Gazişehir Gaziantep vs Fenerbahce – 14 Sep 2026

Süper Lig Gameweek 5 Mon, Sep 14 · 18:00 Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep

Gazişehir Gaziantep 10th · 7 pts · 4 played DWLW

0–0Full time

Fenerbahce 12th · 6 pts · 4 played LWWL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Fenerbahce were slight favourites.

Fenerbahce were the stronger side on L90 Strength (63 vs 19). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Gazişehir Gaziantep. Gazişehir Gaziantep had 7 days of rest, Fenerbahce 4 and had to travel 850 km.

Away travel850 kmRest days7 · 4Matches / 14d1 · 2

Gazişehir Gaziantep21%

Draw22%

Fenerbahce58%

Expected goals 1.09 – 1.97

Gazişehir Gaziantep19%

Draw22%

Fenerbahce59%

Expected goals 0.95 – 1.88

Gazişehir Gaziantep20%

Draw22%

Fenerbahce58%

Expected goals 1.07 – 1.98

Gazişehir Gaziantep15%

Draw19%

Fenerbahce66%

Expected goals 0.97 – 2.21

Gazişehir Gaziantep21%

Draw22%

Fenerbahce57%

Expected goals 1.08 – 1.94

Over 2.5 59% Both score 57% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Gaziantep)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeMehmet Turkmen

Cards per match 3.4
Penalties per match 0.24
Matches 25

Team strength

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Fenerbahce

19 L90 StrengthIn forecast 63

16 Current StrengthIn forecast 62

15 AttackIn forecast 75

18 DefenceIn forecast 53

45 Form indexContext 39

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Attack—

Defense risk—

Fenerbahce

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Fenerbahce

1.75 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00

1.25 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

1.08 xGVia Att/Def 2.27

0.97 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.27

+0.67 Goals minus xGContext -0.27

100% Scored inContext 100%

25% Clean sheetsContext 25%

12.75 ShotsContext 17.75

4.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.25

33% On target shareContext 41%

7.00 Shots in the boxContext 13.25

55% Box shareContext 70%

14% ConversionContext 11%

3.00 OffsidesContext 1.75

12.75 Shots allowedContext 11.75

2.75 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.67

3.75 BlocksContext 2.75

1.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.67

55% Save rateContext 65%

53% PossessionIn forecast 52%

435 PassesContext 480

358 Accurate passesContext 419

82% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.98 Team ratingContext 6.87

12.75 FoulsContext 14.25

18.00 Fouls sufferedContext 12.75

1.75 Yellow cardsContext 1.50

0.25 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 4 and 4 games

1.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.60

1.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

1.11 xGVia Att/Def 2.27

1.37 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.27

+0.19 Goals minus xGContext -0.67

80% Scored inContext 100%

20% Clean sheetsContext 30%

13.00 ShotsContext 15.20

4.30 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.40

33% On target shareContext 42%

7.80 Shots in the boxContext 11.10

60% Box shareContext 71%

10% ConversionContext 11%

2.00 OffsidesContext 2.11

14.10 Shots allowedContext 12.30

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.44

3.70 BlocksContext 3.90

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.33

67% Save rateContext 75%

50% PossessionIn forecast 52%

408 PassesContext 454

338 Accurate passesContext 389

83% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.87 Team ratingContext 6.94

11.30 FoulsContext 13.70

15.90 Fouls sufferedContext 13.40

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.30

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Gazişehir Gaziantep DWLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km1,826 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

Form 45 · 7 pts vs 7.5 for an average club · +2.1 vs expected

W7 SepA · Goztepe4–21.0 xPts
L29 AugH · Rizespor1–21.4 xPts
W23 AugA · Eyüpspor1–01.1 xPts
D15 AugH · Alanyaspor1–11.5 xPts

Fenerbahce LWWLD

Rest4 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel850 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 39 · 7 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · -2.2 vs expected

D10 SepH · AS Roma1–11.1 xPts
L5 SepH · Besiktas1–21.9 xPts
W30 AugA · Samsunspor2–01.7 xPts
W22 AugH · Konyaspor4–22.4 xPts
L15 AugA · Genclerbirligi1–22.1 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Fenerbahce
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 5	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 7 Sep	4UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 10 Sep
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	850 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,826 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 3	1 / 2 / 6
Next matchdays after this one	4.9	5.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Gazişehir Gaziantep Last XI · not confirmed

