Gazişehir Gaziantep
Attack—
Defense risk—
Gazişehir Gaziantep
18th · 0 pts · 2 played
LL
2–1Full time
Genclerbirligi
14th · 0 pts · 2 played
LL
Our take
Gazişehir Gaziantep were slight favourites.
Gazişehir Gaziantep were the stronger side on L90 Strength (18 vs 11). Gazişehir Gaziantep had 6.1 days of rest, Genclerbirligi 6.1 and had to travel 506 km.
Away travel506 kmRest days6.1 · 6.1Matches / 14d1 · 1
Gazişehir Gaziantep52%
Draw26%
Genclerbirligi22%
Gazişehir Gaziantep52%
Draw25%
Genclerbirligi23%
Gazişehir Gaziantep52%
Draw26%
Genclerbirligi22%
Gazişehir Gaziantep45%
Draw27%
Genclerbirligi28%
Gazişehir Gaziantep52%
Draw25%
Genclerbirligi23%
Over 2.5 50%
Both score 52%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Gaziantep)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeAtilla Karaoglan
- Cards per match 5.6
- Penalties per match 0.50
- Matches 10
Team strength
Gazişehir GaziantepGenclerbirligi
18
L90 StrengthIn forecast
11
16
Current StrengthIn forecast
15
15
AttackIn forecast
13
18
DefenceIn forecast
16
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisGenclerbirligi
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Gazişehir GaziantepGenclerbirligi
0.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.50
3.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
0.55
xGVia Att/Def
0.68
2.23
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.91
-0.55
Goals minus xGContext
-0.18
0%
Scored inContext
50%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
11.00
ShotsContext
9.50
1.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
1.50
14%
On target shareContext
16%
6.00
Shots in the boxContext
5.50
49%
Box shareContext
51%
0%
ConversionContext
5%
—
OffsidesContext
2.00
14.00
Shots allowedContext
8.50
5.50
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.50
2.50
BlocksContext
—
2.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.00
46%
Save rateContext
57%
46%
PossessionIn forecast
42%
353
PassesContext
327
297
Accurate passesContext
264
84%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.34
Team ratingContext
6.56
12.50
FoulsContext
7.50
16.00
Fouls sufferedContext
10.00
2.50
Yellow cardsContext
0.00
0.50
Red cardsContext
0.00
0.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
—
1.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
—
1.29
xGVia Att/Def
—
1.80
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
-0.49
Goals minus xGContext
—
50%
Scored inContext
—
10%
Clean sheetsContext
—
12.80
ShotsContext
—
4.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
31%
On target shareContext
—
7.33
Shots in the boxContext
—
53%
Box shareContext
—
6%
ConversionContext
—
2.50
OffsidesContext
—
13.50
Shots allowedContext
—
5.50
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
3.89
BlocksContext
—
3.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
64%
Save rateContext
—
48%
PossessionIn forecast
—
376
PassesContext
—
312
Accurate passesContext
—
83%
Pass accuracyContext
—
6.81
Team ratingContext
—
13.40
FoulsContext
—
12.60
Fouls sufferedContext
—
2.10
Yellow cardsContext
—
0.20
Red cardsContext
—
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Gazişehir Gaziantep
Rest6.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km883 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Genclerbirligi
Rest6.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel506 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Gazişehir Gaziantep |
Genclerbirligi |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 6.1Süper Lig 2025-2026, 17 Aug | 6.1Süper Lig 2025-2026, 17 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 506 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 883 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 2 | 1 / 1 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6.9 | 7.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Gazişehir Gaziantep
Confirmed XI
71M. Bozan(G)
77K. Rodrigues
14L. Abena
4A. Kızıldağ
18D. Sorescu
5P. Ndiaye
11C. Lungoyi
44A. Maxim
61O. Özçiçek
10K. Kozłowski
21E. Boateng
Genclerbirligi
Confirmed XI
1G. Akkan(G)
23M. Hanousek
6D. Goutas
2T. da Silva
13Pedro Pereira
77A. Dursun
14Michał Nalepa
4Žan Žužek
20A. Traoré
11G. Gürpüz
10M. Mimaroğlu
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Gazişehir Gaziantep
Absences are shown before kick-off
Genclerbirligi
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Gazişehir Gaziantep+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Genclerbirligi+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Gazişehir Gaziantep · Home
0.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 3.00
Genclerbirligi · Away
0.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 2.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | Genclerbirligi | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 3.00 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 2.00 | 2.69 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% | 52% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 100% | 50% | |
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | Genclerbirligi | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 3.00 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 2.00 | 2.69 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% | 52% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 100% | 50% | |
| Games | 2 | 2 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | Genclerbirligi | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.50 | 5.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 2.50 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 6.00 | 8.00 | 9.13 |
| Over 8.5 | 0% 0/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.00 | 0.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 3.00 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 6.00 | 1.50 | 3.94 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 2/2 | 0% 0/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 100% 2/2 | 0% 0/2 | |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | Genclerbirligi | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.22 | 5.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.56 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 9.78 | 8.00 | 9.13 |
| Over 8.5 | 67% 6/9 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 44% 4/9 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 44% 4/9 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.40 | 0.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.90 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 5.30 | 1.50 | 3.94 |
| Over 3.5 | 80% 8/10 | 0% 0/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 70% 7/10 | 0% 0/2 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Atilla Karaoglan Türkiye · 10 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards5.50league 3.56
Red cards0.10league 0.38
Cards 5+60%league 31%
Fouls23.4league 26.2
Penalties0.50league 0.38
Home wins50%league 38%
Gazişehir GaziantepNo previous matches with this referee.
GenclerbirligiNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Gazişehir Gaziantep2 games · scored 0 · conceded 6
1
0-15
2
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
Genclerbirligi2 games · scored 1 · conceded 3
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
1
1
76-90
Gazişehir Gaziantep10 games · scored 8 · conceded 19
2
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
4
61-75
3
76-90
Genclerbirligi2 games · scored 1 · conceded 3
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
1
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
