Gazişehir Gaziantep
Attack—
Defense risk—
Gazişehir Gaziantep
6th · 22 pts · 13 played
WLDDW
1–2Full time
Eyüpspor
17th · 9 pts · 13 played
WLLLD
Our take
Gazişehir Gaziantep were slight favourites.
Gazişehir Gaziantep were the stronger side on L90 Strength (25 vs 17). Absences weigh more on Gazişehir Gaziantep. Gazişehir Gaziantep had 7.1 days of rest, Eyüpspor 7 and had to travel 850 km.
Away travel850 kmRest days7.1 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
Gazişehir Gaziantep50%
Draw25%
Eyüpspor25%
Gazişehir Gaziantep51%
Draw25%
Eyüpspor24%
Gazişehir Gaziantep51%
Draw25%
Eyüpspor24%
Gazişehir Gaziantep43%
Draw26%
Eyüpspor31%
Gazişehir Gaziantep50%
Draw25%
Eyüpspor25%
Over 2.5 55%
Both score 57%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Gaziantep)
No weather data yet
RefereeÖmer Tolga Güldibi
- Cards per match 4.7
- Penalties per match 0.00
- Matches 3
Team strength
Gazişehir GaziantepEyüpspor
25
L90 StrengthIn forecast
17
16
Current StrengthIn forecast
13
15
AttackIn forecast
9
18
DefenceIn forecast
10
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisEyüpspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Gazişehir GaziantepEyüpspor
1.54
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.54
1.54
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.23
1.48
xGVia Att/Def
0.91
1.29
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.42
+0.06
Goals minus xGContext
-0.37
69%
Scored inContext
38%
31%
Clean sheetsContext
23%
13.92
ShotsContext
10.69
4.69
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.38
34%
On target shareContext
32%
8.15
Shots in the boxContext
6.50
56%
Box shareContext
57%
11%
ConversionContext
5%
1.89
OffsidesContext
3.00
12.23
Shots allowedContext
12.62
4.23
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.23
2.62
BlocksContext
3.75
2.62
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.64
62%
Save rateContext
76%
54%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
412
PassesContext
384
347
Accurate passesContext
315
84%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.88
Team ratingContext
6.79
13.00
FoulsContext
11.08
15.85
Fouls sufferedContext
15.38
3.00
Yellow cardsContext
2.15
0.15
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.30
1.30
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.90
1.56
xGVia Att/Def
0.81
1.19
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.29
+0.24
Goals minus xGContext
-0.51
80%
Scored inContext
20%
40%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
13.40
ShotsContext
10.70
5.40
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.40
40%
On target shareContext
32%
7.90
Shots in the boxContext
6.44
57%
Box shareContext
54%
13%
ConversionContext
3%
1.43
OffsidesContext
3.20
12.40
Shots allowedContext
12.10
4.10
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.20
2.70
BlocksContext
3.33
2.70
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.56
66%
Save rateContext
78%
55%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
415
PassesContext
384
347
Accurate passesContext
313
84%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.96
Team ratingContext
6.80
13.20
FoulsContext
10.90
15.60
Fouls sufferedContext
15.80
3.10
Yellow cardsContext
2.10
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Gazişehir Gaziantep
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km499 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Eyüpspor
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel850 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Gazişehir Gaziantep |
Eyüpspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 12 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.1Süper Lig 2025-2026, 22 Nov | 7Süper Lig 2025-2026, 22 Nov |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 850 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 499 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 1 / 1 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 9.1 | 6.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Gazişehir Gaziantep
Confirmed XI
20Z. Görgen(G)
77K. Rodrigues
17S. Güler
23T. Sanuç
2Luis Pérez
3D. Camara
6M. Kabasakal
11C. Lungoyi
44A. Maxim
10K. Kozłowski
9M. Bayo
Eyüpspor
Confirmed XI
1Marcos Felipe(G)
18N. Mujakić
5E. Ortakaya
6R. Yalçın
11S. Gürler
10K. Demirbay
33T. Stepanenko
9M. Thiam
8E. Akbaba
70D. Drăguş
19U. Bozok
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Gazişehir Gaziantep
Scores -0.03 · concedes +0.05 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Eyüpspor