4-1-4-1 · vs Goztepe (A) 4–2, 7 Sep

25K. Tobiasz(G)

23K. Çalhanoğlu 14L. Abena 4A. Kızıldağ 2Luis Pérez

6U. Meleke

10K. Kozłowski 44A. Maxim 8V. Gidado 18D. Sorescu

28H. Dervişoğlu

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Fenerbahce Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs AS Roma (H) 1–1, 10 Sep

31Ederson(G)

3A. Brown 15N. Aké 37M. Škriniar 18M. Müldür

28B. Elmaz 5İ. Yüksek 91N. Kanté

7M. Aktürkoğlu 19V. Muriqi 11M. Greenwood

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Gazişehir Gaziantep Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Fenerbahce Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Gazişehir Gaziantep+0.5 pp
Draw+0.1 pp
Fenerbahce-0.5 pp

Home / Away this season

Gazişehir Gaziantep · Home 0.50points per game · 2 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 1.50

Fenerbahce · Away 1.50points per game · 2 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-1
Scored: 1.50
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

0 Gazişehir Gaziantep wins0 draws6 Fenerbahce wins

Goals per game0.67 – 2.83 Over 2.583% Both scored67% Clean sheets0% · 33%

17 Mar 2026Fenerbahce4–1Gazişehir Gaziantep
27 Oct 2025Gazişehir Gaziantep0–4Fenerbahce
26 Apr 2025Gazişehir Gaziantep1–3Fenerbahce
2 Dec 2024Fenerbahce3–1Gazişehir Gaziantep
14 Jan 2024Gazişehir Gaziantep0–1Fenerbahce
13 Aug 2023Fenerbahce2–1Gazişehir Gaziantep

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Fenerbahce	Forecast
Scored per game	1.75	2.00
Conceded per game	1.25	1.50
Match goals	3.00	3.50	3.06
Over 1.5	75%	100%
Over 2.5	50%	75%	59%
Over 3.5	25%	25%
Both teams scored	75%	75%	57%
Clean sheets	25%	25%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	4	4

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Fenerbahce	Forecast
Scored per game	1.30	1.60
Conceded per game	1.60	1.00
Match goals	2.90	2.60	3.06
Over 1.5	90%	90%
Over 2.5	70%	40%	59%
Over 3.5	10%	10%
Both teams scored	60%	70%	57%
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Failed to score	20%	0%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Fenerbahce	League
Corners
Corners won	2.50	6.75
Corners conceded	6.00	3.00
Match total	8.50	9.75	9.68
Over 8.5	50% 1/2	75% 3/4
Over 9.5	50% 1/2	50% 2/4
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	25% 1/4
Cards
Cards	2.00	1.50
Opponent cards	2.25	1.50
Match total	4.25	3.00	3.83
Over 3.5	50% 2/4	25% 1/4
Over 4.5	50% 2/4	25% 1/4

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Fenerbahce	League
Corners
Corners won	4.50	5.78
Corners conceded	5.25	4.22
Match total	9.75	10.00	9.68
Over 8.5	75% 6/8	67% 6/9
Over 9.5	50% 4/8	56% 5/9
Over 10.5	38% 3/8	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	2.10	2.30
Opponent cards	2.00	1.80
Match total	4.10	4.10	3.83
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Mehmet Turkmen Türkiye · 25 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.36league 3.66

Red cards0.08league 0.16

Cards 5+20%league 39%

Fouls24.4league 25.5

Penalties0.24league 0.34

Home wins52%league 45%

Gazişehir Gaziantep4 with this referee

Record2-1-1 Cards · opp.2.0 · 1.8 Pens for · against1 · 0 Reds1

D1 Mar 26A · Samsunspor0–03
W9 Feb 26H · Kasimpasa2–14
W22 Nov 25A · Kayserispor3–01
L3 May 25A · Rizespor0–20

Fenerbahce4 with this referee

Record2-1-1 Cards · opp.2.5 · 2.3 Pens for · against0 · 0

D17 May 26H · Eyüpspor3–35
L13 Mar 26A · Fatih Karagümrük0–23
W18 Jan 26A · Alanyaspor3–20
W23 Aug 25H · Kocaelispor3–12

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.