Süper Lig Gameweek 7 Sun, Oct 11 · 14:00 Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
Gazişehir Gaziantep 10th · 8 pts · 6 played
0–3Full time
Çorum FK 14th · 7 pts · 6 played
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

It was too close to call.

Çorum FK were the stronger side on L90 Strength (28 vs 18). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Gazişehir Gaziantep. Gazişehir Gaziantep had 22 days of rest, Çorum FK 22 and had to travel 441 km.

Away travel441 kmRest days22 · 22Matches / 14d0 · 0
Gazişehir Gaziantep39%
Draw25%
Çorum FK36%
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.42
Gazişehir Gaziantep36%
Draw26%
Çorum FK38%
Expected goals 1.32 – 1.36
Gazişehir Gaziantep39%
Draw25%
Çorum FK36%
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.41
Gazişehir Gaziantep32%
Draw24%
Çorum FK44%
Expected goals 1.32 – 1.60
Gazişehir Gaziantep39%
Draw25%
Çorum FK36%
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.40
Over 2.5 56% Both score 59% Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Gaziantep)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeGurcan Hasova
  • Cards per match 5.1
  • Penalties per match 0.50
  • Matches 10

Team strength

Gazişehir GaziantepÇorum FK
18 L90 StrengthIn forecast 28
16 Current StrengthIn forecast 32
15 AttackIn forecast 31
18 DefenceIn forecast 36
37 Form indexContext 24
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Attack—
Defense risk—

Çorum FK

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Gazişehir GaziantepÇorum FK
1.17 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.17
1.17 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00
1.02 xGVia Att/Def 0.96
0.97 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.62
+0.15 Goals minus xGContext +1.21
67% Scored inContext 83%
33% Clean sheetsContext 17%
13.20 ShotsContext 12.67
4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.67
30% On target shareContext 37%
7.60 Shots in the boxContext 6.67
58% Box shareContext 50%
11% ConversionContext 17%
2.80 OffsidesContext 2.20
13.40 Shots allowedContext 16.00
3.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50
4.20 BlocksContext 5.25
1.60 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.20
53% Save rateContext 66%
52% PossessionIn forecast 54%
424 PassesContext 488
348 Accurate passesContext 424
82% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.91 Team ratingContext 6.83
12.00 FoulsContext 13.17
17.20 Fouls sufferedContext 9.83
2.17 Yellow cardsContext 2.00
0.17 Red cardsContext 0.17
This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games
0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.17
1.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00
0.97 xGVia Att/Def 0.96
1.37 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.62
-0.07 Goals minus xGContext +1.21
60% Scored inContext 83%
20% Clean sheetsContext 17%
13.00 ShotsContext 12.67
3.78 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.67
29% On target shareContext 37%
7.78 Shots in the boxContext 6.67
60% Box shareContext 50%
8% ConversionContext 17%
2.25 OffsidesContext 2.20
13.22 Shots allowedContext 16.00
3.89 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50
3.44 BlocksContext 5.25
2.22 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.20
57% Save rateContext 66%
51% PossessionIn forecast 54%
407 PassesContext 488
335 Accurate passesContext 424
82% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.79 Team ratingContext 6.83
10.89 FoulsContext 13.17
16.56 Fouls sufferedContext 9.83
2.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.00
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.17
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 6 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Gazişehir Gaziantep
Rest22 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 37 · 7 pts vs 8.5 for an average club · +1.6 vs expected
  • L19 SepA · Kocaelispor0–21.1 xPts
  • D14 SepH · Fenerbahce0–00.8 xPts
  • W7 SepA · Goztepe4–21.0 xPts
  • L29 AugH · Rizespor1–21.4 xPts
  • W23 AugA · Eyüpspor1–01.1 xPts
Çorum FK
Rest22 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel441 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 24 · 6 pts vs 9.2 for an average club · -1.1 vs expected
  • L19 SepH · Alanyaspor1–21.8 xPts
  • W12 SepA · Samsunspor5–11.1 xPts
  • W6 SepH · Eyüpspor3–01.7 xPts
  • L31 AugA · Besiktas2–60.9 xPts
  • L22 AugH · Kasimpasa0–11.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Gazişehir Gaziantep Çorum FK
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match22Süper Lig 2026-2027, 19 Sep22Süper Lig 2026-2027, 19 Sep
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km441 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 20 / 0 / 1
Next matchdays after this one7.15.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Gazişehir Gaziantep Confirmed XI
4-1-4-1
25K. Tobiasz(G)
23K. Çalhanoğlu 21L. Sylla 14L. Abena 2Luis Pérez
61O. Özçiçek
10K. Kozłowski 44A. Maxim 8V. Gidado 18D. Sorescu
28H. Dervişoğlu
+3 more reported missing outside this XI
Çorum FK Confirmed XI
3-4-3
1Marcos Felipe(G)
6H. Smolčić 2Ç. Söyüncü 5Alexandre Penetra
24A. Borza 10M. Diomande 3B. Özdemir 11G. Sazdağı
89A. Kyziridis 19J. Ramírez 7C. Ünder
+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Gazişehir Gaziantep Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Çorum FK Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
  • Gazişehir Gaziantep-0.3 pp
  • Draw-0.1 pp
  • Çorum FK+0.3 pp