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Gazişehir Gaziantep-1.0 pp
- Draw-0.1 pp
- Eyüpspor+1.1 pp
Home / Away this season
Gazişehir Gaziantep · Home
1.57points per game · 7 home games
- W-D-L
- 3-2-2
- Scored
- 1.57
- Conceded
- 2.00
Eyüpspor · Away
0.17points per game · 6 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-1-5
- Scored
- 0.17
- Conceded
- 1.17
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 10 this season
| Opponent | Gazişehir Gaziantep | Eyüpspor |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | D 0–0 A | W 2–1 H |
| Antalyaspor | W 3–2 H | L 0–1 H |
| Fatih Karagümrük | W 2–0 A | D 1–1 H |
| Samsunspor | D 2–2 H | L 0–1 A |
| Trabzonspor | D 1–1 A | L 0–2 A |
| Kocaelispor | W 2–0 H | L 0–1 A |
| Kasimpasa | W 3–2 A | W 2–0 H |
| Genclerbirligi | W 2–1 H | L 0–1 A |
| Konyaspor | L 0–3 A | L 1–4 H |
| Galatasaray | L 0–3 H | L 0–2 H |
| Points | 18 of 30 · 1.80 per game | 7 of 30 · 0.70 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
1 Gazişehir Gaziantep wins0 draws1 Eyüpspor wins
Goals per game2.50 – 2.00
Over 2.5100%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 3 Mar 2025Gazişehir Gaziantep3–1Eyüpspor
- 29 Sep 2024Eyüpspor3–2Gazişehir Gaziantep
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | Eyüpspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.54 | 0.54 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.54 | 1.23 | |
| Match goals | 3.08 | 1.77 | 2.87 |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 54% | |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 23% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 8% | |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 31% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 23% | |
| Failed to score | 31% | 62% | |
| Games | 13 | 13 |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | Eyüpspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.80 | 0.30 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.30 | 0.90 | |
| Match goals | 3.10 | 1.20 | 2.87 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 40% | |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 0% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 10% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 80% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | Eyüpspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.25 | 4.73 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.00 | 5.36 | |
| Match total | 9.25 | 10.09 | 9.56 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 6/12 | 64% 7/11 | |
| Over 9.5 | 25% 3/12 | 55% 6/11 | |
| Over 10.5 | 25% 3/12 | 36% 4/11 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.15 | 2.23 | |
| Opponent cards | 3.46 | 2.23 | |
| Match total | 6.61 | 4.46 | 4.74 |
| Over 3.5 | 85% 11/13 | 62% 8/13 | |
| Over 4.5 | 77% 10/13 | 38% 5/13 | |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | Eyüpspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.11 | 4.56 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.33 | 4.67 | |
| Match total | 9.44 | 9.23 | 9.56 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 22% 2/9 | 44% 4/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 22% 2/9 | 22% 2/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.20 | 2.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 3.30 | 2.30 | |
| Match total | 6.50 | 4.50 | 4.74 |
| Over 3.5 | 80% 8/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 70% 7/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Ömer Tolga Güldibi 3 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.67league 4.45
Red cards0.00league 0.27
Cards 5+33%league 47%
Fouls29.7league 26.0
Penalties0.00league 0.27
Home wins67%league 37%
Gazişehir GaziantepNo previous matches with this referee.
Eyüpspor1 with this referee
Record0-0-1
Cards · opp.1.0 · 3.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- L20 Sep 25A · Genclerbirligi0–11
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Gazişehir Gaziantep13 games · scored 20 · conceded 20
3
4
0-15
2
5
16-30
6
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
6
2
61-75
2
6
76-90
Eyüpspor13 games · scored 7 · conceded 16
2
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
6
76-90
Gazişehir Gaziantep10 games · scored 18 · conceded 13
3
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
5
31-45
1
1
46-60
6
2
61-75
1
5
76-90
Eyüpspor10 games · scored 3 · conceded 9
1
1
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
