Gazişehir Gaziantep vs Alanyaspor – 15 Aug 2026

Süper Lig Gameweek 1 Sat, Aug 15 · 19:30 Kalyon Stadyumu, Gaziantep

Gazişehir Gaziantep

1–1Full time

Alanyaspor

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

It was too close to call.

The two sides are close in strength. Gazişehir Gaziantep had 91.1 days of rest, Alanyaspor 91.2 and had to travel 483 km.

Away travel483 kmRest days91.1 · 91.2Matches / 14d0 · 0

Gazişehir Gaziantep40%

Draw26%

Alanyaspor34%

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.28

Gazişehir Gaziantep40%

Draw26%

Alanyaspor34%

Expected goals 1.41 – 1.27

Gazişehir Gaziantep40%

Draw26%

Alanyaspor34%

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.28

Gazişehir Gaziantep33%

Draw26%

Alanyaspor41%

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.44

Gazişehir Gaziantep40%

Draw26%

Alanyaspor34%

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.30

Over 2.5 51% Both score 55% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Gaziantep)

No weather data yet

RefereeYasin Kol

Cards per match 5.6
Penalties per match 0.38
Matches 40

Team strength

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Alanyaspor

17 L90 StrengthIn forecast 21

16 Current StrengthIn forecast 24

15 AttackIn forecast 18

18 DefenceIn forecast 24

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Attack—

Defense risk—

Alanyaspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Alanyaspor

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10

1.26 xGVia Att/Def 0.95

1.45 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.00

+0.04 Goals minus xGContext +0.55

80% Scored inContext 70%

10% Clean sheetsContext 30%

13.00 ShotsContext 11.40

5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.20

39% On target shareContext 37%

8.20 Shots in the boxContext 7.10

63% Box shareContext 64%

10% ConversionContext 13%

1.75 OffsidesContext 1.88

13.90 Shots allowedContext 9.90

5.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.89

3.60 BlocksContext 3.22

3.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.56

69% Save rateContext 66%

47% PossessionIn forecast 50%

376 PassesContext 415

312 Accurate passesContext 347

83% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.81 Team ratingContext 6.86

12.20 FoulsContext 12.70

14.60 Fouls sufferedContext 13.10

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.30

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Rest91.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Alanyaspor

Rest91.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel483 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Alanyaspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	91.1Süper Lig 2025-2026, 16 May	91.2Süper Lig 2025-2026, 16 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	483 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	7.9	8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Gazişehir Gaziantep Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

25K. Tobiasz(G)

6U. Meleke 14L. Abena 2Luis Pérez

96F. Ștefan 44A. Maxim 7J. Bacuna 18D. Sorescu

3D. Camara 10K. Kozłowski

9T. Stewart

Alanyaspor Confirmed XI

3-4-3

48Paulo Victor(G)

50Ü. Akdağ 5F. Aliti 3Nuno Lima

11Ruan 58Maestro 42G. Makouta 94F. Hadërgjonaj

7Ibrahim Kaya 17A. Usluoğlu 16U. Hwang

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Gazişehir Gaziantep Absences are shown before kick-off

Alanyaspor Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Gazişehir Gaziantep+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Alanyaspor+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Gazişehir Gaziantep · Home No home games yet this season.

Alanyaspor · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

1 Gazişehir Gaziantep wins2 draws3 Alanyaspor wins

Goals per game0.67 – 1.33 Over 2.550% Both scored17% Clean sheets33% · 67%

4 Apr 2026Gazişehir Gaziantep1–1Alanyaspor
3 Nov 2025Alanyaspor0–0Gazişehir Gaziantep
9 May 2025Gazişehir Gaziantep0–1Alanyaspor
14 Dec 2024Alanyaspor3–0Gazişehir Gaziantep
2 Apr 2024Gazişehir Gaziantep0–3Alanyaspor
11 Nov 2023Alanyaspor0–3Gazişehir Gaziantep

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Alanyaspor	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.71
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	51%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	55%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Alanyaspor	Forecast
Scored per game	1.30	1.50
Conceded per game	1.80	1.10
Match goals	3.10	2.60	2.71
Over 1.5	100%	70%
Over 2.5	70%	50%	51%
Over 3.5	20%	40%
Both teams scored	70%	60%	55%
Clean sheets	10%	30%
Failed to score	20%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Alanyaspor	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	10.00
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	3.00
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Alanyaspor	League
Corners
Corners won	5.10	5.38
Corners conceded	6.00	3.75
Match total	11.10	9.13	10.00
Over 8.5	80% 8/10	50% 4/8
Over 9.5	60% 6/10	38% 3/8
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	38% 3/8
Cards
Cards	2.20	2.30
Opponent cards	1.90	2.10
Match total	4.10	4.40	3.00
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Yasin Kol 40 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards5.20league 2.67

Red cards0.43league 0.33

Cards 5+60%league 33%

Fouls26.5league 22.0

Penalties0.38league 0.67

Home wins38%league 0%

Gazişehir Gaziantep

No previous matches with this referee.

Alanyaspor4 with this referee

Record1-0-3 Cards · opp.2.0 · 3.0 Pens for · against1 · 1

W9 May 26H · Kayserispor3–12
L9 Mar 25H · Galatasaray1–22
L19 Jan 25A · Eyüpspor0–32
L27 Oct 24H · Antalyaspor1–22

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.