Home / Away this season

Gazişehir Gaziantep · Home 0.67points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
0-2-1
Scored
0.67
Conceded
1.00
Çorum FK · Away 1.33points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
1-1-1
Scored
3.00
Conceded
3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

OpponentGazişehir GaziantepÇorum FK
Eyüpspor W 1–0 A W 3–0 H
Alanyaspor D 1–1 H L 1–2 H
Points4 of 6 · 2.00 per game3 of 6 · 1.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Gazişehir GaziantepÇorum FKForecast
Scored per game 1.172.17
Conceded per game 1.172.00
Match goals 2.334.17 2.91
Over 1.5 67%83%
Over 2.5 33%83% 56%
Over 3.5 17%50%
Both teams scored 50%67% 59%
Clean sheets 33%17%
Failed to score 33%17%
Games66
Gazişehir GaziantepÇorum FKForecast
Scored per game 0.902.17
Conceded per game 1.602.00
Match goals 2.504.17 2.91
Over 1.5 80%83%
Over 2.5 50%83% 56%
Over 3.5 10%50%
Both teams scored 50%67% 59%
Clean sheets 20%17%
Failed to score 40%17%
Games106

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Gazişehir GaziantepÇorum FKLeague
Corners
Corners won2.004.00
Corners conceded4.335.80
Match total6.339.809.09
Over 8.533% 1/380% 4/5
Over 9.533% 1/360% 3/5
Over 10.533% 1/340% 2/5
Cards
Cards2.332.17
Opponent cards2.171.33
Match total4.503.504.13
Over 3.550% 3/633% 2/6
Over 4.550% 3/617% 1/6
Gazişehir GaziantepÇorum FKLeague
Corners
Corners won4.434.00
Corners conceded4.575.80
Match total9.009.809.09
Over 8.571% 5/780% 4/5
Over 9.557% 4/760% 3/5
Over 10.543% 3/740% 2/5
Cards
Cards2.102.17
Opponent cards1.901.33
Match total4.003.504.13
Over 3.560% 6/1033% 2/6
Over 4.530% 3/1017% 1/6

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Gurcan Hasova Türkiye · 10 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.90league 3.97
Red cards0.20league 0.18
Cards 5+70%league 43%
Fouls24.4league 24.6
Penalties0.50league 0.33
Home wins50%league 45%
Gazişehir Gaziantep1 with this referee
Record1-0-0 Cards · opp.4.0 · 3.0 Pens for · against0 · 0
  • W13 Mar 26A · Antalyaspor4–14
Çorum FK

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Gazişehir Gaziantep6 games · scored 7 · conceded 7
2 1 0-15
1 16-30
2 1 31-45
1 2 46-60
1 61-75
1 2 76-90
Çorum FK6 games · scored 13 · conceded 12
4 3 0-15
1 16-30
1 31-45
2 2 46-60
3 3 61-75
3 3 76-90
Gazişehir Gaziantep10 games · scored 9 · conceded 16
2 4 0-15
3 16-30
2 1 31-45
3 2 46-60
1 2 61-75
1 4 76-90
Çorum FK6 games · scored 13 · conceded 12
4 3 0-15
1 16-30
1 31-45
2 2 46-60
3 3 61-75
3 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.

Next fixtures Süper Lig

View all fixtures →
Galatasaray Kasimpasa 31 Genclerbirligi Amed 22 Alanyaspor Erzurumspor FK 00 Samsunspor Trabzonspor 03 Rizespor Fenerbahce 03 Konyaspor Istanbul Basaksehir 00 Gazişehir Gaziantep Çorum FK 03 Besiktas Kocaelispor 21 Eyüpspor Goztepe 04