareContext 70%

13% ConversionContext 0%

2.50 OffsidesContext 3.00

22.50 Shots allowedContext 14.00

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00

7.00 BlocksContext 1.50

4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00

89% Save rateContext 60%

39% PossessionIn forecast 57%

273 PassesContext 498

192 Accurate passesContext 425

70% Pass accuracyContext 85%

7.05 Team ratingContext 6.80

18.00 FoulsContext 9.50

16.00 Fouls sufferedContext 10.00

2.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.90

0.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70

— xGVia Att/Def 1.15

— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.54

— Goals minus xGContext -0.25

40% Scored inContext 60%

60% Clean sheetsContext 10%

14.20 ShotsContext 11.20

4.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.80

35% On target shareContext 34%

8.10 Shots in the boxContext 7.00

58% Box shareContext 61%

6% ConversionContext 8%

1.83 OffsidesContext 2.11

15.30 Shots allowedContext 15.20

4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.10

4.30 BlocksContext 3.80

3.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.78

86% Save rateContext 63%

42% PossessionIn forecast 49%

317 PassesContext 381

238 Accurate passesContext 304

75% Pass accuracyContext 80%

7.01 Team ratingContext 6.82

12.40 FoulsContext 13.90

12.80 Fouls sufferedContext 12.90

1.60 Yellow cardsContext 1.70

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Frosinone LW

Rest7.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km586 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 55 · 3 pts vs 2.5 for an average club · +1.4 vs expected

W29 AugA · Fiorentina3–00.8 xPts
L23 AugH · Juventus0–10.8 xPts

Venezia LL

Rest8.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel430 km490 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 26 · 0 pts vs 3.0 for an average club · -1.8 vs expected

L28 AugA · AC Milan0–20.4 xPts
L23 AugH · Lecce0–21.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Frosinone	Venezia
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.9Serie A 2026-2027, 29 Aug	8.8Serie A 2026-2027, 28 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	430 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	586 km	490 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 2 / 2	0 / 2 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	6	5.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Frosinone Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

22L. Palmisani(G)

79G. Bracaglia 3G. Calvani 2G. Cittadini 20A. Oyono

73P. Masini 14Giacomo Calò

17G. Kvernadze 10R. Schmid 40S. Fini

9A. Raimondo

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Venezia Confirmed XI

3-5-2

1F. Stanković(G)

25R. Halhal 17A. Bella-Kotchap 3J. Schingtienne

5R. Haps 19S. Sohm 6G. Busio 71Kike Pérez 18A. Hainaut

45A. Adams 7A. Rrahmani

+5 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Frosinone Absences are shown before kick-off

Venezia Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Frosinone+0.2 pp
Draw-0.1 pp
Venezia-0.2 pp

Home / Away this season

Frosinone · Home 0.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 1.00

Venezia · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Frosinone	Venezia	Forecast
Scored per game	1.50	0.00
Conceded per game	0.50	2.00
Match goals	2.00	2.00	2.92
Over 1.5	50%	100%
Over 2.5	50%	0%	56%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	0%	0%	56%
Clean sheets	50%	0%
Failed to score	50%	100%
Games	2	2

	Frosinone	Venezia	Forecast
Scored per game	1.50	0.00
Conceded per game	0.50	2.00
Match goals	2.00	2.00	2.92
Over 1.5	50%	100%
Over 2.5	50%	0%	56%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	0%	0%	56%
Clean sheets	50%	0%
Failed to score	50%	100%
Games	2	2

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Frosinone	Venezia	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	4.00
Corners conceded	10.00	2.50
Match total	14.00	6.50	8.88
Over 8.5	100% 2/2	0% 0/2
Over 9.5	100% 2/2	0% 0/2
Over 10.5	100% 2/2	0% 0/2
Cards
Cards	2.50	2.00
Opponent cards	2.50	2.00
Match total	5.00	4.00	2.96
Over 3.5	100% 2/2	100% 2/2
Over 4.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2

	Frosinone	Venezia	League
Corners
Corners won	5.70	4.10
Corners conceded	4.80	4.50
Match total	10.50	8.60	8.88
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	30% 3/10
Over 9.5	70% 7/10	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	1.60	1.80
Opponent cards	2.00	2.00
Match total	3.60	3.80	2.96
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · M. Perri 1 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards2.00league 2.96

Red cards0.00league 0.00

Cards 5+0%league 13%

Fouls25.0league 22.1

Penalties0.00league 0.00

Home wins0%league 42%

Frosinone

No previous matches with this referee.

Venezia

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.